Florida State at Alabama - 2017 Matchup Preview

Florida State Seminoles vs Alabama Crimson Tide

Saturday, September 2nd 2017 (8:00 PM EDT)
Alabama -7.5 (51.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Alabama 24 - Florida State: 7

Seminoles (7 - 6) (4 - 8 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 33 - 22 (19 - 30 on Road)
'17 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -5.5 (SP+ ALA -11)
Projected Score: FSU: 21 - ALA: 30 (51)
ALA Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
FSU Travel: 229 miles

Crimson Tide (13 - 1) (6 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 19 (39 - 11 @ Home)
'17 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
FSU Players
ALA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Florida State's 2017 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Florida State vs Alabama	+7.5	51.0	L 7 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/23	Florida State vs NC State	-11.5	50.0	L 21 - 27	U	N
Sat 9/30	Florida State at Wake Forest	-7.5	46.5	W 26 - 19	U	N
Sat 10/7	Florida State vs Miami	+3.0	45.5	L 20 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/14	Florida State at Duke	-7.0	45.5	W 17 - 10	U	N
Sat 10/21	Florida State vs Louisville	-7.0	58.0	L 28 - 31	O	N
Fri 10/27	Florida State at Boston College	-6.0	46.5	L 3 - 35	U	N
Sat 11/4	Florida State vs Syracuse	-7.5	50.5	W 27 - 24	O	N
Sat 11/11	Florida State at Clemson	+16.5	44.5	L 14 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/18	Florida State vs Delaware State	-52.0
Sat 11/25	Florida State at Florida	-4.5	43.0	W 38 - 22	O	Y
Sat 12/2	Florida State vs UL Monroe	-26.0	64.0	W 42 - 10	U	Y
Wed 12/27	Florida State vs Southern Miss	-12.5	48.0	W 42 - 13	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida State's Schedule

Alabama's 2017 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Alabama vs Florida State	-7.5	51.0	W 24 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Alabama vs Fresno State	-42.5	54.0	W 41 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/16	Alabama vs Colorado State	-31.0	55.5	W 41 - 23	O	N
Sat 9/23	Alabama at Vanderbilt	-20.0	42.5	W 59 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Alabama vs Ole Miss	-30.0	56.0	W 66 - 3	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Alabama at Texas A&M	-26.5	56.5	W 27 - 19	U	N
Sat 10/14	Alabama vs Arkansas	-37.0	54.5	W 41 - 9	U	N
Sat 10/21	Alabama vs Tennessee	-36.5	51.5	W 45 - 7	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	Alabama vs LSU	-20.5	45.5	W 24 - 10	U	N
Sat 11/11	Alabama at Mississippi State	-14.5	50.0	W 31 - 24	O	N
Sat 11/18	Alabama vs Mercer	-49.0
Sat 11/25	Alabama at Auburn	-5.0	47.5	L 14 - 26	U	N
Mon 1/1	Alabama vs Clemson	-3.5	46.5	W 24 - 6	U	Y
Mon 1/8	Alabama vs Georgia	-3.5	45.5	W 26 - 23	O	N

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FSU	.28	49%	33	50%	2.92	202	45%	264	4.14	.11	38%	22	37%	37%	3.2	72.9	1.5	1.8
ALA	.24	47%	29.5	51%	3.16	245	40%	210	3.79	-.11	32%	19.2	29%	32%	1.78	44	1.3	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ALA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FSU Offense	13	33	18.6	48.7%	4.14	1.5	25	466	202	264	5.1	50%	48%	50%	45%	18%	.28
ALA Defense	15	19.2	11.4	32%	1.78	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	42%	56%	29%	32%	22%	-.11

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FSU Defense	13	22	30.2	38.3%	3.2	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	44%	54%	37%	37%	19%	.11
ALA Offense	15	29.5	39.3	47.2%	3.79	1.3	21	455	245	210	5.8	55%	43%	51%	40%	17%	.24

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Florida State	13	32:55	24.7	44%	60%	7.7	72.9	1.5	1.8	7.1	3.8	1	30.2
Alabama	15	30:55	21	44%	59%	5.7	44	1.3	1.8	7.9	3.6	10	33.2

Run Game Stats (2017)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FSU Offense	13	50%	50%	39.8	202.3	5.1	33	.23	2.92	79%	11%	1.06
ALA Defense	15	42%	29%	-	-	-	-	-.17	1.66	63%	15%	0.85

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FSU Defense	13	44%	37%	-	-	-	-	.08	2.74	76%	12%	1.08
ALA Offense	15	55%	51%	42.6	245	5.8	33	.26	3.16	81%	13%	1.06

Pass Game Stats (2017)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FSU Offense	13	48%	45%	18.8	32.4	264.1	8.2	14.1	23	8	.35	1.6	31%	43%	.41	7%	1.7
ALA Defense	15	56%	32%	-	-	-	-	-	-	16	-.06	1.6	39%	26%	-.09	7%	1.7

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FSU Defense	13	54%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.17	1.6	36%	30%	.28	6%	2
ALA Offense	15	43%	40%	17.7	27.8	210.3	7.6	11.9	26	9	.24	1.6	31%	34%	.4	4%	2

Florida State's Power Ratings
Florida State's Power Rating: NR
Florida State's Offense Rating: NR
Florida State's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating: #5
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Florida State's 2017 Expected Record: -
Florida State's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 22.8 #9
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.3 #37
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: 12.5 #6

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida State: Alabama: 16.75

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida State: 22.8 Alabama: 33.5

Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: 16.75 NR
Alabama's Offense Rating: NR
Alabama's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating: #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Alabama's 2017 Expected Record: -
Alabama's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 33.5 #1
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.7 #11
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 5.6 #1

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Florida State Scoring
Offense: 33 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.6
Defense: 22 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.2

Florida State's 2017 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Alabama 30
Florida State 21

Projected Total Points: 51

Alabama Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.3
Defense: 19.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 11.4

Alabama's 2017 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 6 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	08/30	Florida State	31	Alabama	17	Alabama -13.5	Florida State	50.5	Under
2017	09/02	Alabama	24	Florida State	7	Alabama -7.5	Alabama	51.0	Under
2007	09/29	Florida State	21	Alabama	14

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Alabama	1	1	0 Overs
Florida State	2	1	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 0	2 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 3	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 1

(#) FSU at (#) ALA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	FSU	ALA
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#9	#1
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#5	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Florida State Injury Report

Alabama Injury Report

Florida State on Offense


CategoryCat	FSU Off	ALA Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#37	#1
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Florida State Run Game


CategoryCat	FSU Off	ALA Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Florida State Pass Game


CategoryCat	FSU Off	ALA Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Alabama on Offense


CategoryCat	ALA Off	FSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#11	#6
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Alabama Run Game


CategoryCat	ALA Off	FSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Alabama Pass Game


CategoryCat	ALA Off	FSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ALA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to CFB Elites

FSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
Alabama -7.5 (51.0)
Alabama won vs Florida State this year (24-7)

Previous Matchups
Florida State beat Alabama last year (31-17)

FSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Florida State's Full Roster

FSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ALA's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Alabama's Full Roster

ALA's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD