Boston College at Louisville - 2017 Matchup Preview

Boston College Eagles at Louisville Cardinals

Saturday, October 14th 2017 (12:20 PM EDT)
Louisville -20 (60.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Boston College 45 - Louisville: 42 (ACC)

Eagles (7 - 6) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 23 (32 - 24 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

LOU is playing their 7th straight game
BC is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -10 (SP+ LOU -15)
Projected Score: BC: 22 - LOU: 33 (55)
LOU Win prob: 93% | Cover: 53%
BC Travel: 819 miles

Cardinals (8 - 5) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 38 - 27 (42 - 23 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BC Players
LOU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Boston College's 2017 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/1	Boston College at Northern Illinois	-3.5	47.0	W 23 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/9	Boston College vs Wake Forest	-1.0	45.5	L 10 - 34	U	N
Sat 9/16	Boston College vs Notre Dame	+14.0	53.0	L 20 - 49	O	N
Sat 9/23	Boston College at Clemson	+33.5	53.0	L 7 - 34	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Boston College vs Central Michigan	-10.5	51.5	W 28 - 8	U	Y
Sat 10/7	Boston College vs Virginia Tech	+16.5	47.0	L 10 - 23	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Boston College at Louisville	+20.0	60.0	W 45 - 42	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Boston College at Virginia	+6.5	48.5	W 41 - 10	O	Y
Fri 10/27	Boston College vs Florida State	+6.0	46.5	W 35 - 3	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/11	Boston College vs NC State	+3.0	54.5	L 14 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Boston College vs UConn	-21.0	51.0	W 39 - 16	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Boston College at Syracuse	-4.0	56.5	W 42 - 14	U	Y
Wed 12/27	Boston College vs Iowa	+2.0	45.5	L 20 - 27	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Boston College's Schedule

Louisville's 2017 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Louisville vs Purdue	-25.5	67.5	W 35 - 28	U	N
Sat 9/9	Louisville at North Carolina	-11.5	65.5	W 47 - 35	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Louisville vs Clemson	+3.0	61.0	L 21 - 47	O	N
Sat 9/23	Louisville vs Kent State	-41.5	56.0	W 42 - 3	U	N
Sat 9/30	Louisville vs Murray State	-49.0	63.5	W 55 - 10	O	N
Thu 10/5	Louisville at NC State	-3.5	67.0	L 25 - 39	U	N
Sat 10/14	Louisville vs Boston College	-20.0	60.0	L 42 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/21	Louisville at Florida State	+7.0	58.0	W 31 - 28	O	Y
Sat 10/28	Louisville at Wake Forest	-3.0	66.5	L 32 - 42	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/11	Louisville vs Virginia	-14.0	66.5	W 38 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Louisville vs Syracuse	-15.0	69.0	W 56 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Louisville at Kentucky	-10.0	68.0	W 44 - 17	U	Y
Sat 12/30	Louisville vs Mississippi State	-6.5	62.0	L 27 - 31	U	N

Important Stats (2017)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BC	.08	40%	25.7	42%	2.79	220	34%	166	2.99	.1	39%	22.8	41%	35%	2.97	29.8	1.5	1.9
LOU	.33	50%	38.1	52%	3.62	245	47%	300	4.05	.16	46%	27.4	46%	44%	3.15	51.1	1.6	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BC	#89 (.16)	41% (93)		41% (96)	2.87 (99)	164	41% (78)	176	4 (58)	#56 (.15)	42% (74)		40% (40)	44% (104)	3.64 (51)	40	1.2	1.8
LOU	#15 (.31)	46% (26)		48% (20)	3.09 (56)	173	45% (30)	251	4.27 (31)	#73 (.18)	40% (49)		40% (44)	40% (65)	3.98 (87)	46.1	0.8	1.2

Overall Stats 2017

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BC Offense	13	25.7	31.6	39.5%	2.99	1.5	19	387	220	166	4.6	58%	41%	42%	34%	15%	.08
LOU Defense	13	27.4	22.7	45.9%	3.15	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	46%	44%	18%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BC Defense	13	22.8	24	39.2%	2.97	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	41%	35%	17%	.1
LOU Offense	13	38.1	42.3	50.1%	4.05	1.6	27	545	245	300	6.4	47%	51%	52%	47%	15%	.33

Additional Stats 2017

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Boston College	13	30:25	18.9	38%	40%	3.6	29.8	1.5	1.9	5.8	2	2	34.6
Louisville	13	30:25	27.1	44%	63%	6.3	51.1	1.6	1.7	6.1	2.1	2	28.3

Run Game Stats (2017)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BC Offense	13	58%	42%	47.5	220.4	4.6	24	.08	2.79	72%	10%	0.91
LOU Defense	13	52%	46%	-	-	-	-	.1	2.86	74%	11%	0.89

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BC Defense	13	53%	41%	-	-	-	-	.15	2.94	67%	10%	1.1
LOU Offense	13	47%	52%	38.1	245.1	6.4	33	.34	3.62	70%	9%	1.14

Pass Game Stats (2017)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BC Offense	13	41%	34%	15.2	28.2	166.3	5.9	10.9	16	12	.11	1.7	36%	29%	.12	5%	1.6
LOU Defense	13	47%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.25	1.6	30%	31%	.29	7%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BC Defense	13	46%	35%	-	-	-	-	-	-	18	.06	1.6	34%	31%	.22	8%	1.8
LOU Offense	13	51%	47%	21.3	35.7	299.8	8.4	14.1	29	10	.34	1.6	31%	44%	.5	6%	1.8

Boston College's Power Ratings
Boston College's Power Rating: NR
Boston College's Offense Rating: NR
Boston College's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating: #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Boston College's 2017 Expected Record: -
Boston College's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.6 #53
Boston College's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.2 #89
Boston College's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.9 #23

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Boston College: Louisville: 12.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Boston College: 4.6 Louisville: 19.2

Louisville's Power Ratings
Louisville's Power Rating: 12.1 NR
Louisville's Offense Rating: NR
Louisville's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating: #36
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Louisville's 2017 Expected Record: -
Louisville's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 19.2 #14
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 43.3 #2
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.9 #47

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Boston College Scoring
Offense: 25.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.6
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 24

Boston College's 2017 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Louisville 33
Boston College 22

Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
Louisville 34
Boston College 17

Total Points: 51

Based on Entire Season
Louisville 32
Boston College 27

Total Points: 59

Louisville Scoring
Offense: 38.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 42.3
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.7

Louisville's 2017 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/25	Louisville	38	Boston College	24	Louisville -25.5	Boston College	54.5	Over
2024	10/25	Boston College	27	Louisville	31	Louisville -7.0	Boston College	54.0	Over
2023	09/23	Louisville	56	Boston College	28	Louisville -14	Louisville	53.0	Over
2022	10/01	Boston College	34	Louisville	33	Louisville -13.5	Boston College	48.5	Over
2021	10/23	Louisville	28	Boston College	14	Louisville -4	Louisville	57.5	Under
2020	11/28	Boston College	34	Louisville	27	Boston College -1	Boston College	57.0	Over
2019	10/05	Louisville	41	Boston College	39	Louisville -3.5	Boston College	61.0	Over
2018	10/13	Boston College	38	Louisville	20	Boston College -11	Boston College	56.5	Over
2017	10/14	Louisville	42	Boston College	45	Louisville -20	Boston College	60.0	Over
2016	11/05	Boston College	7	Louisville	52	Louisville -24.5	Louisville	52.0	Over
2015	10/24	Louisville	17	Boston College	14	Louisville -8.5	Boston College	37.0	Under
2014	11/08	Boston College	19	Louisville	38	Louisville -2.5	Louisville	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Louisville	8	4	9 Overs
Boston College	4	8	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 4	6 - 6	4 - 4	2 - 2
Road Teams	4 - 8	6 - 6	2 - 2	4 - 4

(#) BC at (#) LOU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BC	LOU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#53	#14
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#65	#36
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Boston College Injury Report

Louisville Injury Report

Boston College on Offense


CategoryCat	BC Off	LOU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#89	#47
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Boston College Run Game


CategoryCat	BC Off	LOU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Boston College Pass Game


CategoryCat	BC Off	LOU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Louisville on Offense


CategoryCat	LOU Off	BC Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#2	#23
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Louisville Run Game


CategoryCat	LOU Off	BC Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Louisville Pass Game


CategoryCat	LOU Off	BC Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
LOU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to CFP Hopefuls

BC 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Papa John's Cardinal Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 74° - Wind: 7 mph

Rematch from Week 7
Louisville -20.0 (60.0)
Boston College won at Louisville this year (45-42)

Previous Matchups
Louisville beat Boston College last year (31-27)
Louisville beat Boston College in 2023 (56-28)
Boston College beat Louisville in 2022 (34-33)

BC's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Boston College's Full Roster

BC's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

LOU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Louisville's Full Roster

LOU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD