Virginia at Boise State - 2017 Matchup Preview

Virginia Cavaliers at Boise State Broncos

Friday, September 22nd 2017 (8:00 PM EDT)
Boise State -13.5 (50.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Virginia 42 - Boise State: 23

Cavaliers (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (29 - 23 on Road)
'17 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

BSU 2nd straight Home Game
BSU is playing their 4th straight game
UVA is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -6.5 (SP+ BSU -8)
Projected Score: UVA: 27 - BSU: 29 (56)
BSU Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
UVA Travel: 1990 miles, 2 hrs ahead

Broncos (11 - 3) (8 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 24 (41 - 22 @ Home)
'17 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UVA Players
BSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Virginia's 2017 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Virginia vs William & Mary	-28.0
Sat 9/9	Virginia vs Indiana	+3.5	56.0	L 17 - 34	U	N
Sat 9/16	Virginia vs UConn	-11.0	51.0	W 38 - 18	O	Y
Fri 9/22	Virginia at Boise State	+13.5	50.0	W 42 - 23	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	Virginia vs Duke	+1.5	53.0	W 28 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Virginia at North Carolina	-3.0	54.5	W 20 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Virginia vs Boston College	-6.5	48.5	L 10 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/28	Virginia at Pittsburgh	+1.0	49.0	L 14 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/4	Virginia vs Georgia Tech	+8.5	50.0	W 40 - 36	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Virginia at Louisville	+14.0	66.5	L 21 - 38	U	N
Sat 11/18	Virginia at Miami	+20.0	50.5	L 28 - 44	O	Y
Fri 11/24	Virginia vs Virginia Tech	+7.0	48.0	L 0 - 10	U	N
Thu 12/28	Virginia at Navy	+2.5	51.0	L 7 - 49	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Virginia's Schedule

Boise State's 2017 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Boise State vs Troy	-11.0	59.0	W 24 - 13	U	N
Sat 9/9	Boise State at Washington State	+7.5	58.0	L 44 - 47	O	Y
Thu 9/14	Boise State vs New Mexico	-16.0	56.5	W 28 - 14	U	N
Fri 9/22	Boise State vs Virginia	-13.5	50.0	L 23 - 42	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/6	Boise State at BYU	-7.5	46.5	W 24 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Boise State at San Diego State	+5.5	47.0	W 31 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Boise State vs Wyoming	-15.0	44.5	W 24 - 14	U	N
Sat 10/28	Boise State at Utah State	-13.0	51.5	W 41 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Boise State vs Nevada	-20.5	63.0	W 41 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Boise State at Colorado State	-6.5	59.0	W 59 - 52	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Boise State vs Air Force	-17.5	60.5	W 44 - 19	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Boise State at Fresno State	-6.5	49.0	L 17 - 28	U	N
Sat 12/2	Boise State vs Fresno State	-9.5	51.0	W 17 - 14	U	N
Sat 12/16	Boise State vs Oregon	+7.0	63.0	W 38 - 28	O	Y

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UVA	.04	41%	30.8	43%	2.75	114	38%	239	3.21	.23	45%	19.6	40%	48%	3.45	57.9	2.2	1.1
BSU	.28	49%	29.9	48%	3.04	174	49%	298	4.35	.12	43%	24.1	43%	40%	2.86	37.8	1.4	0.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UVA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
BSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UVA Offense	12	30.8	28.6	40.6%	3.21	2.2	20	353	114	239	3.6	40%	60%	43%	38%	17%	.04
BSU Defense	13	24.1	22.3	42.6%	2.86	0.7	-	-	-	-	-	49%	49%	43%	40%	15%	.12

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UVA Defense	12	19.6	23.2	44.8%	3.45	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	53%	45%	40%	48%	16%	.23
BSU Offense	13	29.9	41.3	48.9%	4.35	1.4	23	473	174	298	4.6	51%	47%	48%	49%	14%	.28

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Virginia	12	29:00	19.8	34%	52%	6.3	57.9	2.2	1.1	5.5	2	0	31.2
Boise State	13	28:01	23.1	48%	53%	4.3	37.8	1.4	0.7	6.2	3.2	1	26.2

Run Game Stats (2017)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UVA Offense	12	40%	43%	32	113.6	3.6	13	.06	2.75	68%	10%	0.93
BSU Defense	13	49%	43%	-	-	-	-	.09	2.95	85%	9%	0.91

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UVA Defense	12	53%	40%	-	-	-	-	.07	2.86	73%	10%	0.96
BSU Offense	13	51%	48%	37.9	174.5	4.6	29	.17	3.04	75%	10%	0.98

Pass Game Stats (2017)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UVA Offense	12	60%	38%	22.2	40.6	239.3	5.9	10.8	23	16	.03	1.4	34%	26%	.05	7%	1.8
BSU Defense	13	49%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.17	1.5	33%	32%	.19	6%	1.7

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UVA Defense	12	45%	48%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.44	1.7	32%	34%	.42	6%	2.2
BSU Offense	13	47%	49%	19.5	31.2	298.3	9.6	15.3	28	8	.43	1.7	28%	42%	.52	4%	1.9

Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: NR
Virginia's Offense Rating: NR
Virginia's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating: #47
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Virginia's 2017 Expected Record: -
Virginia's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.8 #69
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.0 #91
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.3 #37

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Virginia: Boise State: 7.05

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Virginia: 0.8 Boise State: 9.1

Boise State's Power Ratings
Boise State's Power Rating: 7.05 NR
Boise State's Offense Rating: NR
Boise State's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating: #71
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Boise State's 2017 Expected Record: -
Boise State's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.1 #37
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #63
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #26

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Virginia Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.6
Defense: 19.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.2

Virginia's 2017 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Boise State 29
Virginia 27

Projected Total Points: 56

Boise State Scoring
Offense: 29.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 41.3
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.3

Boise State's 2017 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2017	09/22	Boise State	23	Virginia	42	Boise State -13.5	Virginia	50.0	Over
2015	09/25	Virginia	14	Boise State	56	Boise State -4	Boise State	48.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Boise State	1	1	2 Overs
Virginia	1	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 1
Road Teams	2 - 0	2 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0

(#) UVA at (#) BSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UVA	BSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#69	#37
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#47	#71
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Virginia Injury Report

Boise State Injury Report

Virginia on Offense


CategoryCat	UVA Off	BSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#91	#26
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Virginia Run Game


CategoryCat	UVA Off	BSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Virginia Pass Game


CategoryCat	UVA Off	BSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Boise State on Offense


CategoryCat	BSU Off	UVA Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#63	#37
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Boise State Run Game


CategoryCat	BSU Off	UVA Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Boise State Pass Game


CategoryCat	BSU Off	UVA Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
BSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Average P4

UVA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Albertsons Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 4
Boise State -13.5 (50.0)
Virginia won at Boise State this year (42-23)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

UVA's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Virginia's Full Roster

UVA's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

BSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Boise State's Full Roster

BSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD