Ball State at Florida Atlantic - 2016 Matchup Preview

Ball State Cardinals at Florida Atlantic Owls

Saturday, September 24th 2016 (6:00 PM EDT)
Ball State -3 (53.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Ball State 31 - Florida Atlantic: 27

Cardinals (4 - 8) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 30 (25 - 26 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

FAU is playing their 4th straight game
BALL is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -1 (SP+ BALL -7)
Projected Score: BALL: 31 - FAU: 28 (59)
BALL Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
BALL Travel: 1004 miles

Owls (3 - 9) (3 - 8 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 40 (25 - 36 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BALL Players
FAU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Ball State's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/2	Ball State at Georgia State	-5.5	56.0	W 31 - 21	U	Y
Sat 9/10	Ball State at Indiana	+17.5	63.5	L 20 - 30	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Ball State vs Eastern Kentucky	-13.0
Sat 9/24	Ball State at Florida Atlantic	-3.0	53.5	W 31 - 27	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Ball State vs Northern Illinois	-1.0	57.5	L 24 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/8	Ball State at Central Michigan	+13.5	56.0	L 21 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/15	Ball State at Buffalo	-9.0	52.5	W 31 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Ball State vs Akron	-2.0	62.5	L 25 - 35	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/1	Ball State vs Western Michigan	+16.0	64.5	L 20 - 52	O	N
Tue 11/8	Ball State vs Eastern Michigan	-3.5	59.5	L 41 - 48	O	N
Wed 11/16	Ball State at Toledo	+19.0	68.5	L 19 - 37	U	Y
Tue 11/22	Ball State at Miami (OH)	+6.0	55.0	L 20 - 21	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ball State's Schedule

Florida Atlantic's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Florida Atlantic vs Southern Illinois	-8.0
Sat 9/10	Florida Atlantic at Miami	+23.0	63.0	L 10 - 38	U	N
Sat 9/17	Florida Atlantic at Kansas State	+19.0	49.5	L 7 - 63	O	N
Sat 9/24	Florida Atlantic vs Ball State	+3.0	53.5	L 27 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/1	Florida Atlantic at Florida International	-5.0	52.5	L 31 - 33	O	N
Sun 10/9	Florida Atlantic vs Charlotte	-15.0	62.0	L 23 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/15	Florida Atlantic at Marshall	+12.0	61.0	L 21 - 27	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29	Florida Atlantic vs Western Kentucky	+18.0	66.5	L 3 - 52	U	N
Sat 11/5	Florida Atlantic at Rice	+2.0	57.0	W 42 - 25	O	Y
Sat 11/12	Florida Atlantic vs UTEP	-2.0	54.5	W 35 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/19	Florida Atlantic vs Old Dominion	+7.5	61.0	L 24 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/26	Florida Atlantic at Middle Tennessee	+12.5	64.0	L 56 - 77	O	N

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BALL	.14	49%	27	53%	3.38	220	43%	229	3.45	.21	44%	30.1	40%	46%	3.34	35.5	2	1.2
FAU	.18	43%	26.4	45%	3.08	188	40%	210	3.53	.35	50%	39.8	51%	48%	4.51	47.5	1.7	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BALL	#98 (.14)	42% (78)		44% (70)	3.06 (61)	103	41% (72)	245	3.94 (65)	#128 (.32)	46% (118)		46% (103)	47% (121)	4.81 (133)	45.3	1.2	1.3
FAU	#80 (.17)	39% (108)		40% (107)	3.15 (48)	189	39% (99)	209	3.19 (122)	#90 (.21)	41% (54)		43% (72)	38% (39)	3.72 (62)	51.6	1.5	1.6

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BALL Offense	12	27	24.7	49.2%	3.45	2	25	449	220	229	5.1	52%	46%	53%	43%	15%	.14
FAU Defense	12	39.8	35.7	50.5%	4.51	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	57%	42%	51%	48%	11%	.35

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BALL Defense	12	30.1	25.9	44.1%	3.34	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	42%	56%	40%	46%	17%	.21
FAU Offense	12	26.4	25	43.3%	3.53	1.7	21	398	188	210	4.8	52%	47%	45%	40%	15%	.18

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Ball State	12	31:03	24.5	45%	52%	4	35.5	2	1.2	7	2.7	1	30.5
Florida Atlantic	12	27:43	20.6	34%	39%	5.3	47.5	1.7	1.3	4.8	1.9	1	29.6

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BALL Offense	12	52%	53%	43.3	220	5.1	25	.2	3.38	73%	7%	0.86
FAU Defense	12	57%	51%	-	-	-	-	.34	3.48	83%	7%	1.12

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BALL Defense	12	42%	40%	-	-	-	-	.08	2.76	65%	11%	1.11
FAU Offense	12	52%	45%	39.3	188.2	4.8	31	.18	3.08	75%	9%	1.01

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BALL Offense	12	46%	43%	21.9	36.3	229.2	6.3	10.5	14	15	.09	1.3	27%	39%	.24	7%	1.4
FAU Defense	12	42%	48%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.39	1.6	27%	39%	.66	4%	2.4

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BALL Defense	12	56%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.31	1.5	33%	38%	.45	6%	1.9
FAU Offense	12	47%	40%	17.9	30.5	210.1	6.9	11.7	9	13	.18	1.5	31%	30%	.21	6%	1.5

Ball State's Power Ratings
Ball State's Power Rating: NR
Ball State's Offense Rating: NR
Ball State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Ball State's 2016 Expected Record: -
Ball State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.0 #96
Ball State's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #73
Ball State's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.1 #100

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Ball State: Florida Atlantic: -4.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ball State: -7.0 Florida Atlantic: -14.1

Florida Atlantic's Power Ratings
Florida Atlantic's Power Rating: -4.55 NR
Florida Atlantic's Offense Rating: NR
Florida Atlantic's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #92
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Florida Atlantic's 2016 Expected Record: -
Florida Atlantic's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.1 #112
Florida Atlantic's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #69
Florida Atlantic's Defense SP+ Rating: 43.5 #127

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Ball State Scoring
Offense: 27 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.7
Defense: 30.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.9

Ball State's 2016 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 7 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Ball State 31
Florida Atlantic 28

Total Points: 59

Based on Last 4 Games
Ball State 30
Florida Atlantic 28

Total Points: 59

Based on Entire Season
Ball State 32
Florida Atlantic 27

Total Points: 59

Florida Atlantic Scoring
Offense: 26.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 25
Defense: 39.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 35.7

Florida Atlantic's 2016 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2019	09/14	Ball State	31	Florida Atlantic	41	Florida Atlantic -2.5	Florida Atlantic	64.5	Over
2016	09/24	Florida Atlantic	27	Ball State	31	Ball State -3	Ball State	53.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Florida Atlantic	1	1	2 Overs
Ball State	1	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 0	0 - 2
Road Teams	2 - 0	2 - 0	2 - 0	0 - 0

(#) BALL at (#) FAU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BALL	FAU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#96	#112
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#109	#92
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Ball State Injury Report

Florida Atlantic Injury Report

Ball State on Offense


CategoryCat	BALL Off	FAU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#73	#127
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Ball State Run Game


CategoryCat	BALL Off	FAU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Ball State Pass Game


CategoryCat	BALL Off	FAU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Florida Atlantic on Offense


CategoryCat	FAU Off	BALL Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#69	#100
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Florida Atlantic Run Game


CategoryCat	FAU Off	BALL Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Florida Atlantic Pass Game


CategoryCat	FAU Off	BALL Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
FAU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

BALL 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in FAU Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 77° - Wind: 11 mph

Rematch from Week 4
Ball State 3.0 (53.5)
Ball State won at Florida Atlantic this year (31-27)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

BALL's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Ball State's Full Roster

BALL's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

FAU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Florida Atlantic's Full Roster

FAU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD