Notre Dame at North Carolina - 2017 Matchup Preview
Notre Dame logo   Notre Dame Fighting Irish at North Carolina Tar Heels  North Carolina logo
Saturday, October 7th 2017 (3:30 PM EDT)
Notre Dame -13 (63.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Notre Dame 33 - North Carolina: 10

 
Fighting Irish (10 - 3) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 42 - 18 (38 - 17 on Road)
'17 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UNC is playing their 6th straight game
ND is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -6  (SP+ ND -16.5)
Projected Score: ND: 33 - UNC: 19 (52)
ND Win prob: 80% | Cover: 46%
ND Travel: 556 miles
Tar Heels (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 19 - 25 (21 - 26 @ Home)
'17 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Notre Dame's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Notre Dame vs Temple-19.556.5W 49 - 16OY
Sat 9/9 Notre Dame vs Georgia-5.557.0L 19 - 20UN
Sat 9/16 Notre Dame at Boston College-14.053.0W 49 - 20OY
Sat 9/23 Notre Dame at Michigan State-3.554.0W 38 - 18OY
Sat 9/30 Notre Dame vs Miami (OH)-21.053.5W 52 - 17OY
Sat 10/7 Notre Dame at North Carolina-13.063.5W 33 - 10UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Notre Dame vs USC-4.061.5W 49 - 14OY
Sat 10/28 Notre Dame vs NC State-7.061.0W 35 - 14UY
Sat 11/4 Notre Dame vs Wake Forest-16.556.0W 48 - 37ON
Sat 11/11 Notre Dame at Miami-3.559.5L 8 - 41UN
Sat 11/18 Notre Dame vs Navy-20.558.5W 24 - 17UN
Sat 11/25 Notre Dame at Stanford-3.057.0L 20 - 38ON
Mon 1/1 Notre Dame vs LSU+2.052.0W 21 - 17UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Notre Dame's Schedule
North Carolina's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 North Carolina vs California-12.557.5L 30 - 35ON
Sat 9/9 North Carolina vs Louisville+11.565.5L 35 - 47ON
Sat 9/16 North Carolina at Old Dominion-11.556.0W 53 - 23OY
Sat 9/23 North Carolina vs Duke-1.561.0L 17 - 27UN
Sat 9/30 North Carolina at Georgia Tech+10.058.5L 7 - 33UN
Sat 10/7 North Carolina vs Notre Dame+13.063.5L 10 - 33UN
Sat 10/14 North Carolina vs Virginia+3.054.5L 14 - 20UN
Sat 10/21 North Carolina at Virginia Tech+20.052.5L 7 - 59ON
Sat 10/28 North Carolina vs Miami+21.056.0L 19 - 24UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/9 North Carolina at Pittsburgh+10.050.5W 34 - 31OY
Sat 11/18 North Carolina vs Western Carolina-21.0
Sat 11/25 North Carolina at NC State+14.557.0L 21 - 33UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Carolina's Schedule
Important Stats (2016)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ND.246%4246%2.9816343%2544.1.1744%17.642%47%2.8653.21.51.2
UNC.2946%19.345%2.8914646%2934.13.1745%24.547%42%361.31.20.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ND0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UNC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ND Offense124238.245.5%4.11.5214181632544.548%50%46%43%16%.2
UNC Defense1324.52645.5%30.8 - - - - - 62%37%47%42%14%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ND Defense1217.61744.3%2.861.2 - - - - - 61%38%42%47%15%.17
UNC Offense1319.32146.3%4.131.2224391462934.743%55%45%46%17%.29

Additional Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Notre Dame1228:5521.240%65%6.553.21.51.25.31.2229.7
North Carolina1324:2321.745%40%7.661.31.20.85.21.9330.2
Run Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ND Offense1248%46%36.5163.34.518.172.9876%10%0.95
UNC Defense1362%47% - - - - .143.0968%10%0.84
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ND Defense1261%42% - - - - .082.6568%10%0.97
UNC Offense1343%45%30.8145.84.721.122.8964%11%1.01

Pass Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ND Offense1250%43%18.732.3254.37.913.6279.281.732%38%.46%1.8
UNC Defense1337%42% - - - - - - 1.211.529%35%.225%1.5
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ND Defense1238%47% - - - - - - 8.331.526%33%.355%2
UNC Offense1355%46%24.135.2293.28.312.2306.451.733%41%.576%2

Notre Dame's Power Ratings
Notre Dame's Power Rating: NR
Notre Dame's Offense Rating: NR
Notre Dame's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #10
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Notre Dame's 2017 Expected Record: -
Notre Dame's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 20.8  #12
Notre Dame's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.4  #18
Notre Dame's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.9  #15

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Notre Dame:    North Carolina: 4.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Notre Dame: 20.8   North Carolina: 4.3




North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: 4.65 NR
North Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
North Carolina's 2017 Expected Record: -
North Carolina's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.3  #55
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.3  #56
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.9  #58

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Notre Dame Scoring
Offense: 42 PPG
Offense on Road: 38.2
Defense: 17.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 17

Notre Dame's 2017 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Notre Dame 33
North Carolina 19

Projected Total Points: 52
North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 19.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 21
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 26

North Carolina's 2017 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 1 - 6
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202209/24North Carolina32Notre Dame45North Carolina -2.5Notre Dame55.0Over
202110/30Notre Dame44North Carolina34Notre Dame -3.5Notre Dame63.0Over
202011/27North Carolina17Notre Dame31Notre Dame -4.5Notre Dame69.5Under
201710/07North Carolina10Notre Dame33Notre Dame -13Notre Dame63.5Under
201410/11Notre Dame50North Carolina43Notre Dame -16North Carolina0
200810/11North Carolina29Notre Dame24
200611/04Notre Dame45North Carolina26
TeamWinsCoversO/U
North Carolina112 Overs
Notre Dame642 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 31 - 41 - 20 - 2
Road Teams3 - 44 - 12 - 02 - 1

(#) ND at (#) UNC
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNDUNC
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #12 #55
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #10 #27
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Notre Dame on Offense
CategoryCat
ND OffUNC Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #18 #58
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Notre Dame Run Game
CategoryCat
ND OffUNC Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Notre Dame Pass Game
CategoryCat
ND OffUNC Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
North Carolina on Offense
CategoryCatUNC OffND Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #56 #15
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
North Carolina Run Game
CategoryCat
UNC OffND Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
North Carolina Pass Game
CategoryCatUNC OffND Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UNC 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

ND 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kenan Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 6
Notre Dame 13.0 (63.5)
Notre Dame won at North Carolina this year (33-10)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
ND's OC ()
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ND's DC ()
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UNC's OC ()
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UNC's DC ()
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