Buffalo at Penn State - 2015 Matchup Preview
Buffalo logo   Buffalo Bulls at Penn State Nittany Lions  Penn State logo
Saturday, September 12th 2015 (12:00 PM EDT)
Penn State -16.5 (47.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Penn State 27 - Buffalo: 14

 
Bulls (5 - 7) (4 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (23 - 23 on Road)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: BUFF: 21 - PSU: 28 (49)
PSU Win prob: 90% | Cover: 54%
BUFF Travel: 158 miles
Nittany Lions (7 - 6) (5 - 6 - 2)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 21 (34 - 15 @ Home)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Buffalo's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Buffalo vs UAlbany-23.5
Sat 9/12 Buffalo at Penn State+16.547.5L 14 - 27UY
Sat 9/19 Buffalo at Florida Atlantic+2.559.5W 33 - 15UY
Sat 9/26 Buffalo vs Nevada-3.053.5L 21 - 24UN
Sat 10/3 Buffalo vs Bowling Green+6.567.5L 22 - 28UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17 Buffalo at Central Michigan+7.055.5L 14 - 51ON
Sat 10/24 Buffalo vs Ohio+2.053.0W 41 - 17OY
Thu 10/29 Buffalo at Miami (OH)-9.550.0W 29 - 24ON
Thu 11/5 Buffalo at Kent State-3.043.5W 18 - 17UN
Wed 11/11 Buffalo vs Northern Illinois+5.055.5L 30 - 41ON
Sat 11/21 Buffalo at Akron+2.545.0L 21 - 42ON
Fri 11/27 Buffalo vs Massachusetts-6.055.0L 26 - 31ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Buffalo's Schedule
Penn State's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Penn State at Temple-14.043.0L 10 - 27UN
Sat 9/12 Penn State vs Buffalo-16.547.5W 27 - 14UN
Sat 9/19 Penn State vs Rutgers-7.047.5W 28 - 3UY
Sat 9/26 Penn State vs San Diego State-12.040.0W 37 - 21OY
Sat 10/3 Penn State vs Army+7.544.0W 20 - 14UY
Sat 10/10 Penn State vs Indiana-8.052.0W 29 - 7UY
Sat 10/17 Penn State at Ohio State+17.549.0L 10 - 38UN
Sat 10/24 Penn State vs Maryland-7.546.5W 31 - 30ON
Sat 10/31 Penn State vs Illinois-4.044.5W 39 - 0UY
Sat 11/7 Penn State at Northwestern+2.041.0L 21 - 23OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/21 Penn State vs Michigan+5.043.0L 16 - 28ON
Sat 11/28 Penn State at Michigan State+11.043.5L 16 - 55ON
Sat 1/2 Penn State vs Georgia+7.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Penn State's Schedule
Important Stats (2014)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BUFF.2444%2443%2.9317944%2603.87.239%23.538%38%4.0653.51.61.4
PSU-.0138%3135%2.210238%2332.48-.0437%20.536%35%2.4946.221.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BUFF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
PSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BUFF Offense112423.243.9%3.871.6224381792604.452%47%43%44%2%.24
PSU Defense1320.515.136.5%2.491.6 - - - - - 47%50%36%35%3%-.04
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BUFF Defense1123.522.639%4.061.4 - - - - - 56%43%38%38%1%.2
PSU Offense13313438.4%2.482193351022332.941%56%35%38%2%-.01

Additional Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Buffalo1133:3922.246%52%5.353.51.61.400031.7
Penn State1331:1119.240%37%5.846.221.600230.6
Run Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BUFF Offense1152%43%40.3178.64.416.132.9363%0%0.99
PSU Defense1347%36% - - - - -.042.3265%0%0.88
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BUFF Defense1156%38% - - - - .142.7366%0%1.18
PSU Offense1341%35%34.7101.92.913-.052.264%0%0.93

Pass Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BUFF Offense1147%44%21.433.4259.57.812.23212.371.729%36%.422%1.9
PSU Defense1350%35% - - - - - - 16-.041.236%21%.013%1.5
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BUFF Defense1143%38% - - - - - - 2.31.931%31%.51%2.5
PSU Offense1356%38%21.238.2233.46.1111315.031.434%32%.142%1.6

Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: NR
Buffalo's Offense Rating: NR
Buffalo's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #118
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Buffalo's 2015 Expected Record: -
Buffalo's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Buffalo:    Penn State: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Buffalo:    Penn State:




Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Penn State's Offense Rating: NR
Penn State's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Penn State's 2015 Expected Record: -
Penn State's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 24 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.2
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.6

Buffalo's 2015 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Penn State 28
Buffalo 21

Projected Total Points: 49
Penn State Scoring
Offense: 31 PPG
Offense at Home: 34
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.1

Penn State's 2015 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 2
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201909/07Penn State45Buffalo13Penn State -31.5Penn State57.0Over
201509/12Penn State27Buffalo14Penn State -16.5Buffalo47.5Under
200709/15Penn State45Buffalo24
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Penn State311 Overs
Buffalo011 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 01 - 11 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 31 - 10 - 01 - 1

(#) BUFF at (#) PSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBUFFPSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #118 #21
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Buffalo on Offense
CategoryCat
BUFF OffPSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Buffalo Run Game
CategoryCat
BUFF OffPSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Buffalo Pass Game
CategoryCat
BUFF OffPSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Penn State on Offense
CategoryCatPSU OffBUFF Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Penn State Run Game
CategoryCat
PSU OffBUFF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Penn State Pass Game
CategoryCatPSU OffBUFF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
PSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

BUFF 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Beaver Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 2
Penn State -16.5 (47.5)
Penn State won vs Buffalo this year (27-14)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
BUFF's OC ()
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BUFF's DC ()
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PSU's OC ()
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PSU's DC ()
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