Buffalo at Miami (OH) - 2015 Matchup Preview

Thursday, October 29th 2015 (7:30 PM EDT)
Buffalo -9.5 (50.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Buffalo 29 - Miami (OH): 24 (Mid-American)

Bulls (5 - 7) (4 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 28 (22 - 29 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

M-OH is playing their 9th straight game
Our Line: -2.5 (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: BUFF: 28 - M-OH: 25 (53)
BUFF Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
BUFF Travel: 392 miles

RedHawks (3 - 9) (5 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 18 - 32 (25 - 28 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BUFF Players
M-OH Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Buffalo's 2015 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Buffalo vs UAlbany	-23.5
Sat 9/12	Buffalo at Penn State	+16.5	47.5	L 14 - 27	U	Y
Sat 9/19	Buffalo at Florida Atlantic	+2.5	59.5	W 33 - 15	U	Y
Sat 9/26	Buffalo vs Nevada	-3.0	53.5	L 21 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/3	Buffalo vs Bowling Green	+6.5	67.5	L 22 - 28	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17	Buffalo at Central Michigan	+7.0	55.5	L 14 - 51	O	N
Sat 10/24	Buffalo vs Ohio	+2.0	53.0	W 41 - 17	O	Y
Thu 10/29	Buffalo at Miami (OH)	-9.5	50.0	W 29 - 24	O	N
Thu 11/5	Buffalo at Kent State	-3.0	43.5	W 18 - 17	U	N
Wed 11/11	Buffalo vs Northern Illinois	+5.0	55.5	L 30 - 41	O	N
Sat 11/21	Buffalo at Akron	+2.5	45.0	L 21 - 42	O	N
Fri 11/27	Buffalo vs Massachusetts	-6.0	55.0	L 26 - 31	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Buffalo's Schedule

Miami (OH)'s 2015 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Miami (OH) vs Presbyterian	-23.5
Sat 9/12	Miami (OH) at Wisconsin	+33.0	52.0	L 0 - 58	O	N
Sat 9/19	Miami (OH) vs Cincinnati	+19.0	59.5	L 33 - 37	O	Y
Sat 9/26	Miami (OH) at Western Kentucky	+21.5	67.0	L 14 - 56	O	N
Sat 10/3	Miami (OH) at Kent State	+10.5	43.0	L 14 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/10	Miami (OH) at Ohio	+17.5	50.5	L 3 - 34	U	N
Sat 10/17	Miami (OH) vs Northern Illinois	+15.5	54.5	L 12 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/24	Miami (OH) at Western Michigan	+20.0	55.0	L 13 - 35	U	N
Thu 10/29	Miami (OH) vs Buffalo	+9.5	50.0	L 24 - 29	O	Y
Sat 11/7	Miami (OH) vs Eastern Michigan	-6.5	63.0	W 28 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/14	Miami (OH) vs Akron	+6.0	43.0	L 28 - 37	O	N
Sat 11/21	Miami (OH) at Massachusetts	+9.0	54.5	W 20 - 13	U	Y

Important Stats (2015)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BUFF	.15	43%	26.7	40%	2.96	137	45%	250	3.3	.1	43%	27.6	44%	41%	3.19	64	1.7	1.7
M-OH	.04	35%	17.9	35%	2.63	130	34%	209	2.7	.13	41%	32	36%	45%	3.69	60	2.6	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BUFF	#77 (.17)	40% (104)		38% (115)	2.7 (117)	153	42% (70)	176	4.22 (41)	#72 (.17)	43% (82)		43% (71)	43% (97)	3.84 (74)	39.3	1	1.5
M-OH	#95 (.15)	41% (97)		38% (119)	3.1 (51)	121	44% (48)	204	3.43 (108)	#38 (.12)	44% (92)		46% (100)	42% (74)	2.91 (6)	38.6	1.1	1.4

Overall Stats 2015

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BUFF Offense	12	26.7	21.5	43.5%	3.3	1.7	21	386	137	250	3.9	45%	53%	40%	45%	3%	.15
M-OH Defense	12	32	28	41.5%	3.69	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	52%	46%	36%	45%	2%	.13

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BUFF Defense	12	27.6	29.3	43.2%	3.19	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	52%	46%	44%	41%	2%	.1
M-OH Offense	12	17.9	25.2	35.3%	2.7	2.6	17	338	130	209	3.6	48%	51%	35%	34%	3%	.04

Additional Stats 2015

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Buffalo	12	31:04	20.5	36%	65%	7	64	1.7	1.7	0	0	6	28.5
Miami (OH)	12	28:42	16.6	31%	44%	7.4	60	2.6	1.4	0	0	2	25.7

Run Game Stats (2015)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BUFF Offense	12	45%	40%	35.4	136.9	3.9	17	.06	2.96	74%	0%	0.87
M-OH Defense	12	52%	36%	-	-	-	-	.03	2.5	76%	0%	1.05

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BUFF Defense	12	52%	44%	-	-	-	-	.13	2.92	68%	0%	1.03
M-OH Offense	12	48%	35%	35.7	129.7	3.6	7	-.03	2.63	60%	0%	0.91

Pass Game Stats (2015)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BUFF Offense	12	53%	45%	23.6	37.9	249.5	6.6	10.6	16	16	.25	1.4	34%	33%	.25	3%	1.5
M-OH Defense	12	46%	45%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.22	1.5	33%	35%	.2	2%	1.6

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BUFF Defense	12	46%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.09	1.6	31%	33%	.3	2%	1.9
M-OH Offense	12	51%	34%	14.8	31.2	208.5	6.7	14.1	18	19	.12	1.8	39%	27%	.17	3%	1.7

Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: NR
Buffalo's Offense Rating: NR
Buffalo's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating: #118
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Buffalo's 2015 Expected Record: -
Buffalo's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: Miami (OH): 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: Miami (OH):

Miami (OH)'s Power Ratings
Miami (OH)'s Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Miami (OH)'s Offense Rating: NR
Miami (OH)'s Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating: #92
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Miami (OH)'s 2015 Expected Record: -
Miami (OH)'s 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Miami (OH)'s Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Miami (OH)'s Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 26.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.5
Defense: 27.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.3

Buffalo's 2015 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Buffalo 28
Miami (OH) 25

Total Points: 53

Based on Last 4 Games
Buffalo 29
Miami (OH) 26

Total Points: 55

Based on Entire Season
Buffalo 27
Miami (OH) 25

Total Points: 52

Miami (OH) Scoring
Offense: 17.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.2
Defense: 32 PPG
Defense at Home: 28

Miami (OH)'s 2015 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/19	Buffalo	20	Miami (OH)	37	Miami (OH) -2.5	Miami (OH)	38.5	Over
2023	11/15	Miami (OH)	23	Buffalo	10	Miami (OH) -7.5	Miami (OH)	36.5	Under
2022	10/01	Buffalo	24	Miami (OH)	20	Buffalo -3	Buffalo	50.0	Under
2021	11/09	Miami (OH)	45	Buffalo	18	Miami (OH) -7	Miami (OH)	58.0	Over
2020	11/10	Buffalo	42	Miami (OH)	10	Buffalo -7.5	Buffalo	55.0	Under
2019	09/28	Miami (OH)	34	Buffalo	20	Buffalo -2.5	Miami (OH)	47.5	Over
2018	10/30	Buffalo	51	Miami (OH)	42	Buffalo -7	Buffalo	53.0	Over
2017	10/21	Miami (OH)	24	Buffalo	14	Miami (OH) -3	Miami (OH)	47.0	Under
2016	11/12	Buffalo	24	Miami (OH)	35	Miami (OH) -12	Buffalo	50.5	Over
2015	10/29	Miami (OH)	24	Buffalo	29	Buffalo -9.5	Miami (OH)	50.0	Over
2014	09/27	Buffalo	35	Miami (OH)	27	Buffalo -6.5	Buffalo	0
2013	11/19	Miami (OH)	7	Buffalo	44	Buffalo -24	Buffalo	0
2012	11/03	Buffalo	27	Miami (OH)	24
2011	10/29	Miami (OH)	41	Buffalo	13
2010	10/30	Buffalo	9	Miami (OH)	21
2009	11/18	Miami (OH)	17	Buffalo	42
2008	11/04	Buffalo	37	Miami (OH)	17
2007	11/03	Miami (OH)	31	Buffalo	28
2006	10/14	Buffalo	31	Miami (OH)	38
2005	11/05	Miami (OH)	54	Buffalo	13
2004	10/16	Buffalo	7	Miami (OH)	25
2003	10/11	Miami (OH)	59	Buffalo	3
2002	10/19	Buffalo	0	Miami (OH)	49
2001	10/06	Miami (OH)	31	Buffalo	14
2000	11/17	Buffalo	16	Miami (OH)	17

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Miami (OH)	16	6	6 Overs
Buffalo	9	6	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	15 - 10	10 - 2	7 - 0	3 - 2
Road Teams	10 - 15	2 - 10	2 - 3	0 - 7

(#) BUFF at (#) M-OH

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BUFF	M-OH
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#118	#92
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Buffalo Injury Report

Miami (OH) Injury Report

Buffalo on Offense


CategoryCat	BUFF Off	M-OH Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Buffalo Run Game


CategoryCat	BUFF Off	M-OH Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Buffalo Pass Game


CategoryCat	BUFF Off	M-OH Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Miami (OH) on Offense


CategoryCat	M-OH Off	BUFF Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Miami (OH) Run Game


CategoryCat	M-OH Off	BUFF Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Miami (OH) Pass Game


CategoryCat	M-OH Off	BUFF Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
M-OH 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

BUFF 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Yager Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 48° - Wind: 8 mph

Rematch from Week 9
Buffalo 9.5 (50.0)
Buffalo won at Miami (OH) this year (29-24)

Previous Matchups
Miami (OH) beat Buffalo in 2023 (23-10)
Buffalo beat Miami (OH) in 2022 (24-20)

BUFF's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Buffalo's Full Roster

BUFF's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

M-OH's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Miami (OH)'s Full Roster

M-OH's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD