BYU at Cincinnati - 2016 Matchup Preview
BYU logo   BYU Cougars at Cincinnati Bearcats  Cincinnati logo
Saturday, November 5th 2016 (3:30 PM EDT)
BYU -10 (54.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
BYU 20 - Cincinnati: 3

 
Cougars (9 - 4) (10 - 3 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 19 (28 - 22 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
BYU coming off BYE
Our Line: -3.5  (SP+ BYU -11.5)
Projected Score: BYU: 26 - CIN: 27 (53)
BYU Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
BYU Travel: 1439 miles, 2 hrs behind
Bearcats (4 - 8) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 26 (34 - 20 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
BYU's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 BYU vs Arizona+2.563.5W 18 - 16UY
Sat 9/10 BYU at Utah+4.543.0L 19 - 20UY
Sat 9/17 BYU vs UCLA+4.050.5L 14 - 17UY
Sat 9/24 BYU vs West Virginia+3.553.0L 32 - 35OY
Fri 9/30 BYU vs Toledo-4.551.0W 55 - 53ON
Sat 10/8 BYU at Michigan State+5.048.5W 31 - 14UY
Fri 10/14 BYU vs Mississippi State-4.055.5W 28 - 21UY
Thu 10/20 BYU at Boise State+9.558.0L 27 - 28UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5 BYU at Cincinnati-10.054.0W 20 - 3UY
Sat 11/12 BYU vs Southern Utah-31.0
Sat 11/19 BYU vs Massachusetts-30.054.0W 51 - 9OY
Sat 11/26 BYU vs Utah State-17.051.5W 28 - 10UY
Wed 12/21 BYU vs Wyoming-7.556.0W 24 - 21UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for BYU's Schedule
Cincinnati's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/1 Cincinnati vs UT Martin-24.0
Sat 9/10 Cincinnati at Purdue-7.057.5W 38 - 20OY
Thu 9/15 Cincinnati vs Houston+7.563.0L 16 - 40UN
Sat 9/24 Cincinnati vs Miami (OH)-19.555.5W 27 - 20UN
Sat 10/1 Cincinnati vs South Florida+6.064.5L 20 - 45ON
Sat 10/8 Cincinnati at UConn-2.549.5L 9 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22 Cincinnati vs East Carolina-2.063.0W 31 - 19UY
Sat 10/29 Cincinnati at Temple+8.553.0L 13 - 34UN
Sat 11/5 Cincinnati vs BYU+10.054.0L 3 - 20UN
Sat 11/12 Cincinnati at UCF+10.055.0L 3 - 24UN
Fri 11/18 Cincinnati vs Memphis+7.561.5L 7 - 34UN
Fri 11/25 Cincinnati at Tulsa+18.563.0L 37 - 40OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Cincinnati's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BYU.243%31.441%2.7212843%2964.2.0839%19.137%39%3.157.71.51.7
CIN.2349%30.347%2.8317849%3603.71.1743%25.644%40%3.4172.92.51.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BYU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
CIN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BYU Offense1331.427.543.4%4.21.521425128296439%59%41%43%2%.2
CIN Defense1325.619.642.9%3.411.1 - - - - - 51%47%44%40%2%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BYU Defense1319.121.839.2%3.11.7 - - - - - 50%48%37%39%3%.08
CIN Offense1330.334.449.1%3.712.5285381783604.544%54%47%49%3%.23

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
BYU1328:4021.240%52%6.557.71.51.700229.2
Cincinnati1330:5228.551%64%872.92.51.100027.4
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BYU Offense1339%41%31.8128.3428.152.7270%0%1.15
CIN Defense1351%44% - - - - .143.1665%0%0.89
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BYU Defense1350%37% - - - - .032.4664%0%1.07
CIN Offense1344%47%39.4177.94.525.132.8377%0%0.88

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BYU Offense1359%43%23.238.8296.57.712.82612.241.534%35%.362%1.9
CIN Defense1347%40% - - - - - - 9.221.632%33%.282%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BYU Defense1348%39% - - - - - - 15.131.535%32%.183%1.7
CIN Offense1354%49%26.242.1359.98.613.72922.321.631%39%.353%1.8

BYU's Power Ratings
BYU's Power Rating: NR
BYU's Offense Rating: NR
BYU's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
BYU's 2016 Expected Record: -
BYU's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.0  #46
BYU's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.6  #63
BYU's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.1  #33

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
BYU:    Cincinnati: 0.7

SP+ Ratings Matchup
BYU: 8.0   Cincinnati: -3.6




Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: 0.7 NR
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: NR
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Cincinnati's 2016 Expected Record: -
Cincinnati's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.6  #82
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.5  #98
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.3  #53

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


BYU Scoring
Offense: 31.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.5
Defense: 19.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.8

BYU's 2016 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Cincinnati 27
BYU 26

Projected Total Points: 53
Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 30.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.4
Defense: 25.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.6

Cincinnati's 2016 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 6 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/22Cincinnati14BYU26BYU -2.5BYU56.5Under
202309/29BYU35Cincinnati27BYU -1BYU47.5Over
201611/05Cincinnati3BYU20BYU -10BYU54.0Under
201510/16BYU38Cincinnati24BYU -7BYU68.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Cincinnati001 Overs
BYU443 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 22 - 22 - 00 - 2
Road Teams2 - 22 - 22 - 00 - 2

(#) BYU at (#) CIN
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBYUCIN
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #46 #82
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #61 #58
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
BYU on Offense
CategoryCat
BYU OffCIN Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #63 #53
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
BYU Run Game
CategoryCat
BYU OffCIN Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
BYU Pass Game
CategoryCat
BYU OffCIN Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Cincinnati on Offense
CategoryCatCIN OffBYU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #98 #33
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Cincinnati Run Game
CategoryCat
CIN OffBYU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Cincinnati Pass Game
CategoryCatCIN OffBYU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
CIN 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average G5

BYU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Nippert Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 10
BYU 10.0 (54.0)
BYU won at Cincinnati this year (20-3)

Previous Matchups
BYU beat Cincinnati last year (26-14)
BYU beat Cincinnati in 2023 (35-27)

  
BYU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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BYU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

CIN's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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CIN's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD