Kentucky at Southern Miss - 2017 Matchup Preview

Kentucky Wildcats at Southern Miss Golden Eagles

Saturday, September 2nd 2017 (4:00 PM EDT)
Kentucky -10 (57.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Kentucky 24 - Southern Miss: 17

Wildcats (7 - 6) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 26 (11 - 32 on Road)
'17 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -0.5 (SP+ UK -6)
Projected Score: UK: 22 - USM: 30 (52)
UK Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
UK Travel: 537 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Golden Eagles (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 27 (31 - 27 @ Home)
'17 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UK Players
USM Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Kentucky's 2017 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Kentucky at Southern Miss	-10.0	57.0	W 24 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/9	Kentucky vs Eastern Kentucky	-34.5
Sat 9/16	Kentucky at South Carolina	+6.0	48.5	W 23 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Kentucky vs Florida	+3.0	44.0	L 27 - 28	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Kentucky vs Eastern Michigan	-14.0	50.0	W 24 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/7	Kentucky vs Missouri	-8.5	59.5	W 40 - 34	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Kentucky at Mississippi State	+14.0	54.5	L 7 - 45	U	N
Sat 10/28	Kentucky vs Tennessee	-4.0	46.0	W 29 - 26	O	N
Sat 11/4	Kentucky vs Ole Miss	-3.5	63.5	L 34 - 37	O	N
Sat 11/11	Kentucky at Vanderbilt	+2.5	53.0	W 44 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Kentucky at Georgia	+23.5	51.0	L 13 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/25	Kentucky vs Louisville	+10.0	68.0	L 17 - 44	U	N
Fri 12/29	Kentucky vs Northwestern	+7.5	50.5	L 23 - 24	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kentucky's Schedule

Southern Miss's 2017 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Southern Miss vs Kentucky	+10.0	57.0	L 17 - 24	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Southern Miss vs Southern	-28.5
Sat 9/16	Southern Miss at UL Monroe	-7.0	55.5	W 28 - 17	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/30	Southern Miss vs North Texas	-8.0	56.5	L 28 - 43	O	N
Sat 10/7	Southern Miss at UTSA	+10.5	50.0	W 31 - 29	O	Y
Sat 10/14	Southern Miss vs UTEP	-23.0	52.5	W 24 - 0	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Southern Miss at Louisiana Tech	+1.5	55.5	W 34 - 27	O	Y
Sat 10/28	Southern Miss vs UAB	-11.0	50.5	L 12 - 30	U	N
Sat 11/4	Southern Miss at Tennessee	+7.0	48.0	L 10 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/11	Southern Miss at Rice	-11.0	49.0	W 43 - 34	O	N
Sat 11/18	Southern Miss vs Charlotte	-18.5	48.5	W 66 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Southern Miss at Marshall	+1.5	47.5	W 28 - 27	O	Y
Wed 12/27	Southern Miss vs Florida State	+12.5	48.0	L 13 - 42	O	N

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UK	.19	43%	23	46%	3.08	234	36%	186	3.68	.23	49%	26.4	53%	42%	3.52	45.8	2.2	1.6
USM	.21	44%	28.8	44%	2.69	174	42%	298	3.76	.12	36%	27.4	38%	31%	3.62	64.2	2.5	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UK		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
USM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UK Offense	13	23	10.8	42.9%	3.68	2.2	20	420	234	186	5.4	59%	39%	46%	36%	16%	.19
USM Defense	13	27.4	27.3	35.6%	3.62	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	53%	45%	38%	31%	21%	.12

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UK Defense	13	26.4	31.8	49.3%	3.52	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	59%	39%	53%	42%	14%	.23
USM Offense	13	28.8	30.9	44%	3.76	2.5	24	472	174	298	4.2	48%	50%	44%	42%	19%	.21

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Kentucky	13	29:51	20	39%	75%	5	45.8	2.2	1.6	5.3	1.6	2	29.5
Southern Miss	13	33:27	23.6	41%	63%	7.5	64.2	2.5	1.2	7.2	2.6	3	27.7

Run Game Stats (2017)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UK Offense	13	59%	46%	43.1	234.2	5.4	31	.2	3.08	74%	11%	1.06
USM Defense	13	53%	38%	-	-	-	-	.16	2.53	58%	15%	1.33

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UK Defense	13	59%	53%	-	-	-	-	.24	3.53	81%	9%	0.86
USM Offense	13	48%	44%	41.8	174.2	4.2	26	.09	2.69	73%	12%	0.93

Pass Game Stats (2017)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UK Offense	13	39%	36%	13.1	24	186.1	7.8	14.2	17	12	.19	1.9	33%	30%	.19	5%	1.8
USM Defense	13	45%	31%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.07	1.8	38%	26%	.19	7%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UK Defense	13	39%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.24	1.7	30%	40%	.4	5%	1.7
USM Offense	13	50%	42%	21.9	36.8	298.2	8.1	13.6	26	16	.35	1.8	34%	36%	.38	7%	1.9

Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: NR
Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating: #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Kentucky's 2017 Expected Record: -
Kentucky's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.7 #61
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #51
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #80

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Kentucky: Southern Miss: 0.8

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kentucky: 2.7 Southern Miss: -3.4

Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: 0.8 NR
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating: #87
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Southern Miss's 2017 Expected Record: -
Southern Miss's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.4 #84
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.9 #92
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #70

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 23 PPG
Offense on Road: 10.8
Defense: 26.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.8

Kentucky's 2017 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Southern Miss 30
Kentucky 22

Projected Total Points: 52

Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.9
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.3

Southern Miss's 2017 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	08/31	Kentucky	31	Southern Miss	0	Kentucky -25.5	Kentucky	50.5	Under
2017	09/02	Southern Miss	17	Kentucky	24	Kentucky -10	Southern Miss	57.0	Under
2016	09/03	Kentucky	35	Southern Miss	44	Kentucky -7.5	Southern Miss	62.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Southern Miss	1	2	1 Overs
Kentucky	2	1	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 2	2 - 1	1 - 1	1 - 0
Road Teams	2 - 1	1 - 2	0 - 1	1 - 1

(#) UK at (#) USM

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UK	USM
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#61	#84
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#32	#87
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Kentucky Injury Report

Southern Miss Injury Report

Kentucky on Offense


CategoryCat	UK Off	USM Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#51	#70
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Kentucky Run Game


CategoryCat	UK Off	USM Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Kentucky Pass Game


CategoryCat	UK Off	USM Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Southern Miss on Offense


CategoryCat	USM Off	UK Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#92	#80
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Southern Miss Run Game


CategoryCat	USM Off	UK Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Southern Miss Pass Game


CategoryCat	USM Off	UK Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
USM 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Average G5

UK 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in M. M. Roberts Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
Kentucky 10.0 (57.0)
Kentucky won at Southern Miss this year (24-17)

Previous Matchups
Kentucky beat Southern Miss in 2024 (31-0)

UK's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Kentucky's Full Roster

UK's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

USM's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Southern Miss's Full Roster

USM's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD