South Alabama at New Mexico State - 2017 Matchup Preview

South Alabama Jaguars at New Mexico State Aggies

Saturday, December 2nd 2017 (4:30 PM EST)
New Mexico State -11.5 (54.0) (0) Open: 0.0
New Mexico State 22 - South Alabama: 17 (Sun Belt)

Jaguars (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 20 - 27 (15 - 31 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

NMSU 2nd straight Home Game
USA coming off BYE
Our Line: -4 (SP+ NMSU -3)
Projected Score: USA: 20 - NMSU: 28 (48)
NMSU Win prob: 77% | Cover: 45%
USA Travel: 1106 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Aggies (7 - 6) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 30 (25 - 21 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
USA Players
NMSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

South Alabama's 2017 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	South Alabama at Ole Miss	+22.0	59.5	L 27 - 47	O	Y
Fri 9/8	South Alabama vs Oklahoma State	+28.0	67.5	L 7 - 44	U	N
Sat 9/16	South Alabama vs Alabama A&M	-38.0
Sat 9/23	South Alabama vs Idaho	-6.5	55.0	L 23 - 29	U	N
Sat 9/30	South Alabama at Louisiana Tech	+11.5	57.5	L 16 - 34	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Wed 10/11	South Alabama at Troy	+18.0	51.5	W 19 - 8	U	Y
Sat 10/21	South Alabama vs UL Monroe	-3.5	55.5	W 33 - 23	O	Y
Thu 10/26	South Alabama at Georgia State	+1.0	50.5	L 13 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/4	South Alabama vs Louisiana	-6.0	51.5	L 14 - 19	U	N
Sat 11/11	South Alabama vs Arkansas State	+12.5	55.5	W 24 - 19	U	Y
Sat 11/18	South Alabama at Georgia Southern	-6.0	44.5	L 0 - 52	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 12/2	South Alabama at New Mexico State	+11.5	54.0	L 17 - 22	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Alabama's Schedule

New Mexico State's 2017 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	New Mexico State at Arizona State	+24.0	69.0	L 31 - 37	U	Y
Sat 9/9	New Mexico State at New Mexico	+7.0	69.5	W 30 - 28	U	Y
Sat 9/16	New Mexico State vs Troy	+9.5	60.5	L 24 - 27	U	Y
Sat 9/23	New Mexico State vs UTEP	-17.5	59.0	W 41 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/30	New Mexico State at Arkansas	+18.0	61.0	L 24 - 42	O	Y
Sat 10/7	New Mexico State at App State	+13.5	55.5	L 31 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/14	New Mexico State at Georgia Southern	-5.5	59.0	W 35 - 27	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	New Mexico State vs Arkansas State	+3.5	71.0	L 21 - 37	U	N
Sat 11/4	New Mexico State at Texas State	-9.5	57.0	W 45 - 35	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/18	New Mexico State at Louisiana	-3.5	65.0	L 34 - 47	O	N
Sat 11/25	New Mexico State vs Idaho	-10.0	56.5	W 17 - 10	U	N
Sat 12/2	New Mexico State vs South Alabama	-11.5	54.0	W 22 - 17	U	N
Fri 12/29	New Mexico State vs Utah State	-4.0	61.0	W 26 - 20	U	Y

Important Stats (2017)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USA	.03	39%	19.8	38%	2.08	97	38%	237	3.12	.13	45%	26.5	44%	43%	3.2	56.6	1.5	1.7
NMSU	.14	42%	29.3	43%	2.96	107	40%	340	3.58	.11	41%	29.7	41%	40%	3.17	56.1	2.2	2.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USA	#5 (.34)	50% (9)		53% (4)	3.57 (6)	199	47% (18)	243	4.66 (13)	#58 (.15)	41% (58)		39% (28)	43% (96)	3.66 (56)	70.8	0.9	1.5
NMSU	#119 (.08)	39% (106)		46% (41)	3.33 (21)	179	30% (132)	143	3.8 (82)	#115 (.26)	41% (64)		43% (69)	40% (68)	3.7 (60)	48.1	1.9	0.8

Overall Stats 2017

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USA Offense	12	19.8	15.3	39.2%	3.12	1.5	18	334	97	237	3.1	43%	55%	38%	38%	21%	.03
NMSU Defense	13	29.7	21	41.3%	3.17	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	41%	40%	18%	.11

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USA Defense	12	26.5	30.7	44.5%	3.2	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	45%	52%	44%	43%	14%	.13
NMSU Offense	13	29.3	25	41.7%	3.58	2.2	22	447	107	340	3.9	33%	66%	43%	40%	18%	.14

Additional Stats 2017

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
South Alabama	12	29:36	17.8	30%	44%	6.1	56.6	1.5	1.7	4	1.8	0	29.4
New Mexico State	13	28:20	22.3	44%	54%	6.8	56.1	2.2	2.1	7.3	3.4	3	29.3

Run Game Stats (2017)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USA Offense	12	43%	38%	31.3	97.3	3.1	10	-.12	2.08	60%	12%	0.75
NMSU Defense	13	49%	41%	-	-	-	-	.07	2.77	70%	12%	1.01

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USA Defense	12	45%	44%	-	-	-	-	.04	3.03	70%	8%	0.87
NMSU Offense	13	33%	43%	27.5	106.8	3.9	18	.11	2.96	66%	9%	0.93

Pass Game Stats (2017)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USA Offense	12	55%	38%	18.5	34.3	237.1	6.9	12.8	15	14	.16	1.5	34%	29%	.17	9%	1.8
NMSU Defense	13	50%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	16	.15	1.5	33%	31%	.26	7%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USA Defense	12	52%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.25	1.5	31%	36%	.28	6%	1.7
NMSU Offense	13	66%	40%	30.5	49.3	340.2	6.9	11.1	29	22	.17	1.5	37%	37%	.41	9%	1.9

South Alabama's Power Ratings
South Alabama's Power Rating: NR
South Alabama's Offense Rating: NR
South Alabama's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating: #88
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
South Alabama's 2017 Expected Record: -
South Alabama's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.0 #106
South Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.3 #119
South Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #89

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
South Alabama: New Mexico State: -2.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Alabama: -12.0 New Mexico State: -9.4

New Mexico State's Power Ratings
New Mexico State's Power Rating: -2.2 NR
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: NR
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating: #125
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
New Mexico State's 2017 Expected Record: -
New Mexico State's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.4 #99
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #94
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.6 #94

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

South Alabama Scoring
Offense: 19.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.3
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.7

South Alabama's 2017 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
New Mexico State 28
South Alabama 20

Total Points: 48

Based on Last 4 Games
New Mexico State 28
South Alabama 19

Total Points: 47

Based on Entire Season
New Mexico State 28
South Alabama 22

Total Points: 50

New Mexico State Scoring
Offense: 29.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 25
Defense: 29.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 21

New Mexico State's 2017 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2017	12/02	New Mexico State	22	South Alabama	17	New Mexico State -11.5	South Alabama	54.0	Under
2016	12/03	South Alabama	35	New Mexico State	28	South Alabama -12	New Mexico State	57.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
New Mexico State	1	1	1 Overs
South Alabama	1	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	2 - 0	0 - 0	2 - 0

(#) USA at (#) NMSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	USA	NMSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#106	#99
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#88	#125
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

South Alabama Injury Report

New Mexico State Injury Report

South Alabama on Offense


CategoryCat	USA Off	NMSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#119	#94
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

South Alabama Run Game


CategoryCat	USA Off	NMSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

South Alabama Pass Game


CategoryCat	USA Off	NMSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

New Mexico State on Offense


CategoryCat	NMSU Off	USA Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#94	#89
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

New Mexico State Run Game


CategoryCat	NMSU Off	USA Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

New Mexico State Pass Game


CategoryCat	NMSU Off	USA Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
NMSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Average G5

USA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Aggie Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 69°

Rematch from Week 14
New Mexico State -11.5 (54.0)
New Mexico State won vs South Alabama this year (22-17)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

USA's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View South Alabama's Full Roster

USA's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

NMSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View New Mexico State's Full Roster

NMSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD