UConn at Virginia - 2017 Matchup Preview
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UConn Huskies at Virginia Cavaliers

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Saturday, September 16th 2017 (12:00 PM EDT)
Virginia -11 (51.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Virginia 38 - UConn: 18

 
Huskies (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 35 - 27 (34 - 32 on Road)
'17 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UVA 3rd straight Home Game
CONN coming off BYE
Our Line: -12.5  (SP+ UVA -20)
Projected Score: CONN: 27 - UVA: 32 (59)
UVA Win prob: 78% | Cover: 49%
CONN Travel: 405 miles
Cavaliers (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (36 - 18 @ Home)
'17 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
UConn's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/31 UConn vs Holy Cross-22.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/16 UConn at Virginia+11.051.0L 18 - 38ON
Sun 9/24 UConn vs East Carolina-5.063.5L 38 - 41ON
Sat 9/30 UConn at SMU+16.575.0L 28 - 49ON
Fri 10/6 UConn vs Memphis+16.076.0L 31 - 70ON
Sat 10/14 UConn at Temple+10.557.5W 28 - 24UY
Sat 10/21 UConn vs Tulsa+4.077.0W 20 - 14UY
Sat 10/28 UConn vs Missouri+13.575.5L 12 - 52UN
Sat 11/4 UConn vs South Florida+24.064.5L 20 - 37UY
Sat 11/11 UConn at UCF+38.064.0L 24 - 49OY
Sat 11/18 UConn vs Boston College+21.051.0L 16 - 39ON
Sat 11/25 UConn at Cincinnati+6.059.0L 21 - 22UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UConn's Schedule
Virginia's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Virginia vs William & Mary-28.0
Sat 9/9 Virginia vs Indiana+3.556.0L 17 - 34UN
Sat 9/16 Virginia vs UConn-11.051.0W 38 - 18OY
Fri 9/22 Virginia at Boise State+13.550.0W 42 - 23OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7 Virginia vs Duke+1.553.0W 28 - 21UY
Sat 10/14 Virginia at North Carolina-3.054.5W 20 - 14UY
Sat 10/21 Virginia vs Boston College-6.548.5L 10 - 41ON
Sat 10/28 Virginia at Pittsburgh+1.049.0L 14 - 31UN
Sat 11/4 Virginia vs Georgia Tech+8.550.0W 40 - 36OY
Sat 11/11 Virginia at Louisville+14.066.5L 21 - 38UN
Sat 11/18 Virginia at Miami+20.050.5L 28 - 44OY
Fri 11/24 Virginia vs Virginia Tech+7.048.0L 0 - 10UN
Thu 12/28 Virginia at Navy+2.551.0L 7 - 49ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Virginia's Schedule
Important Stats (2016)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CONN.0439%35.336%2.611739%2032.54.2246%2743%49%3.4728.31.60.9
UVA.0441%30.843%2.7511438%2393.21.2345%19.640%48%3.4557.92.21.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CONN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UVA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CONN Offense1235.333.538.5%2.541.6173201172033.450%48%36%39%20%.04
UVA Defense1219.617.744.8%3.451.1 - - - - - 53%45%40%48%16%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CONN Defense122732.246.3%3.470.9 - - - - - 49%50%43%49%13%.22
UVA Offense1230.836.440.6%3.212.2203531142393.640%60%43%38%17%.04

Additional Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UConn1229:5217.134%48%3.628.31.60.94.51.4027.5
Virginia1229:0019.834%52%6.357.92.21.15.52031.2
Run Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CONN Offense1250%36%34.8117.33.4112.667%14%0.94
UVA Defense1253%40% - - - - .072.8673%10%0.96
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CONN Defense1249%43% - - - - .082.8470%8%0.93
UVA Offense1240%43%32113.63.613.062.7568%10%0.93

Pass Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CONN Offense1248%39%17.831.7202.76.411.4811.11.534%28%.126%1.8
UVA Defense1245%48% - - - - - - 9.441.732%34%.426%2.2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CONN Defense1250%49% - - - - - - 7.361.531%37%.355%1.7
UVA Offense1260%38%22.240.6239.35.910.82316.031.434%26%.057%1.8

UConn's Power Ratings
UConn's Power Rating: NR
UConn's Offense Rating: NR
UConn's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #81
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UConn's 2017 Expected Record: -
UConn's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -19.2  #119
UConn's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.4  #104
UConn's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.7  #122

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
UConn:    Virginia: 2.9

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UConn: -19.2   Virginia: 0.8




Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: 2.9 NR
Virginia's Offense Rating: NR
Virginia's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #47
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Virginia's 2017 Expected Record: -
Virginia's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.8  #69
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.0  #91
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.3  #37

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


UConn Scoring
Offense: 35.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.5
Defense: 27 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.2

UConn's 2017 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Virginia 32
UConn 27

Projected Total Points: 59
Virginia Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.4
Defense: 19.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.7

Virginia's 2017 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201709/16Virginia38UConn18Virginia -11Virginia51.0Over
201609/17UConn13Virginia10Connecticut -6.5Virginia47.5Under
200809/13UConn45Virginia10
200710/13Virginia17UConn16
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Virginia221 Overs
UConn201 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 01 - 11 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 41 - 10 - 01 - 1

(#) CONN at (#) UVA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCONNUVA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #119 #69
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #81 #47
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
UConn on Offense
CategoryCat
CONN OffUVA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #104 #37
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UConn Run Game
CategoryCat
CONN OffUVA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
UConn Pass Game
CategoryCat
CONN OffUVA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Virginia on Offense
CategoryCatUVA OffCONN Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #91 #122
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Virginia Run Game
CategoryCat
UVA OffCONN Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Virginia Pass Game
CategoryCatUVA OffCONN Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UVA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Top G5

CONN 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Scott Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 3
Virginia -11.0 (51.0)
Virginia won vs UConn this year (38-18)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
CONN's OC ()
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CONN's DC ()
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UVA's OC ()
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UVA's DC ()
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