New Mexico State at Texas State - 2017 Matchup Preview

New Mexico State Aggies at Texas State Bobcats

Saturday, November 4th 2017 (3:00 PM EDT)
New Mexico State -9.5 (57.0) (0) Open: 0.0
New Mexico State 45 - Texas State: 35 (Sun Belt)

Aggies (7 - 6) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 22 - 28 (20 - 38 on Road)
'17 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -4.5 (SP+ NMSU -14)
Projected Score: NMSU: 25 - TXST: 35 (60)
NMSU Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
NMSU Travel: 547 miles, 1 hrs behind

Bobcats (2 - 10) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 37 - 29 (38 - 28 @ Home)
'17 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
NMSU Players
TXST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

New Mexico State's 2017 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	New Mexico State at Arizona State	+24.0	69.0	L 31 - 37	U	Y
Sat 9/9	New Mexico State at New Mexico	+7.0	69.5	W 30 - 28	U	Y
Sat 9/16	New Mexico State vs Troy	+9.5	60.5	L 24 - 27	U	Y
Sat 9/23	New Mexico State vs UTEP	-17.5	59.0	W 41 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/30	New Mexico State at Arkansas	+18.0	61.0	L 24 - 42	O	Y
Sat 10/7	New Mexico State at App State	+13.5	55.5	L 31 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/14	New Mexico State at Georgia Southern	-5.5	59.0	W 35 - 27	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	New Mexico State vs Arkansas State	+3.5	71.0	L 21 - 37	U	N
Sat 11/4	New Mexico State at Texas State	-9.5	57.0	W 45 - 35	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/18	New Mexico State at Louisiana	-3.5	65.0	L 34 - 47	O	N
Sat 11/25	New Mexico State vs Idaho	-10.0	56.5	W 17 - 10	U	N
Sat 12/2	New Mexico State vs South Alabama	-11.5	54.0	W 22 - 17	U	N
Fri 12/29	New Mexico State vs Utah State	-4.0	61.0	W 26 - 20	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for New Mexico State's Schedule

Texas State's 2017 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Texas State vs Houston Christian	-17.0
Sat 9/9	Texas State at Colorado	+36.0	56.0	L 3 - 37	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Texas State vs App State	+21.5	48.5	L 13 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Texas State vs UTSA	+13.5	45.0	L 14 - 44	O	N
Sat 9/30	Texas State at Wyoming	+16.5	45.0	L 10 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/7	Texas State vs UL Monroe	+6.0	55.0	L 27 - 45	O	N
Thu 10/12	Texas State at Louisiana	+14.0	55.5	L 7 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Texas State at Coastal Carolina	+9.5	54.0	W 27 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Texas State vs New Mexico State	+9.5	57.0	L 35 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/11	Texas State vs Georgia State	+5.5	51.5	L 30 - 33	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Texas State at Arkansas State	+26.5	58.5	L 12 - 30	U	Y
Fri 11/24	Texas State at Troy	+23.5	53.5	L 9 - 62	O	N

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NMSU	.11	41%	21.6	46%	3.28	171	34%	244	3.17	.21	46%	27.6	45%	44%	3.87	50	1.8	1.8
TXST	.03	38%	36.5	35%	2.35	86	39%	220	2.95	.28	48%	29	45%	49%	4.63	57.3	2.1	0.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NMSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
TXST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NMSU Offense	12	21.6	20	40.6%	3.17	1.8	22	415	171	244	4.5	46%	52%	46%	34%	19%	.11
TXST Defense	12	29	28.3	48.1%	4.63	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	56%	42%	45%	49%	12%	.28

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NMSU Defense	12	27.6	37.5	45.5%	3.87	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	57%	41%	45%	44%	15%	.21
TXST Offense	12	36.5	38	37.5%	2.95	2.1	18	306	86	220	2.4	44%	55%	35%	39%	21%	.03

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
New Mexico State	12	26:34	22.2	34%	54%	6.3	50	1.8	1.8	6.1	0.9	1	28.8
Texas State	12	26:43	17.7	31%	48%	6.8	57.3	2.1	0.8	5.3	0.8	1	28.1

Run Game Stats (2017)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NMSU Offense	12	46%	46%	37.8	170.9	4.5	13	.16	3.28	70%	11%	1.01
TXST Defense	12	56%	45%	-	-	-	-	.16	3.1	70%	9%	0.99

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NMSU Defense	12	57%	45%	-	-	-	-	.19	3.08	74%	11%	1.04
TXST Offense	12	44%	35%	35.5	85.6	2.4	13	.02	2.35	62%	15%	1

Pass Game Stats (2017)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NMSU Offense	12	52%	34%	21.1	38.3	243.8	6.4	11.6	22	15	.07	1.7	36%	34%	.32	8%	1.8
TXST Defense	12	42%	49%	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	.48	1.6	32%	36%	.31	3%	1.6

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NMSU Defense	12	41%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.28	1.7	30%	38%	.33	5%	1.8
TXST Offense	12	55%	39%	21.4	34.6	219.9	6.4	10.3	14	17	.05	1.4	34%	28%	.12	6%	1.7

New Mexico State's Power Ratings
New Mexico State's Power Rating: NR
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: NR
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating: #125
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
New Mexico State's 2017 Expected Record: -
New Mexico State's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.4 #99
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #94
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.6 #94

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State: Texas State: -9.25

SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State: -9.4 Texas State: -23.5

Texas State's Power Ratings
Texas State's Power Rating: -9.25 NR
Texas State's Offense Rating: NR
Texas State's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating: #123
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Texas State's 2017 Expected Record: -
Texas State's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -23.5 #124
Texas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 14.7 #124
Texas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.9 #109

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

New Mexico State Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 20
Defense: 27.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.5

New Mexico State's 2017 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 4 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Texas State 35
New Mexico State 25

Projected Total Points: 60

Texas State Scoring
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 38
Defense: 29 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.3

Texas State's 2017 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2018	10/27	Texas State	27	New Mexico State	20	Texas State -1	Texas State	56.0	Under
2017	11/04	Texas State	35	New Mexico State	45	New Mexico State -9.5	New Mexico State	57.0	Over
2016	11/19	New Mexico State	50	Texas State	10	New Mexico State -6.5	New Mexico State	66.0	Under
2015	11/07	Texas State	21	New Mexico State	31	Texas State -13	New Mexico State	69.0	Under
2014	11/01	New Mexico State	29	Texas State	37	Texas State -10.5	New Mexico State	0
2012	12/01	Texas State	66	New Mexico State	28

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Texas State	3	1	1 Overs
New Mexico State	3	4	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 3	3 - 2	2 - 1	1 - 1
Road Teams	3 - 3	2 - 3	1 - 1	1 - 2

(#) NMSU at (#) TXST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	NMSU	TXST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#99	#124
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#125	#123
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

New Mexico State Injury Report

Texas State Injury Report

New Mexico State on Offense


CategoryCat	NMSU Off	TXST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#94	#109
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

New Mexico State Run Game


CategoryCat	NMSU Off	TXST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

New Mexico State Pass Game


CategoryCat	NMSU Off	TXST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Texas State on Offense


CategoryCat	TXST Off	NMSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#124	#94
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Texas State Run Game


CategoryCat	TXST Off	NMSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Texas State Pass Game


CategoryCat	TXST Off	NMSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
TXST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Remains Poor G5

NMSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Wacker Field at Bobcat Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 10
New Mexico State 9.5 (57.0)
New Mexico State won at Texas State this year (45-35)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

NMSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View New Mexico State's Full Roster

NMSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

TXST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Texas State's Full Roster

TXST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD