Louisville at Kentucky - 2017 Matchup Preview
Louisville logo Louisville Cardinals at Kentucky WildcatsKentucky logo
Saturday, November 25th 2017 (12:00 PM EST)
Louisville -10 (68.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Louisville 44 - Kentucky: 17

 
Cardinals (8 - 5) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 38 - 27 (36 - 32 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UK is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -6  (SP+ LOU -16.5)
Projected Score: LOU: 33 - UK: 30 (63)
LOU Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
LOU Travel: 69 miles
Wildcats (7 - 6) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 28 (28 - 29 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Louisville's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Louisville vs Purdue-25.567.5W 35 - 28UN
Sat 9/9 Louisville at North Carolina-11.565.5W 47 - 35OY
Sat 9/16 Louisville vs Clemson+3.061.0L 21 - 47ON
Sat 9/23 Louisville vs Kent State-41.556.0W 42 - 3UN
Sat 9/30 Louisville vs Murray State-49.063.5W 55 - 10ON
Thu 10/5 Louisville at NC State-3.567.0L 25 - 39UN
Sat 10/14 Louisville vs Boston College-20.060.0L 42 - 45ON
Sat 10/21 Louisville at Florida State+7.058.0W 31 - 28OY
Sat 10/28 Louisville at Wake Forest-3.066.5L 32 - 42ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/11 Louisville vs Virginia-14.066.5W 38 - 21UY
Sat 11/18 Louisville vs Syracuse-15.069.0W 56 - 10UY
Sat 11/25 Louisville at Kentucky-10.068.0W 44 - 17UY
Sat 12/30 Louisville vs Mississippi State-6.562.0L 27 - 31UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Louisville's Schedule
Kentucky's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Kentucky at Southern Miss-10.057.0W 24 - 17UN
Sat 9/9 Kentucky vs Eastern Kentucky-34.5
Sat 9/16 Kentucky at South Carolina+6.048.5W 23 - 13UY
Sat 9/23 Kentucky vs Florida+3.044.0L 27 - 28OY
Sat 9/30 Kentucky vs Eastern Michigan-14.050.0W 24 - 20UN
Sat 10/7 Kentucky vs Missouri-8.559.5W 40 - 34ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Kentucky at Mississippi State+14.054.5L 7 - 45UN
Sat 10/28 Kentucky vs Tennessee-4.046.0W 29 - 26ON
Sat 11/4 Kentucky vs Ole Miss-3.563.5L 34 - 37ON
Sat 11/11 Kentucky at Vanderbilt+2.553.0W 44 - 21OY
Sat 11/18 Kentucky at Georgia+23.551.0L 13 - 42ON
Sat 11/25 Kentucky vs Louisville+10.068.0L 17 - 44UN
Fri 12/29 Kentucky vs Northwestern+7.550.5L 23 - 24UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kentucky's Schedule
Important Stats (2017)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LOU.3350%38.152%3.6224547%3004.05.1646%27.446%44%3.1551.11.61.7
UK.1844%25.542%2.9216242%1883.51.2147%28.248%45%3.2948.21.21.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LOU#15 (.31)46% (26)48% (20)3.09 (56)17345% (30)2514.27 (31)#73 (.18)40% (49)40% (44)40% (65)3.98 (87)46.10.81.2
UK#118 (.09)41% (89)47% (31)3.02 (71)14635% (123)1853.49 (104)#62 (.16)46% (111)49% (122)42% (75)3.44 (31)52.11.91.3



Overall Stats 2017
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LOU Offense1338.135.850.1%4.051.6275452453006.447%51%52%47%15%.33
UK Defense1328.229.347.5%3.291.2 - - - - - 48%50%48%45%14%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LOU Defense1327.432.245.9%3.151.7 - - - - - 52%47%46%44%18%.16
UK Offense1325.528.343.6%3.511.2193501621884.354%43%42%42%17%.18

Additional Stats 2017
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Louisville1330:2527.144%63%6.351.11.61.76.12.1228.3
Kentucky1330:2018.639%60%5.548.21.21.24.82.3032.7
Run Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LOU Offense1347%52%38.1245.16.433.343.6270%9%1.14
UK Defense1348%48% - - - - .173.2974%9%0.94
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LOU Defense1352%46% - - - - .12.8674%11%0.89
UK Offense1354%42%37.5161.74.327.142.9265%11%1.12

Pass Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LOU Offense1351%47%21.335.7299.88.414.12910.341.631%44%.56%1.8
UK Defense1350%45% - - - - - - 11.261.431%35%.266%1.5
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LOU Defense1347%44% - - - - - - 13.251.630%31%.297%2
UK Offense1343%42%15.125.4188.27.412.5107.231.530%33%.416%2

Louisville's Power Ratings
Louisville's Power Rating: NR
Louisville's Offense Rating: NR
Louisville's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #36
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Louisville's 2017 Expected Record: -
Louisville's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 19.2  #14
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 43.3  #2
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.9  #47

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Louisville:    Kentucky: 3.85

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisville: 19.2   Kentucky: 2.7




Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: 3.85 NR
Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Kentucky's 2017 Expected Record: -
Kentucky's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.7  #61
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.8  #51
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.5  #80

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Louisville Scoring
Offense: 38.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 35.8
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.2

Louisville's 2017 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Louisville 33
Kentucky 30

Total Points: 63

Based on Last 4 Games
Louisville 33
Kentucky 30

Total Points: 64

Based on Entire Season
Louisville 33
Kentucky 29

Total Points: 62
Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 25.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.3
Defense: 28.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 29.3

Kentucky's 2017 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 6 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/29Louisville41Kentucky0Louisville -1.0Louisville45.5Under
202411/30Kentucky14Louisville41Louisville -3.5Louisville48.5Over
202311/25Louisville31Kentucky38Louisville -7.5Kentucky47.5Over
202211/26Kentucky26Louisville13Kentucky -3.5Kentucky42.5Under
202111/27Louisville21Kentucky52Louisville -3Kentucky58.0Over
201911/30Kentucky45Louisville13Kentucky -3.5Kentucky51.0Over
201811/24Louisville10Kentucky56Kentucky -17Kentucky53.0Over
201711/25Kentucky17Louisville44Louisville -10Louisville68.0Under
201611/26Louisville38Kentucky41Louisville -26Kentucky70.5Over
201511/28Kentucky24Louisville38Louisville -4Louisville51.5Over
201411/29Louisville44Kentucky40Louisville -14Kentucky0
201309/14Kentucky13Louisville27Louisville -10.5Louisville0
201209/02Louisville32Kentucky14
201109/17Kentucky17Louisville24
201009/04Louisville16Kentucky23
200909/19Kentucky31Louisville27
200808/31Louisville2Kentucky27
200709/15Kentucky40Louisville34
200609/03Louisville59Kentucky28
200509/04Kentucky24Louisville31
200409/05Louisville28Kentucky0
200308/31Kentucky24Louisville40
200209/01Louisville17Kentucky22
200109/01Kentucky10Louisville36
200009/01Louisville40Kentucky34
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Kentucky1177 Overs
Louisville1453 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 153 - 93 - 40 - 5
Road Teams15 - 109 - 35 - 04 - 3

(#) LOU at (#) UK
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatLOUUK
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #14 #61
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #36 #32
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Louisville on Offense
CategoryCat
LOU OffUK Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #2 #80
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Louisville Run Game
CategoryCat
LOU OffUK Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Louisville Pass Game
CategoryCat
LOU OffUK Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Kentucky on Offense
CategoryCatUK OffLOU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #51 #47
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Kentucky Run Game
CategoryCat
UK OffLOU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Kentucky Pass Game
CategoryCatUK OffLOU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UK 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Top G5

LOU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Commonwealth Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 58° - Wind: 11 mph
Rematch from Week 13
Louisville 10.0 (68.0)
Louisville won at Kentucky this year (44-17)

Previous Matchups
Louisville beat Kentucky last year (41-14)
Kentucky beat Louisville in 2023 (38-31)
Kentucky beat Louisville in 2022 (26-13)

  
LOU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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LOU's DC ()
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SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UK's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UK's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
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