Bowling Green at Buffalo - 2015 Matchup Preview
Bowling Green logo Bowling Green Falcons at Buffalo BullsBuffalo logo
Saturday, October 3rd 2015 (3:30 PM EDT)
Bowling Green -6.5 (67.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Bowling Green 28 - Buffalo: 22  (Mid-American)

 
Falcons (10 - 4) (10 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 42 - 29 (41 - 19 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 21.9 MPH
BGSU 2nd straight Road Game
BUFF 2nd straight Home Game
BUFF is playing their 5th straight game
BGSU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: BGSU: 32 - BUFF: 30 (62)
BGSU Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
BGSU Travel: 272 miles
Bulls (5 - 7) (4 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 28 (32 - 26 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Bowling Green's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Bowling Green vs Tennessee+17.067.5L 30 - 59ON
Sat 9/12 Bowling Green at Maryland+10.070.5W 48 - 27OY
Sat 9/19 Bowling Green vs Memphis+4.071.5L 41 - 44OY
Sat 9/26 Bowling Green at Purdue+1.574.0W 35 - 28UY
Sat 10/3 Bowling Green at Buffalo-6.567.5W 28 - 22UN
Sat 10/10 Bowling Green vs Massachusetts-13.578.5W 62 - 38OY
Sat 10/17 Bowling Green vs Akron-11.562.5W 59 - 10OY
Sat 10/24 Bowling Green at Kent State-9.559.0W 48 - 0UY
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/4 Bowling Green vs Ohio-13.566.0W 62 - 24OY
Wed 11/11 Bowling Green at Western Michigan-4.572.0W 41 - 27UY
Tue 11/17 Bowling Green vs Toledo-9.072.5L 28 - 44UN
Tue 11/24 Bowling Green at Ball State-20.574.0W 48 - 10UY
Fri 12/4 Bowling Green vs Northern Illinois-8.069.0W 34 - 14UY
Wed 12/23 Bowling Green vs Georgia Southern-7.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Bowling Green's Schedule
Buffalo's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Buffalo vs UAlbany-23.5
Sat 9/12 Buffalo at Penn State+16.547.5L 14 - 27UY
Sat 9/19 Buffalo at Florida Atlantic+2.559.5W 33 - 15UY
Sat 9/26 Buffalo vs Nevada-3.053.5L 21 - 24UN
Sat 10/3 Buffalo vs Bowling Green+6.567.5L 22 - 28UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17 Buffalo at Central Michigan+7.055.5L 14 - 51ON
Sat 10/24 Buffalo vs Ohio+2.053.0W 41 - 17OY
Thu 10/29 Buffalo at Miami (OH)-9.550.0W 29 - 24ON
Thu 11/5 Buffalo at Kent State-3.043.5W 18 - 17UN
Wed 11/11 Buffalo vs Northern Illinois+5.055.5L 30 - 41ON
Sat 11/21 Buffalo at Akron+2.545.0L 21 - 42ON
Fri 11/27 Buffalo vs Massachusetts-6.055.0L 26 - 31ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Buffalo's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BGSU.3550%42.250%3.1818050%3674.58.1644%28.945%41%3.4180.21.11.9
BUFF.1543%26.740%2.9613745%2503.3.143%27.644%41%3.19641.71.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BGSU#53 (.21)43% (68)41% (99)3.01 (74)13444% (38)2073.84 (77)#43 (.13)38% (15)39% (29)37% (20)3.47 (32)41.10.81
BUFF#77 (.17)40% (104)38% (115)2.7 (117)15342% (70)1764.22 (41)#72 (.17)43% (82)43% (71)43% (97)3.84 (74)39.311.5



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BGSU Offense1442.241.350.3%4.581.1285471803674.744%56%50%50%2%.35
BUFF Defense1227.625.843.2%3.191.7 - - - - - 52%46%44%41%2%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BGSU Defense1428.91944.2%3.411.9 - - - - - 49%49%45%41%2%.16
BUFF Offense1226.731.843.5%3.31.7213861372503.945%53%40%45%3%.15

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Bowling Green1427:5527.850%53%8.880.21.11.900129.7
Buffalo1231:0420.536%65%7641.71.700628.5
Run Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BGSU Offense1444%50%38.71804.734.283.1874%0%1.07
BUFF Defense1252%44% - - - - .132.9268%0%1.03
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BGSU Defense1449%45% - - - - .152.9969%0%1
BUFF Offense1245%40%35.4136.93.917.062.9674%0%0.87

Pass Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BGSU Offense1456%50%28.442.4366.88.612.9478.411.628%42%.712%2.3
BUFF Defense1246%41% - - - - - - 13.091.631%33%.32%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BGSU Defense1449%41% - - - - - - 20.181.635%42%.442%1.6
BUFF Offense1253%45%23.637.9249.56.610.61616.251.434%33%.253%1.5

Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #78
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Bowling Green's 2015 Expected Record: -
Bowling Green's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green:    Buffalo: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green:    Buffalo:




Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Buffalo's Offense Rating: NR
Buffalo's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #118
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Buffalo's 2015 Expected Record: -
Buffalo's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 42.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 41.3
Defense: 28.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 19

Bowling Green's 2015 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 10 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Bowling Green 32
Buffalo 30

Total Points: 62

Based on Last 4 Games
Buffalo 33
Bowling Green 30

Total Points: 63

Based on Entire Season
Bowling Green 34
Buffalo 27

Total Points: 61
Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 26.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.8
Defense: 27.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.8

Buffalo's 2015 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/01Bowling Green3Buffalo28Bowling Green -2.5Buffalo44.5Under
202310/14Buffalo14Bowling Green24Buffalo -3Bowling Green44.5Under
202210/08Bowling Green7Buffalo38Buffalo -2Buffalo55.5Under
202110/30Buffalo44Bowling Green56Buffalo -13.5Bowling Green51.5Over
202011/17Bowling Green17Buffalo42Buffalo -31.5Bowling Green57.5Over
201911/29Buffalo49Bowling Green7Buffalo -28Buffalo53.5Over
201811/23Bowling Green14Buffalo44Buffalo -16Buffalo62.0Under
201711/07Buffalo38Bowling Green28Buffalo -7Buffalo61.0Over
201611/25Bowling Green27Buffalo19Bowling Green -11Buffalo60.0Under
201510/03Buffalo22Bowling Green28Bowling Green -6.5Buffalo67.5Under
201410/04Bowling Green36Buffalo35Bowling Green -5Buffalo0
201311/29Buffalo7Bowling Green24Bowling Green -3.5Bowling Green52.0Under
201211/23Bowling Green21Buffalo7
201111/25Buffalo28Bowling Green42
201010/02Bowling Green26Buffalo28
200911/03Buffalo29Bowling Green30
200811/21Bowling Green34Buffalo40
200711/17Buffalo17Bowling Green31
200609/09Bowling Green48Buffalo40
200510/15Buffalo7Bowling Green27
200109/08Bowling Green35Buffalo0
200009/22Buffalo20Bowling Green17
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Buffalo984 Overs
Bowling Green1347 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 144 - 82 - 52 - 3
Road Teams14 - 88 - 43 - 25 - 2

(#) BGSU at (#) BUFF
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBGSUBUFF
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #78 #118
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Bowling Green on Offense
CategoryCat
BGSU OffBUFF Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Bowling Green Run Game
CategoryCat
BGSU OffBUFF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Bowling Green Pass Game
CategoryCat
BGSU OffBUFF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Buffalo on Offense
CategoryCatBUFF OffBGSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Buffalo Run Game
CategoryCat
BUFF OffBGSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Buffalo Pass Game
CategoryCatBUFF OffBGSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
BUFF 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

BGSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in UB Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 46° - Wind: 22 mph
Rematch from Week 5
Bowling Green 6.5 (67.5)
Bowling Green won at Buffalo this year (28-22)

Previous Matchups
Bowling Green beat Buffalo in 2023 (24-14)
Buffalo beat Bowling Green in 2022 (38-7)

  
BGSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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BGSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

BUFF's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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BUFF's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD