Air Force at Army - 2016 Matchup Preview

Air Force Falcons at Army Black Knights

Saturday, November 5th 2016 (12:00 PM EDT)
Air Force -3 (46.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Air Force 31 - Army: 12

Falcons (10 - 3) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 30 (32 - 33 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

AFA 2nd straight Road Game
ARMY is playing their 5th straight game
AFA is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -4.5 (SP+ AFA -14.5)
Projected Score: AFA: 27 - ARMY: 28 (55)
AFA Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
AFA Travel: 1630 miles, 2 hrs behind

Black Knights (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 22 (26 - 24 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
AFA Players
ARMY Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Air Force's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Air Force vs Abilene Christian	-44.0
Sat 9/10	Air Force vs Georgia State	-22.5	52.5	W 48 - 14	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/24	Air Force at Utah State	-3.0	53.5	W 27 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Air Force vs Navy	-10.5	50.5	W 28 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Air Force at Wyoming	-13.5	50.0	L 26 - 35	O	N
Sat 10/15	Air Force vs New Mexico	-15.0	53.5	L 40 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/22	Air Force vs Hawai'i	-17.5	58.0	L 27 - 34	O	N
Fri 10/28	Air Force at Fresno State	-13.5	51.0	W 31 - 21	O	N
Sat 11/5	Air Force at Army	-3.0	46.5	W 31 - 12	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Air Force vs Colorado State	-6.0	54.0	W 49 - 46	O	N
Sat 11/19	Air Force at San José State	-11.0	54.5	W 41 - 38	O	N
Fri 11/25	Air Force vs Boise State	+9.0	63.5	W 27 - 20	U	Y
Fri 12/30	Air Force vs South Alabama	-14.0	54.0	W 45 - 21	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Air Force's Schedule

Army's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/2	Army at Temple	+21.5	45.0	W 28 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/10	Army vs Rice	-7.0	52.0	W 31 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Army at UTEP	-3.5	46.5	W 66 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Army at Buffalo	-16.0	50.5	L 20 - 23	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/8	Army at Duke	+6.0	43.0	L 6 - 13	U	N
Sat 10/15	Army vs Lafayette	-33.0
Sat 10/22	Army vs North Texas	-17.5	48.0	L 18 - 35	O	N
Sat 10/29	Army at Wake Forest	+8.0	42.0	W 21 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/5	Army vs Air Force	+3.0	46.5	L 12 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/12	Army vs Notre Dame	+11.5	55.5	L 6 - 44	U	N
Sat 11/19	Army vs Morgan State	-43.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 12/10	Army vs Navy	+11.5	46.5	W 21 - 17	U	Y
Tue 12/27	Army vs North Texas	-9.5	47.0	W 38 - 31	O	N

Important Stats (2015)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
AFA	.25	47%	29.8	48%	3.2	319	40%	132	3.87	.18	37%	30.3	33%	38%	3.58	38	1.6	1.3
ARMY	.17	42%	23.8	43%	2.88	244	36%	94	3.39	.18	43%	21.6	41%	43%	3.96	39.5	1.8	0.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
AFA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ARMY		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2015

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
AFA Offense	14	29.8	32.2	46.9%	3.87	1.6	21	451	319	132	5.5	80%	18%	48%	40%	2%	.25
ARMY Defense	12	21.6	24.2	43.2%	3.96	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	56%	42%	41%	43%	2%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
AFA Defense	14	30.3	32.8	36.6%	3.58	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	33%	38%	2%	.18
ARMY Offense	12	23.8	25.6	42.2%	3.39	1.8	16	338	244	94	4.8	83%	16%	43%	36%	2%	.17

Additional Stats 2015

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Air Force	14	32:20	21.4	43%	61%	3.8	38	1.6	1.3	0	0	2	29.1
Army	12	32:15	16.2	44%	41%	4	39.5	1.8	0.9	0	0	1	28.2

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
AFA Offense	14	80%	48%	58.3	319.1	5.5	45	.2	3.2	80%	0%	0.97
ARMY Defense	12	56%	41%	-	-	-	-	.06	2.78	67%	0%	0.9

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
AFA Defense	14	53%	33%	-	-	-	-	.06	2.38	71%	0%	1.31
ARMY Offense	12	83%	43%	51.3	244.3	4.8	24	.13	2.88	78%	0%	1.01

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
AFA Offense	14	18%	40%	6.2	12.1	131.9	10.9	21.2	15	12	.49	2.3	26%	33%	.37	2%	1.9
ARMY Defense	12	42%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.39	1.8	32%	35%	.35	2%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
AFA Defense	14	46%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.33	1.9	38%	31%	.33	2%	2.1
ARMY Offense	12	16%	36%	4.1	9	94	10.4	23	10	9	.4	2.6	31%	29%	.25	2%	2

Air Force's Power Ratings
Air Force's Power Rating: NR
Air Force's Offense Rating: NR
Air Force's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #181
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Air Force's 2016 Expected Record: -
Air Force's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.4 #58
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.0 #45
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #79

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Air Force: Army: -2.45

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Air Force: 4.4 Army: -9.9

Army's Power Ratings
Army's Power Rating: -2.45 NR
Army's Offense Rating: NR
Army's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #132
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Army's 2016 Expected Record: -
Army's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.9 #101
Army's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #109
Army's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #73

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Air Force Scoring
Offense: 29.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 32.2
Defense: 30.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8

Air Force's 2016 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Army 28
Air Force 27

Projected Total Points: 55

Army Scoring
Offense: 23.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.6
Defense: 21.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.2

Army's 2016 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record at home: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/01	Air Force	17	Army	20	Army -1.5	Army	48.5	Under
2024	11/02	Army	20	Air Force	3	Army -18	Air Force	38.5	Under
2023	11/04	Air Force	3	Army	23	Air Force -18.5	Army	32.0	Under
2022	11/05	Army	7	Air Force	13	Air Force -7	Army	40.5	Under
2021	11/06	Air Force	14	Army	21	Air Force -2.5	Army	37.5	Under
2020	12/19	Army	10	Air Force	7	Air Force -3	Army	37.0	Under
2019	11/02	Air Force	17	Army	13	Air Force -17	Army	44.5	Under
2018	11/03	Army	17	Air Force	14	Army -4.5	Air Force	41.5	Under
2017	11/04	Air Force	0	Army	21	Air Force -6.5	Army	54.5	Under
2016	11/05	Army	12	Air Force	31	Air Force -3	Air Force	46.5	Under
2015	11/07	Air Force	20	Army	3	Air Force -17.5	Army	50.5	Under
2014	11/01	Army	6	Air Force	23	Air Force -5.5	Air Force	0
2013	11/02	Air Force	42	Army	28	Air Force -1.5	Air Force	0
2012	11/03	Army	41	Air Force	21
2011	11/05	Air Force	24	Army	14
2010	11/06	Army	22	Air Force	42
2009	11/07	Air Force	35	Army	7
2008	11/01	Army	7	Air Force	16
2007	11/03	Air Force	30	Army	10
2006	11/03	Army	7	Air Force	43
2005	11/05	Air Force	24	Army	27
2004	11/06	Army	22	Air Force	31
2003	11/08	Air Force	31	Army	3
2002	11/09	Army	30	Air Force	49
2001	11/03	Air Force	34	Army	24
2000	11/03	Army	27	Air Force	41

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Army	9	8	0 Overs
Air Force	17	5	11 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	12 - 14	3 - 10	1 - 7	2 - 3
Road Teams	14 - 12	10 - 3	3 - 2	7 - 1

(#) AFA at (#) ARMY

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	AFA	ARMY
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#58	#101
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#181	#132
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Air Force Injury Report

Army Injury Report

Air Force on Offense


CategoryCat	AFA Off	ARMY Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#45	#73
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Air Force Run Game


CategoryCat	AFA Off	ARMY Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Air Force Pass Game


CategoryCat	AFA Off	ARMY Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Army on Offense


CategoryCat	ARMY Off	AFA Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#109	#79
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Army Run Game


CategoryCat	ARMY Off	AFA Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Army Pass Game


CategoryCat	ARMY Off	AFA Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ARMY 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

AFA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Blaik Field at Michie Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 10
Air Force 3.0 (46.5)
Air Force won at Army this year (31-12)

Previous Matchups
Army beat Air Force last year (20-17)
Army beat Air Force in 2024 (20-3)
Army beat Air Force in 2023 (23-3)

AFA's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Air Force's Full Roster

AFA's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ARMY's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Army's Full Roster

ARMY's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD