Air Force at Wyoming - 2016 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 8th 2016 (3:30 PM EDT)
Air Force -13.5 (50.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Wyoming 35 - Air Force: 26 (Mountain West)

Falcons (10 - 3) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 30 (32 - 33 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

WYO is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -3 (SP+ AFA -11.5)
Projected Score: AFA: 25 - WYO: 25 (50)
AFA Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
AFA Travel: 164 miles

Cowboys (8 - 6) (10 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 16 - 21 (21 - 18 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
AFA Players
WYO Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Air Force's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Air Force vs Abilene Christian	-44.0
Sat 9/10	Air Force vs Georgia State	-22.5	52.5	W 48 - 14	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/24	Air Force at Utah State	-3.0	53.5	W 27 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Air Force vs Navy	-10.5	50.5	W 28 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Air Force at Wyoming	-13.5	50.0	L 26 - 35	O	N
Sat 10/15	Air Force vs New Mexico	-15.0	53.5	L 40 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/22	Air Force vs Hawai'i	-17.5	58.0	L 27 - 34	O	N
Fri 10/28	Air Force at Fresno State	-13.5	51.0	W 31 - 21	O	N
Sat 11/5	Air Force at Army	-3.0	46.5	W 31 - 12	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Air Force vs Colorado State	-6.0	54.0	W 49 - 46	O	N
Sat 11/19	Air Force at San José State	-11.0	54.5	W 41 - 38	O	N
Fri 11/25	Air Force vs Boise State	+9.0	63.5	W 27 - 20	U	Y
Fri 12/30	Air Force vs South Alabama	-14.0	54.0	W 45 - 21	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Air Force's Schedule

Wyoming's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Wyoming vs Northern Illinois	+10.5	54.0	W 40 - 34	O	Y
Sat 9/10	Wyoming at Nebraska	+24.0	56.0	L 17 - 52	O	N
Sat 9/17	Wyoming vs UC Davis	-22.5
Fri 9/23	Wyoming at Eastern Michigan	-2.5	59.5	L 24 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/1	Wyoming at Colorado State	+5.5	53.5	W 38 - 17	O	Y
Sat 10/8	Wyoming vs Air Force	+13.5	50.0	W 35 - 26	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	Wyoming at Nevada	-3.0	53.0	W 42 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/29	Wyoming vs Boise State	+12.5	62.5	W 30 - 28	U	Y
Sat 11/5	Wyoming vs Utah State	-4.0	55.5	W 52 - 28	O	Y
Sat 11/12	Wyoming at UNLV	-9.0	61.0	L 66 - 69	O	N
Sat 11/19	Wyoming vs San Diego State	+7.5	54.5	W 34 - 33	O	Y
Sat 11/26	Wyoming at New Mexico	-2.0	65.0	L 35 - 56	O	N
Sat 12/3	Wyoming vs San Diego State	+7.0	57.5	L 24 - 27	U	Y
Wed 12/21	Wyoming vs BYU	+7.5	56.0	L 21 - 24	U	Y

Important Stats (2015)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
AFA	.25	47%	29.8	48%	3.2	319	40%	132	3.87	.18	37%	30.3	33%	38%	3.58	38	1.6	1.3
WYO	.12	40%	16	41%	2.92	173	38%	187	2.97	.27	47%	20.5	44%	50%	3.98	56.8	1.8	0.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
AFA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
WYO		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2015

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
AFA Offense	14	29.8	32.2	46.9%	3.87	1.6	21	451	319	132	5.5	80%	18%	48%	40%	2%	.25
WYO Defense	12	20.5	18.3	46.9%	3.98	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	62%	36%	44%	50%	2%	.27

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
AFA Defense	14	30.3	32.8	36.6%	3.58	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	33%	38%	2%	.18
WYO Offense	12	16	20.7	39.9%	2.97	1.8	20	361	173	187	4.4	58%	42%	41%	38%	2%	.12

Additional Stats 2015

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Air Force	14	32:20	21.4	43%	61%	3.8	38	1.6	1.3	0	0	2	29.1
Wyoming	12	30:16	19.8	33%	61%	6.3	56.8	1.8	0.8	0	0	0	26.9

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
AFA Offense	14	80%	48%	58.3	319.1	5.5	45	.2	3.2	80%	0%	0.97
WYO Defense	12	62%	44%	-	-	-	-	.17	2.97	82%	0%	1.02

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
AFA Defense	14	53%	33%	-	-	-	-	.06	2.38	71%	0%	1.31
WYO Offense	12	58%	41%	39.8	173.4	4.4	12	.08	2.92	77%	0%	1.03

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
AFA Offense	14	18%	40%	6.2	12.1	131.9	10.9	21.2	15	12	.49	2.3	26%	33%	.37	2%	1.9
WYO Defense	12	36%	50%	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	.46	1.6	30%	41%	.4	2%	1.5

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
AFA Defense	14	46%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.33	1.9	38%	31%	.33	2%	2.1
WYO Offense	12	42%	38%	15.3	25.7	187.3	7.3	12.3	20	11	.2	1.7	33%	24%	.18	2%	2.3

Air Force's Power Ratings
Air Force's Power Rating: NR
Air Force's Offense Rating: NR
Air Force's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #181
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Air Force's 2016 Expected Record: -
Air Force's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.4 #58
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.0 #45
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #79

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Air Force: Wyoming: -0.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Air Force: 4.4 Wyoming: -6.9

Wyoming's Power Ratings
Wyoming's Power Rating: -0.95 NR
Wyoming's Offense Rating: NR
Wyoming's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #123
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Wyoming's 2016 Expected Record: -
Wyoming's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.9 #95
Wyoming's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.4 #60
Wyoming's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.5 #114

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Air Force Scoring
Offense: 29.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 32.2
Defense: 30.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8

Air Force's 2016 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Air Force 25
Wyoming 25

Projected Total Points: 50

Wyoming Scoring
Offense: 16 PPG
Offense at Home: 20.7
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.3

Wyoming's 2016 Record
Record: 8 - 6
Record vs Spread: 10 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 5
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 7 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 5 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/18	Air Force	24	Wyoming	21	Air Force -4	Wyoming	56.5	Under
2024	09/28	Wyoming	31	Air Force	19	Air Force -4	Wyoming	33.5	Over
2023	10/14	Air Force	34	Wyoming	27	Air Force -12.5	Wyoming	42.0	Over
2022	09/16	Wyoming	17	Air Force	14	Air Force -16.5	Wyoming	47.0	Under
2021	10/09	Air Force	24	Wyoming	14	Air Force -5.5	Air Force	46.5	Under
2019	11/30	Air Force	20	Wyoming	6	Air Force -13.5	Air Force	41.5	Under
2018	11/17	Wyoming	35	Air Force	27	Wyoming -3	Wyoming	42.5	Over
2017	11/11	Air Force	14	Wyoming	28	Air Force -2.5	Wyoming	51.0	Under
2016	10/08	Wyoming	35	Air Force	26	Air Force -13.5	Wyoming	50.0	Over
2015	10/10	Air Force	31	Wyoming	17	Air Force -21.5	Wyoming	57.0	Under
2014	09/06	Wyoming	17	Air Force	13	Wyoming -1	Wyoming	0
2013	09/21	Air Force	23	Wyoming	56	Wyoming -2.5	Wyoming	0
2012	10/13	Wyoming	27	Air Force	28
2011	11/12	Air Force	17	Wyoming	25
2010	09/25	Wyoming	14	Air Force	20
2009	10/17	Air Force	10	Wyoming	0
2008	09/06	Wyoming	3	Air Force	23
2007	10/20	Air Force	20	Wyoming	12
2006	09/23	Wyoming	24	Air Force	31
2005	09/17	Air Force	28	Wyoming	29
2004	10/30	Wyoming	43	Air Force	26
2003	09/20	Air Force	35	Wyoming	29
2002	10/26	Wyoming	34	Air Force	26
2001	10/13	Air Force	24	Wyoming	13
2000	10/13	Wyoming	34	Air Force	51

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Wyoming	11	10	4 Overs
Air Force	14	2	6 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	16 - 9	7 - 5	4 - 4	3 - 1
Road Teams	9 - 16	5 - 7	1 - 3	4 - 4

(#) AFA at (#) WYO

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	AFA	WYO
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#58	#95
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#181	#123
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Air Force Injury Report

Wyoming Injury Report

Air Force on Offense


CategoryCat	AFA Off	WYO Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#45	#114
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Air Force Run Game


CategoryCat	AFA Off	WYO Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Air Force Pass Game


CategoryCat	AFA Off	WYO Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Wyoming on Offense


CategoryCat	WYO Off	AFA Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#60	#79
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Wyoming Run Game


CategoryCat	WYO Off	AFA Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Wyoming Pass Game


CategoryCat	WYO Off	AFA Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
WYO 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average G5

AFA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in War Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 6
Air Force 13.5 (50.0)
Wyoming won vs Air Force this year (35-26)

Previous Matchups
Air Force beat Wyoming last year (24-21)
Wyoming beat Air Force in 2024 (31-19)
Air Force beat Wyoming in 2023 (34-27)

AFA's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Air Force's Full Roster

AFA's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

WYO's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Wyoming's Full Roster

WYO's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD