Boston College at Virginia - 2017 Matchup Preview

Boston College Eagles at Virginia Cavaliers(#18)

Saturday, October 21st 2017 (12:30 PM EDT)
Virginia -6.5 (48.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Boston College 41 - Virginia: 10 (ACC)

Eagles (7 - 6) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 23 (32 - 24 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

BC 2nd straight Road Game
BC is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: -0.5 (SP+ BC -4)
Projected Score: BC: 25 - UVA: 28 (53)
UVA Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
BC Travel: 488 miles

Cavaliers (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 28 (23 - 24 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BC Players
UVA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Boston College's 2017 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/1	Boston College at Northern Illinois	-3.5	47.0	W 23 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/9	Boston College vs Wake Forest	-1.0	45.5	L 10 - 34	U	N
Sat 9/16	Boston College vs Notre Dame	+14.0	53.0	L 20 - 49	O	N
Sat 9/23	Boston College at Clemson	+33.5	53.0	L 7 - 34	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Boston College vs Central Michigan	-10.5	51.5	W 28 - 8	U	Y
Sat 10/7	Boston College vs Virginia Tech	+16.5	47.0	L 10 - 23	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Boston College at Louisville	+20.0	60.0	W 45 - 42	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Boston College at Virginia	+6.5	48.5	W 41 - 10	O	Y
Fri 10/27	Boston College vs Florida State	+6.0	46.5	W 35 - 3	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/11	Boston College vs NC State	+3.0	54.5	L 14 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Boston College vs UConn	-21.0	51.0	W 39 - 16	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Boston College at Syracuse	-4.0	56.5	W 42 - 14	U	Y
Wed 12/27	Boston College vs Iowa	+2.0	45.5	L 20 - 27	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Boston College's Schedule

Virginia's 2017 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Virginia vs William & Mary	-28.0
Sat 9/9	Virginia vs Indiana	+3.5	56.0	L 17 - 34	U	N
Sat 9/16	Virginia vs UConn	-11.0	51.0	W 38 - 18	O	Y
Fri 9/22	Virginia at Boise State	+13.5	50.0	W 42 - 23	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	Virginia vs Duke	+1.5	53.0	W 28 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Virginia at North Carolina	-3.0	54.5	W 20 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Virginia vs Boston College	-6.5	48.5	L 10 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/28	Virginia at Pittsburgh	+1.0	49.0	L 14 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/4	Virginia vs Georgia Tech	+8.5	50.0	W 40 - 36	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Virginia at Louisville	+14.0	66.5	L 21 - 38	U	N
Sat 11/18	Virginia at Miami	+20.0	50.5	L 28 - 44	O	Y
Fri 11/24	Virginia vs Virginia Tech	+7.0	48.0	L 0 - 10	U	N
Thu 12/28	Virginia at Navy	+2.5	51.0	L 7 - 49	O	N

Important Stats (2017)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BC	.08	40%	25.7	42%	2.79	220	34%	166	2.99	.1	39%	22.8	41%	35%	2.97	29.8	1.5	1.9
UVA	.07	39%	22.5	39%	2.7	94	39%	249	3.03	.14	41%	28.4	42%	37%	3.49	45.5	1.5	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BC	#89 (.16)	41% (93)		41% (96)	2.87 (99)	164	41% (78)	176	4 (58)	#56 (.15)	42% (74)		40% (40)	44% (104)	3.64 (51)	40	1.2	1.8
UVA	#102 (.13)	40% (103)		43% (77)	3.29 (25)	133	37% (113)	229	3.47 (106)	#116 (.27)	43% (80)		44% (77)	42% (77)	4.04 (94)	45.3	1.6	1.3

Overall Stats 2017

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BC Offense	13	25.7	31.6	39.5%	2.99	1.5	19	387	220	166	4.6	58%	41%	42%	34%	15%	.08
UVA Defense	13	28.4	24.3	40.6%	3.49	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	59%	39%	42%	37%	16%	.14

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BC Defense	13	22.8	24	39.2%	2.97	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	41%	35%	17%	.1
UVA Offense	13	22.5	23	39.5%	3.03	1.5	19	342	94	249	3.1	39%	60%	39%	39%	18%	.07

Additional Stats 2017

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Boston College	13	30:25	18.9	38%	40%	3.6	29.8	1.5	1.9	5.8	2	2	34.6
Virginia	13	30:23	18.5	39%	39%	4.8	45.5	1.5	1.4	5.4	2.2	3	30.8

Run Game Stats (2017)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BC Offense	13	58%	42%	47.5	220.4	4.6	24	.08	2.79	72%	10%	0.91
UVA Defense	13	59%	42%	-	-	-	-	.13	3.1	76%	10%	0.99

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BC Defense	13	53%	41%	-	-	-	-	.15	2.94	67%	10%	1.1
UVA Offense	13	39%	39%	29.9	93.5	3.1	10	.03	2.7	60%	11%	0.98

Pass Game Stats (2017)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BC Offense	13	41%	34%	15.2	28.2	166.3	5.9	10.9	16	12	.11	1.7	36%	29%	.12	5%	1.6
UVA Defense	13	39%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.16	1.8	31%	31%	.22	6%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BC Defense	13	46%	35%	-	-	-	-	-	-	18	.06	1.6	34%	31%	.22	8%	1.8
UVA Offense	13	60%	39%	23.1	39.9	248.7	6.2	10.8	25	11	.11	1.5	33%	28%	.24	6%	2

Boston College's Power Ratings
Boston College's Power Rating: NR
Boston College's Offense Rating: NR
Boston College's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating: #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Boston College's 2017 Expected Record: -
Boston College's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.6 #53
Boston College's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.2 #89
Boston College's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.9 #23

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Boston College: Virginia: 2.9

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Boston College: 4.6 Virginia: 0.8

Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: 2.9 NR
Virginia's Offense Rating: NR
Virginia's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating: #47
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Virginia's 2017 Expected Record: -
Virginia's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.8 #69
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.0 #91
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.3 #37

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Boston College Scoring
Offense: 25.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.6
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 24

Boston College's 2017 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Virginia 28
Boston College 25

Total Points: 53

Based on Last 4 Games
Virginia 32
Boston College 22

Total Points: 54

Based on Entire Season
Boston College 28
Virginia 23

Total Points: 51

Virginia Scoring
Offense: 22.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 23
Defense: 28.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.3

Virginia's 2017 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/05	Virginia	24	Boston College	14	Virginia -2	Virginia	52.5	Under
2023	09/30	Boston College	27	Virginia	24	Boston College -5	Virginia	52.5	Under
2020	12/05	Virginia	43	Boston College	32	Virginia -6.5	Virginia	53.0	Over
2017	10/21	Virginia	10	Boston College	41	Virginia -6.5	Boston College	48.5	Over
2010	11/20	Boston College	17	Virginia	13
2009	11/14	Virginia	10	Boston College	14
2005	10/08	Boston College	28	Virginia	17

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Virginia	2	3	2 Overs
Boston College	5	1	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	5 - 2	2 - 2	2 - 2	0 - 0
Road Teams	2 - 5	2 - 2	0 - 0	2 - 2

(#) BC at (#) UVA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BC	UVA
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#53	#69
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#65	#47
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Boston College Injury Report

Virginia Injury Report

Boston College on Offense


CategoryCat	BC Off	UVA Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#89	#37
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Boston College Run Game


CategoryCat	BC Off	UVA Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Boston College Pass Game


CategoryCat	BC Off	UVA Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Virginia on Offense


CategoryCat	UVA Off	BC Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#91	#23
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Virginia Run Game


CategoryCat	UVA Off	BC Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Virginia Pass Game


CategoryCat	UVA Off	BC Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
UVA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Top G5

BC 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Scott Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 73°

Rematch from Week 8
Virginia -6.5 (48.5)
Boston College won at Virginia this year (41-10)

Previous Matchups
Virginia beat Boston College last year (24-14)
Boston College beat Virginia in 2023 (27-24)

BC's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Boston College's Full Roster

BC's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

UVA's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Virginia's Full Roster

UVA's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD