New Mexico State at New Mexico - 2017 Matchup Preview

New Mexico State Aggies at New Mexico Lobos

Saturday, September 9th 2017 (8:00 PM EDT)
New Mexico -7 (69.5) (0) Open: 0.0
New Mexico State 30 - New Mexico: 28

Aggies (7 - 6) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 22 - 28 (20 - 38 on Road)
'17 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

NMSU 2nd straight Road Game
UNM 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -1 (SP+ NMSU -3)
Projected Score: NMSU: 21 - UNM: 30 (51)
UNM Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
NMSU Travel: 193 miles

Lobos (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 22 (28 - 19 @ Home)
'17 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
NMSU Players
UNM Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

New Mexico State's 2017 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	New Mexico State at Arizona State	+24.0	69.0	L 31 - 37	U	Y
Sat 9/9	New Mexico State at New Mexico	+7.0	69.5	W 30 - 28	U	Y
Sat 9/16	New Mexico State vs Troy	+9.5	60.5	L 24 - 27	U	Y
Sat 9/23	New Mexico State vs UTEP	-17.5	59.0	W 41 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/30	New Mexico State at Arkansas	+18.0	61.0	L 24 - 42	O	Y
Sat 10/7	New Mexico State at App State	+13.5	55.5	L 31 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/14	New Mexico State at Georgia Southern	-5.5	59.0	W 35 - 27	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	New Mexico State vs Arkansas State	+3.5	71.0	L 21 - 37	U	N
Sat 11/4	New Mexico State at Texas State	-9.5	57.0	W 45 - 35	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/18	New Mexico State at Louisiana	-3.5	65.0	L 34 - 47	O	N
Sat 11/25	New Mexico State vs Idaho	-10.0	56.5	W 17 - 10	U	N
Sat 12/2	New Mexico State vs South Alabama	-11.5	54.0	W 22 - 17	U	N
Fri 12/29	New Mexico State vs Utah State	-4.0	61.0	W 26 - 20	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for New Mexico State's Schedule

New Mexico's 2017 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	New Mexico vs Abilene Christian	-34.0
Sat 9/9	New Mexico vs New Mexico State	-7.0	69.5	L 28 - 30	U	N
Thu 9/14	New Mexico at Boise State	+16.0	56.5	L 14 - 28	U	Y
Sat 9/23	New Mexico at Tulsa	+9.0	68.5	W 16 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/30	New Mexico vs Air Force	+3.0	50.5	W 56 - 38	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	New Mexico at Fresno State	-2.5	54.5	L 0 - 38	U	N
Fri 10/20	New Mexico vs Colorado State	+10.0	61.0	L 24 - 27	U	Y
Sat 10/28	New Mexico at Wyoming	+2.5	47.0	L 3 - 42	U	N
Sat 11/4	New Mexico vs Utah State	-3.5	52.5	L 10 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/11	New Mexico at Texas A&M	+18.5	51.5	L 14 - 55	O	N
Fri 11/17	New Mexico vs UNLV	-3.0	55.5	L 35 - 38	O	N
Fri 11/24	New Mexico at San Diego State	+20.5	48.5	L 10 - 35	U	N

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NMSU	.11	41%	21.6	46%	3.28	171	34%	244	3.17	.21	46%	27.6	45%	44%	3.87	50	1.8	1.8
UNM	.32	46%	27.1	48%	3.23	350	37%	107	4.26	.25	44%	22.3	42%	44%	4.07	56.7	1.1	0.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NMSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UNM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NMSU Offense	12	21.6	20	40.6%	3.17	1.8	22	415	171	244	4.5	46%	52%	46%	34%	19%	.11
UNM Defense	13	22.3	18.7	43.8%	4.07	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	42%	44%	17%	.25

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NMSU Defense	12	27.6	37.5	45.5%	3.87	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	57%	41%	45%	44%	15%	.21
UNM Offense	13	27.1	28.3	46.2%	4.26	1.1	21	457	350	107	6.6	76%	23%	48%	37%	13%	.32

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
New Mexico State	12	26:34	22.2	34%	54%	6.3	50	1.8	1.8	6.1	0.9	1	28.8
New Mexico	13	33:54	20.8	46%	73%	6.3	56.7	1.1	0.9	5.6	2.1	3	28.2

Run Game Stats (2017)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NMSU Offense	12	46%	46%	37.8	170.9	4.5	13	.16	3.28	70%	11%	1.01
UNM Defense	13	54%	42%	-	-	-	-	.19	2.88	72%	10%	1.2

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NMSU Defense	12	57%	45%	-	-	-	-	.19	3.08	74%	11%	1.04
UNM Offense	13	76%	48%	52.9	350	6.6	48	.32	3.23	77%	10%	1.23

Pass Game Stats (2017)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NMSU Offense	12	52%	34%	21.1	38.3	243.8	6.4	11.6	22	15	.07	1.7	36%	34%	.32	8%	1.8
UNM Defense	13	45%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.33	1.7	33%	38%	.48	6%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NMSU Defense	12	41%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.28	1.7	30%	38%	.33	5%	1.8
UNM Offense	13	23%	37%	7.4	13.8	106.8	7.8	14.5	11	6	.34	2	30%	35%	.45	4%	2

New Mexico State's Power Ratings
New Mexico State's Power Rating: NR
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: NR
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating: #125
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
New Mexico State's 2017 Expected Record: -
New Mexico State's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.4 #99
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #94
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.6 #94

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State: New Mexico: -3.7

SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State: -9.4 New Mexico: -12.4

New Mexico's Power Ratings
New Mexico's Power Rating: -3.7 NR
New Mexico's Offense Rating: NR
New Mexico's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating: #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
New Mexico's 2017 Expected Record: -
New Mexico's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.4 #107
New Mexico's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #112
New Mexico's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.2 #101

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

New Mexico State Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 20
Defense: 27.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.5

New Mexico State's 2017 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 4 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
New Mexico 30
New Mexico State 21

Projected Total Points: 51

New Mexico Scoring
Offense: 27.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.3
Defense: 22.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.7

New Mexico's 2017 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/27	New Mexico	38	New Mexico State	20	New Mexico -16.5	New Mexico	53.5	Over
2024	09/28	New Mexico State	40	New Mexico	50	New Mexico -9.5	New Mexico	54.0	Over
2023	09/16	New Mexico	17	New Mexico State	27	New Mexico -2.5	New Mexico State	52.0	Under
2022	10/15	New Mexico State	21	New Mexico	9	New Mexico -7	New Mexico State	38.5	Under
2021	09/11	New Mexico	34	New Mexico State	25	New Mexico -19.5	New Mexico State	55.5	Over
2019	09/21	New Mexico	55	New Mexico State	52	New Mexico -4	New Mexico State	69.0	Over
2018	09/15	New Mexico State	25	New Mexico	42	New Mexico -3	New Mexico	60.5	Over
2017	09/09	New Mexico	28	New Mexico State	30	New Mexico -7	New Mexico State	69.5	Under
2016	09/10	New Mexico State	32	New Mexico	31	New Mexico -11.5	New Mexico State	62.0	Over
2015	10/03	New Mexico	38	New Mexico State	29	New Mexico -14	New Mexico State	65.5	Over
2014	09/20	New Mexico State	35	New Mexico	38	New Mexico -3	NA	0
2013	10/05	New Mexico	66	New Mexico State	17	New Mexico -7	New Mexico	0
2012	09/22	New Mexico State	14	New Mexico	27
2011	10/01	New Mexico	28	New Mexico State	42
2010	10/09	New Mexico State	16	New Mexico	14
2009	09/26	New Mexico	17	New Mexico State	20
2008	09/27	New Mexico State	24	New Mexico	35
2007	09/08	New Mexico	44	New Mexico State	34
2006	09/09	New Mexico State	28	New Mexico	34
2005	09/17	New Mexico	38	New Mexico State	21
2004	09/25	New Mexico State	3	New Mexico	38
2003	09/27	New Mexico	24	New Mexico State	17
2002	09/21	New Mexico State	24	New Mexico	13
2001	11/24	New Mexico	53	New Mexico State	0
2000	09/15	New Mexico State	13	New Mexico	16

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
New Mexico	17	4	7 Overs
New Mexico State	8	7	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	13 - 12	4 - 7	2 - 5	2 - 2
Road Teams	12 - 13	7 - 4	2 - 2	5 - 2

(#) NMSU at (#) UNM

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	NMSU	UNM
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#99	#107
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#125	#102
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

New Mexico State Injury Report

New Mexico Injury Report

New Mexico State on Offense


CategoryCat	NMSU Off	UNM Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#94	#101
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

New Mexico State Run Game


CategoryCat	NMSU Off	UNM Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

New Mexico State Pass Game


CategoryCat	NMSU Off	UNM Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

New Mexico on Offense


CategoryCat	UNM Off	NMSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#112	#94
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

New Mexico Run Game


CategoryCat	UNM Off	NMSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

New Mexico Pass Game


CategoryCat	UNM Off	NMSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
UNM 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

NMSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in University Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 2
New Mexico -7.0 (69.5)
New Mexico State won at New Mexico this year (30-28)

Previous Matchups
New Mexico beat New Mexico State last year (38-20)
New Mexico beat New Mexico State in 2024 (50-40)
New Mexico State beat New Mexico in 2023 (27-17)

NMSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View New Mexico State's Full Roster

NMSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

UNM's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View New Mexico's Full Roster

UNM's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD