Florida State at Florida - 2017 Matchup Preview
Florida State logo Florida State Seminoles at Florida GatorsFlorida logo
Saturday, November 25th 2017 (12:00 PM EST)
Florida State -4.5 (43.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Florida State 38 - Florida: 22

 
Seminoles (7 - 6) (4 - 8 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 21 (20 - 23 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
FLA 2nd straight Home Game
FLA is playing their 5th straight game
FSU is playing their 10th straight game
Our Line: -4  (SP+ FSU -12.5)

Projected Score: FSU: 22 - FLA: 26 (48)
FSU Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
FSU Travel: 129 miles
Gators (4 - 7) (3 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 22 - 27 (26 - 21 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Florida State's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Florida State vs Alabama+7.551.0L 7 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/23 Florida State vs NC State-11.550.0L 21 - 27UN
Sat 9/30 Florida State at Wake Forest-7.546.5W 26 - 19UN
Sat 10/7 Florida State vs Miami+3.045.5L 20 - 24UN
Sat 10/14 Florida State at Duke-7.045.5W 17 - 10UN
Sat 10/21 Florida State vs Louisville-7.058.0L 28 - 31ON
Fri 10/27 Florida State at Boston College-6.046.5L 3 - 35UN
Sat 11/4 Florida State vs Syracuse-7.550.5W 27 - 24ON
Sat 11/11 Florida State at Clemson+16.544.5L 14 - 31ON
Sat 11/18 Florida State vs Delaware State-52.0
Sat 11/25 Florida State at Florida-4.543.0W 38 - 22OY
Sat 12/2 Florida State vs UL Monroe-26.064.0W 42 - 10UY
Wed 12/27 Florida State vs Southern Miss-12.548.0W 42 - 13OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida State's Schedule
Florida's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Florida vs Michigan+4.545.5L 17 - 33ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/16 Florida vs Tennessee-6.550.5W 26 - 20UN
Sat 9/23 Florida at Kentucky-3.044.0W 28 - 27ON
Sat 9/30 Florida vs Vanderbilt-9.039.0W 38 - 24OY
Sat 10/7 Florida vs LSU+1.544.0L 16 - 17UY
Sat 10/14 Florida vs Texas A&M-3.549.5L 17 - 19UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Florida vs Georgia+13.543.5L 7 - 42ON
Sat 11/4 Florida at Missouri+1.561.5L 16 - 45UN
Sat 11/11 Florida at South Carolina+4.541.5L 20 - 28ON
Sat 11/18 Florida vs UAB-10.548.0W 36 - 7UY
Sat 11/25 Florida vs Florida State+4.543.0L 22 - 38ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida's Schedule
Important Stats (2017)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FSU.1144%27.842%2.6815642%1963.04.0840%21.240%38%3.0153.81.61.2
FLA.1340%22.143%2.9915635%1803.85.1239%27.337%39%2.8958.71.81.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FSU#125 (.06)35% (128)40% (103)2.9 (92)9131% (130)1802.88 (131)#112 (.25)41% (56)42% (62)39% (52)3.62 (46)47.91.80.5
FLA#72 (.18)43% (64)45% (54)3.04 (66)16441% (82)2264.17 (46)#53 (.14)44% (95)49% (118)39% (44)3.12 (14)541.41.9



Overall Stats 2017
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FSU Offense1327.819.643.5%3.041.6183521561964.451%47%42%42%20%.11
FLA Defense1127.320.839.2%2.891.5 - - - - - 54%43%37%39%19%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FSU Defense1321.223.440.1%3.011.2 - - - - - 48%50%40%38%19%.08
FLA Offense1122.125.840.5%3.851.8173361561804.350%47%43%35%20%.13

Additional Stats 2017
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Florida State1330:021835%50%653.81.61.27.22.2234.8
Florida1131:0316.832%67%858.71.81.56.52.1329.1
Run Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FSU Offense1351%42%35.6155.74.418.042.6866%14%0.84
FLA Defense1154%37% - - - - .062.6450%11%1.07
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FSU Defense1348%40% - - - - .062.6969%11%0.98
FLA Offense1150%43%36.4156.44.315.112.9968%12%0.91

Pass Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FSU Offense1347%42%15.526.5196.27.412.62113.191.531%34%.136%1.5
FLA Defense1143%39% - - - - - - 14.191.836%36%.187%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FSU Defense1350%38% - - - - - - 9.151.634%32%.318%2
FLA Offense1147%35%15.828.4179.56.311.41010.141.736%30%.188%1.5

Florida State's Power Ratings
Florida State's Power Rating: NR
Florida State's Offense Rating: NR
Florida State's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #5
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Florida State's 2017 Expected Record: -
Florida State's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 22.8  #9
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.3  #37
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: 12.5  #6

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida State:    Florida: 7.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida State: 22.8   Florida: 10.1




Florida's Power Ratings
Florida's Power Rating: 7.55 NR
Florida's Offense Rating: NR
Florida's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #18
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Florida's 2017 Expected Record: -
Florida's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.1  #34
Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.8  #51
Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.4  #33

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Florida State Scoring
Offense: 27.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.6
Defense: 21.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.4

Florida State's 2017 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Florida 26
Florida State 22


Total Points: 48

Based on Last 4 Games
Florida 28
Florida State 19

Total Points: 47

Based on Entire Season
Florida State 24
Florida 23

Total Points: 47
Florida Scoring
Offense: 22.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.8
Defense: 27.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.8

Florida's 2017 Record
Record: 4 - 7
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 5
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/29Florida40Florida State21Florida State -1.5Florida48.5Over
202411/30Florida State11Florida31Florida -17.5Florida45.5Under
202311/25Florida15Florida State24Florida State -6Florida State51.0Under
202211/25Florida State45Florida38Florida State -10Florida58.5Over
202111/27Florida24Florida State21Florida -4Florida State58.5Under
201911/30Florida40Florida State17Florida -16.5Florida55.0Over
201811/24Florida State14Florida41Florida -8.5Florida52.0Over
201711/25Florida22Florida State38Florida State -4.5Florida State43.0Over
201611/26Florida State31Florida13Florida State -5Florida State47.0Under
201511/28Florida2Florida State27Florida -3Florida State44.0Under
201411/29Florida State24Florida19Florida State -10Florida0
201311/30Florida7Florida State37Florida State -26Florida State0
201211/24Florida State26Florida37
201111/26Florida7Florida State21
201011/27Florida State31Florida7
200911/28Florida37Florida State10
200811/29Florida State15Florida45
200711/24Florida45Florida State12
200611/25Florida State14Florida21
200511/26Florida34Florida State7
200411/20Florida State13Florida20
200311/29Florida34Florida State38
200111/17Florida37Florida State13
200011/17Florida State30Florida7
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Florida1365 Overs
Florida State1165 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 123 - 92 - 41 - 5
Road Teams12 - 129 - 35 - 14 - 2

(#) FSU at (#) FLA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatFSUFLA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #9 #34
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #5 #18
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Florida State on Offense
CategoryCat
FSU OffFLA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #37 #33
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Florida State Run Game
CategoryCat
FSU OffFLA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Florida State Pass Game
CategoryCat
FSU OffFLA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Florida on Offense
CategoryCatFLA OffFSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #51 #6
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Florida Run Game
CategoryCat
FLA OffFSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Florida Pass Game
CategoryCatFLA OffFSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
FLA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Average P4

FSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 68° - Wind: 6 mph
Rematch from Week 13
Florida State 4.5 (43.0)
Florida State won at Florida this year (38-22)

Previous Matchups
Florida beat Florida State last year (31-11)
Florida State beat Florida in 2023 (24-15)
Florida State beat Florida in 2022 (45-38)

  
FSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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FSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

FLA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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FLA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD