Bowling Green at Buffalo - 2015 Matchup Preview
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Bowling Green Falcons at Buffalo Bulls

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Saturday, October 3rd 2015 (3:30 PM EDT)
Bowling Green -6.5 (67.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Bowling Green 28 - Buffalo: 22  (Mid-American)

 
Falcons (10 - 4) (10 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 21 - 24 (24 - 29 on Road)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
BGSU 2nd straight Road Game
BUFF 2nd straight Home Game
BUFF is playing their 5th straight game
BGSU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: BGSU: 23 - BUFF: 25 (48)
BGSU Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
BGSU Travel: 272 miles
Bulls (5 - 7) (4 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (25 - 24 @ Home)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Bowling Green's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Bowling Green vs Tennessee+17.067.5L 30 - 59ON
Sat 9/12 Bowling Green at Maryland+10.070.5W 48 - 27OY
Sat 9/19 Bowling Green vs Memphis+4.071.5L 41 - 44OY
Sat 9/26 Bowling Green at Purdue+1.574.0W 35 - 28UY
Sat 10/3 Bowling Green at Buffalo-6.567.5W 28 - 22UN
Sat 10/10 Bowling Green vs Massachusetts-13.578.5W 62 - 38OY
Sat 10/17 Bowling Green vs Akron-11.562.5W 59 - 10OY
Sat 10/24 Bowling Green at Kent State-9.559.0W 48 - 0UY
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/4 Bowling Green vs Ohio-13.566.0W 62 - 24OY
Wed 11/11 Bowling Green at Western Michigan-4.572.0W 41 - 27UY
Tue 11/17 Bowling Green vs Toledo-9.072.5L 28 - 44UN
Tue 11/24 Bowling Green at Ball State-20.574.0W 48 - 10UY
Fri 12/4 Bowling Green vs Northern Illinois-8.069.0W 34 - 14UY
Wed 12/23 Bowling Green vs Georgia Southern-7.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Bowling Green's Schedule
Buffalo's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Buffalo vs UAlbany-23.5
Sat 9/12 Buffalo at Penn State+16.547.5L 14 - 27UY
Sat 9/19 Buffalo at Florida Atlantic+2.559.5W 33 - 15UY
Sat 9/26 Buffalo vs Nevada-3.053.5L 21 - 24UN
Sat 10/3 Buffalo vs Bowling Green+6.567.5L 22 - 28UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17 Buffalo at Central Michigan+7.055.5L 14 - 51ON
Sat 10/24 Buffalo vs Ohio+2.053.0W 41 - 17OY
Thu 10/29 Buffalo at Miami (OH)-9.550.0W 29 - 24ON
Thu 11/5 Buffalo at Kent State-3.043.5W 18 - 17UN
Wed 11/11 Buffalo vs Northern Illinois+5.055.5L 30 - 41ON
Sat 11/21 Buffalo at Akron+2.545.0L 21 - 42ON
Fri 11/27 Buffalo vs Massachusetts-6.055.0L 26 - 31ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Buffalo's Schedule
Important Stats (2014)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BGSU.1240%20.541%2.8317336%2603.49.1645%24.345%44%3.662.31.62.4
BUFF.2444%2443%2.9317944%2603.87.239%23.538%38%4.0653.51.61.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BGSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
BUFF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BGSU Offense1420.52439.8%3.491.6224331732604.447%51%41%36%2%.12
BUFF Defense1123.524.139%4.061.4 - - - - - 56%43%38%38%1%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BGSU Defense1424.32945.3%3.62.4 - - - - - 45%54%45%44%2%.16
BUFF Offense112424.643.9%3.871.6224381792604.452%47%43%44%2%.24

Additional Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Bowling Green1426:1422.138%30%7.962.31.62.400329.5
Buffalo1133:3922.246%52%5.353.51.61.400031.7
Run Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BGSU Offense1447%41%39.71734.430.152.8376%0%1.07
BUFF Defense1156%38% - - - - .142.7366%0%1.18
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BGSU Defense1445%45% - - - - .092.860%0%1.07
BUFF Offense1152%43%40.3178.64.416.132.9363%0%0.99

Pass Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BGSU Offense1451%36%22.639.1259.96.711.51713.121.533%32%.332%2
BUFF Defense1143%38% - - - - - - 2.31.931%31%.51%2.5
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BGSU Defense1454%44% - - - - - - 16.231.431%35%.32%1.7
BUFF Offense1147%44%21.433.4259.57.812.23212.371.729%36%.422%1.9

Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #78
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Bowling Green's 2015 Expected Record: -
Bowling Green's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green:    Buffalo: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green:    Buffalo:




Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Buffalo's Offense Rating: NR
Buffalo's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #118
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Buffalo's 2015 Expected Record: -
Buffalo's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 20.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 24
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 29

Bowling Green's 2015 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 10 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Buffalo 25
Bowling Green 23

Projected Total Points: 48
Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 24 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.6
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.1

Buffalo's 2015 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/01Bowling Green3Buffalo28Bowling Green -2.5Buffalo44.5Under
202310/14Buffalo14Bowling Green24Buffalo -3Bowling Green44.5Under
202210/08Bowling Green7Buffalo38Buffalo -2Buffalo55.5Under
202110/30Buffalo44Bowling Green56Buffalo -13.5Bowling Green51.5Over
202011/17Bowling Green17Buffalo42Buffalo -31.5Bowling Green57.5Over
201911/29Buffalo49Bowling Green7Buffalo -28Buffalo53.5Over
201811/23Bowling Green14Buffalo44Buffalo -16Buffalo62.0Under
201711/07Buffalo38Bowling Green28Buffalo -7Buffalo61.0Over
201611/25Bowling Green27Buffalo19Bowling Green -11Buffalo60.0Under
201510/03Buffalo22Bowling Green28Bowling Green -6.5Buffalo67.5Under
201410/04Bowling Green36Buffalo35Bowling Green -5Buffalo0
201311/29Buffalo7Bowling Green24Bowling Green -3.5Bowling Green52.0Under
201211/23Bowling Green21Buffalo7
201111/25Buffalo28Bowling Green42
201010/02Bowling Green26Buffalo28
200911/03Buffalo29Bowling Green30
200811/21Bowling Green34Buffalo40
200711/17Buffalo17Bowling Green31
200609/09Bowling Green48Buffalo40
200510/15Buffalo7Bowling Green27
200109/08Bowling Green35Buffalo0
200009/22Buffalo20Bowling Green17
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Buffalo984 Overs
Bowling Green1347 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 144 - 82 - 52 - 3
Road Teams14 - 88 - 43 - 25 - 2

(#) BGSU at (#) BUFF
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBGSUBUFF
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #78 #118
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Bowling Green on Offense
CategoryCat
BGSU OffBUFF Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Bowling Green Run Game
CategoryCat
BGSU OffBUFF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Bowling Green Pass Game
CategoryCat
BGSU OffBUFF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Buffalo on Offense
CategoryCatBUFF OffBGSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Buffalo Run Game
CategoryCat
BUFF OffBGSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Buffalo Pass Game
CategoryCatBUFF OffBGSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
BUFF 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

BGSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in UB Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 5
Bowling Green 6.5 (67.5)
Bowling Green won at Buffalo this year (28-22)

Previous Matchups
Buffalo beat Bowling Green last year (28-3)
Bowling Green beat Buffalo in 2023 (24-14)

  
BGSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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BGSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

BUFF's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Buffalo's Full Roster

BUFF's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD