NC State at Notre Dame - 2017 Matchup Preview
NC State logo   NC State Wolfpack at Notre Dame Fighting Irish  Notre Dame logo
Saturday, October 28th 2017 (3:30 PM EDT)
Notre Dame -7 (61.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Notre Dame 35 - NC State: 14

 
Wolfpack (9 - 4) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 27 (23 - 40 on Road)
'17 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ND 2nd straight Home Game
NCST coming off BYE
Our Line: -6.5  (SP+ ND -8)
Projected Score: NCST: 22 - ND: 39 (61)
ND Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
NCST Travel: 574 miles
Fighting Irish (10 - 3) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 42 - 18 (45 - 18 @ Home)
'17 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
NC State's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 NC State vs South Carolina+7.550.0L 28 - 35OY
Sat 9/9 NC State vs Marshall-21.055.0W 37 - 20ON
Sat 9/16 NC State vs Furman-37.0
Sat 9/23 NC State at Florida State+11.550.0W 27 - 21UY
Sat 9/30 NC State vs Syracuse-14.062.0W 33 - 25UN
Thu 10/5 NC State vs Louisville+3.567.0W 39 - 25UY
Sat 10/14 NC State at Pittsburgh-11.055.0W 35 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 NC State at Notre Dame+7.061.0L 14 - 35UN
Sat 11/4 NC State vs Clemson+9.551.0L 31 - 38OY
Sat 11/11 NC State at Boston College-3.054.5W 17 - 14UN
Sat 11/18 NC State at Wake Forest+3.062.0L 24 - 30UN
Sat 11/25 NC State vs North Carolina-14.557.0W 33 - 21UN
Fri 12/29 NC State vs Arizona State-5.062.5W 52 - 31OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for NC State's Schedule
Notre Dame's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Notre Dame vs Temple-19.556.5W 49 - 16OY
Sat 9/9 Notre Dame vs Georgia-5.557.0L 19 - 20UN
Sat 9/16 Notre Dame at Boston College-14.053.0W 49 - 20OY
Sat 9/23 Notre Dame at Michigan State-3.554.0W 38 - 18OY
Sat 9/30 Notre Dame vs Miami (OH)-21.053.5W 52 - 17OY
Sat 10/7 Notre Dame at North Carolina-13.063.5W 33 - 10UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Notre Dame vs USC-4.061.5W 49 - 14OY
Sat 10/28 Notre Dame vs NC State-7.061.0W 35 - 14UY
Sat 11/4 Notre Dame vs Wake Forest-16.556.0W 48 - 37ON
Sat 11/11 Notre Dame at Miami-3.559.5L 8 - 41UN
Sat 11/18 Notre Dame vs Navy-20.558.5W 24 - 17UN
Sat 11/25 Notre Dame at Stanford-3.057.0L 20 - 38ON
Mon 1/1 Notre Dame vs LSU+2.052.0W 21 - 17UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Notre Dame's Schedule
Important Stats (2016)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NCST.1743%30.242%2.7815643%2602.9.0838%27.236%38%2.8662.31.51.7
ND.246%4246%2.9816343%2544.1.1744%17.642%47%2.8653.21.51.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NCST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ND0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NCST Offense1330.22343.3%2.91.522416156260451%48%42%43%15%.17
ND Defense1217.61844.3%2.861.2 - - - - - 61%38%42%47%15%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NCST Defense1327.239.838.3%2.861.7 - - - - - 42%56%36%38%19%.08
ND Offense124244.745.5%4.11.5214181632544.548%50%46%43%16%.2

Additional Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
NC State1331:5021.844%44%662.31.51.76.82.8431.3
Notre Dame1228:5521.240%65%6.553.21.51.25.31.2229.7
Run Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NCST Offense1351%42%38.8156.2423.042.7861%8%0.88
ND Defense1261%42% - - - - .082.6568%10%0.97
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NCST Defense1342%36% - - - - .022.3867%12%1.04
ND Offense1248%46%36.5163.34.518.172.9876%10%0.95

Pass Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NCST Offense1348%43%20.233.7260.27.712.92012.321.733%38%.376%1.8
ND Defense1238%47% - - - - - - 8.331.526%33%.355%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NCST Defense1356%38% - - - - - - 10.151.538%33%.37%1.7
ND Offense1250%43%18.732.3254.37.913.6279.281.732%38%.46%1.8

NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: NR
NC State's Offense Rating: NR
NC State's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #44
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
NC State's 2017 Expected Record: -
NC State's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.9  #24
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.0  #15
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.3  #37

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
NC State:    Notre Dame: 12.9

SP+ Ratings Matchup
NC State: 12.9   Notre Dame: 20.8




Notre Dame's Power Ratings
Notre Dame's Power Rating: 12.9 NR
Notre Dame's Offense Rating: NR
Notre Dame's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #10
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Notre Dame's 2017 Expected Record: -
Notre Dame's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 20.8  #12
Notre Dame's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.4  #18
Notre Dame's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.9  #15

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


NC State Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 23
Defense: 27.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 39.8

NC State's 2017 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Notre Dame 39
NC State 22

Projected Total Points: 61
Notre Dame Scoring
Offense: 42 PPG
Offense at Home: 44.7
Defense: 17.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 18

Notre Dame's 2017 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/11Notre Dame36NC State7Notre Dame -23.5Notre Dame59.5Under
202309/09NC State24Notre Dame45Notre Dame -7Notre Dame49.5Over
201710/28Notre Dame35NC State14Notre Dame -7Notre Dame61.0Under
201610/08NC State10Notre Dame3Notre Dame -2.5NC State56.5Under
200201/01Notre Dame6NC State28
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Notre Dame331 Overs
NC State213 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 23 - 12 - 01 - 1
Road Teams2 - 31 - 31 - 10 - 2

(#) NCST at (#) ND
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNCSTND
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #24 #12
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #44 #10
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
NC State on Offense
CategoryCat
NCST OffND Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #15 #15
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
NC State Run Game
CategoryCat
NCST OffND Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
NC State Pass Game
CategoryCat
NCST OffND Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Notre Dame on Offense
CategoryCatND OffNCST Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #18 #37
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Notre Dame Run Game
CategoryCat
ND OffNCST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Notre Dame Pass Game
CategoryCatND OffNCST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ND 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to CFP Hopefuls

NCST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Notre Dame Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 9
Notre Dame -7.0 (61.0)
Notre Dame won vs NC State this year (35-14)

Previous Matchups
Notre Dame beat NC State last year (36-7)
Notre Dame beat NC State in 2023 (45-24)

  
NCST's OC ()
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NCST's DC ()
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ND's OC ()
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Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
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ND's DC ()
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