BYU at Cincinnati - 2016 Matchup Preview
BYU logo (#10)BYU Cougars at Cincinnati Bearcats(#17)Cincinnati logo
Saturday, November 5th 2016 (3:30 PM EDT)
BYU -10 (54.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
BYU 20 - Cincinnati: 3

 
Cougars (9 - 4) (10 - 3 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 20 (24 - 16 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
BYU coming off BYE
Our Line: -3.5  (SP+ BYU -11.5)
Projected Score: BYU: 29 - CIN: 21 (50)
BYU Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
BYU Travel: 1439 miles, 2 hrs behind
Bearcats (4 - 8) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 19 - 27 (19 - 26 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
BYU's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 BYU vs Arizona+2.563.5W 18 - 16UY
Sat 9/10 BYU at Utah+4.543.0L 19 - 20UY
Sat 9/17 BYU vs UCLA+4.050.5L 14 - 17UY
Sat 9/24 BYU vs West Virginia+3.553.0L 32 - 35OY
Fri 9/30 BYU vs Toledo-4.551.0W 55 - 53ON
Sat 10/8 BYU at Michigan State+5.048.5W 31 - 14UY
Fri 10/14 BYU vs Mississippi State-4.055.5W 28 - 21UY
Thu 10/20 BYU at Boise State+9.558.0L 27 - 28UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5 BYU at Cincinnati-10.054.0W 20 - 3UY
Sat 11/12 BYU vs Southern Utah-31.0
Sat 11/19 BYU vs Massachusetts-30.054.0W 51 - 9OY
Sat 11/26 BYU vs Utah State-17.051.5W 28 - 10UY
Wed 12/21 BYU vs Wyoming-7.556.0W 24 - 21UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for BYU's Schedule
Cincinnati's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/1 Cincinnati vs UT Martin-24.0
Sat 9/10 Cincinnati at Purdue-7.057.5W 38 - 20OY
Thu 9/15 Cincinnati vs Houston+7.563.0L 16 - 40UN
Sat 9/24 Cincinnati vs Miami (OH)-19.555.5W 27 - 20UN
Sat 10/1 Cincinnati vs South Florida+6.064.5L 20 - 45ON
Sat 10/8 Cincinnati at UConn-2.549.5L 9 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22 Cincinnati vs East Carolina-2.063.0W 31 - 19UY
Sat 10/29 Cincinnati at Temple+8.553.0L 13 - 34UN
Sat 11/5 Cincinnati vs BYU+10.054.0L 3 - 20UN
Sat 11/12 Cincinnati at UCF+10.055.0L 3 - 24UN
Fri 11/18 Cincinnati vs Memphis+7.561.5L 7 - 34UN
Fri 11/25 Cincinnati at Tulsa+18.563.0L 37 - 40OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Cincinnati's Schedule
Important Stats (2016)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BYU.1545%29.546%3.2920141%1983.52.0940%19.537%43%3.0360.21.52.4
CIN.0740%19.338%2.911841%2562.77.1245%26.943%45%3.0145.31.92
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BYU#51 (.22)45% (44)47% (30)3.23 (37)14843% (59)2163.73 (88)#41 (.13)41% (65)46% (99)37% (28)3.79 (68)371.42.1
CIN#59 (.21)45% (43)44% (67)3.03 (69)18545% (32)2373.33 (118)#75 (.18)42% (76)46% (94)39% (43)3.51 (40)44.41.51.2



Overall Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BYU Offense1329.524.345%3.521.5233992011984.853%46%46%41%14%.15
CIN Defense1226.926.444.6%3.012 - - - - - 56%42%43%45%15%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BYU Defense1319.516.340.3%3.032.4 - - - - - 49%50%37%43%19%.09
CIN Offense1219.318.940.4%2.771.9193741182563.642%56%38%41%17%.07

Additional Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
BYU1332:392348%63%6.460.21.52.45.72.2332.3
Cincinnati1226:2919.338%41%4.645.31.925.91.6130.5
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BYU Offense1353%46%41.8201.24.828.213.2969%8%0.99
CIN Defense1256%43% - - - - .073.0668%9%0.83
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BYU Defense1349%37% - - - - -.032.7170%12%0.84
CIN Offense1242%38%33.1118.23.68-.052.966%9%0.75

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BYU Offense1346%41%18.831.7197.96.310.51512.11.428%37%.36%1.5
CIN Defense1242%45% - - - - - - 17.231.530%36%.346%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BYU Defense1350%43% - - - - - - 21.21.633%33%.427%2.1
CIN Offense1256%41%21.637.8255.96.811.91915.181.635%31%.28%1.8

BYU's Power Ratings
BYU's Power Rating: NR
BYU's Offense Rating: NR
BYU's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
BYU's 2016 Expected Record: -
BYU's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.0  #46
BYU's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.6  #63
BYU's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.1  #33

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
BYU:    Cincinnati: 0.7

SP+ Ratings Matchup
BYU: 8.0   Cincinnati: -3.6




Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: 0.7 NR
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: NR
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Cincinnati's 2016 Expected Record: -
Cincinnati's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.6  #82
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.5  #98
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.3  #53

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


BYU Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.3
Defense: 19.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 16.3

BYU's 2016 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
BYU 29
Cincinnati 21

Total Points: 50

Based on Last 4 Games
BYU 31
Cincinnati 23

Total Points: 55

Based on Entire Season
BYU 27
Cincinnati 18

Total Points: 45
Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 19.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 18.9
Defense: 26.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.4

Cincinnati's 2016 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 6 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/22Cincinnati14BYU26BYU -2.5BYU56.5Under
202309/29BYU35Cincinnati27BYU -1BYU47.5Over
201611/05Cincinnati3BYU20BYU -10BYU54.0Under
201510/16BYU38Cincinnati24BYU -7BYU68.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Cincinnati001 Overs
BYU443 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 22 - 22 - 00 - 2
Road Teams2 - 22 - 22 - 00 - 2

(#) BYU at (#) CIN
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBYUCIN
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #46 #82
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #61 #58
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
BYU on Offense
CategoryCat
BYU OffCIN Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #63 #53
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
BYU Run Game
CategoryCat
BYU OffCIN Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
BYU Pass Game
CategoryCat
BYU OffCIN Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Cincinnati on Offense
CategoryCatCIN OffBYU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #98 #33
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Cincinnati Run Game
CategoryCat
CIN OffBYU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Cincinnati Pass Game
CategoryCatCIN OffBYU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
CIN 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average G5

BYU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Nippert Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 60°
Rematch from Week 10
BYU 10.0 (54.0)
BYU won at Cincinnati this year (20-3)

Previous Matchups
BYU beat Cincinnati in 2023 (35-27)

  
BYU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View BYU's Full Roster

BYU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

CIN's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Cincinnati's Full Roster

CIN's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD