Nevada at Buffalo - 2015 Matchup Preview
Nevada logo   Nevada Wolf Pack at Buffalo Bulls  Buffalo logo
Saturday, September 26th 2015 (3:30 PM EDT)
Buffalo -3 (53.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Nevada 24 - Buffalo: 21

 
Wolf Pack (7 - 6) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 18 - 28 (16 - 30 on Road)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
NEV 2nd straight Road Game
BUFF is playing their 4th straight game
NEV is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: NEV: 20 - BUFF: 27 (47)
BUFF Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
NEV Travel: 2123 miles, 3 hrs behind
Bulls (5 - 7) (4 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (25 - 24 @ Home)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Nevada's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/3 Nevada vs UC Davis-23.5
Sat 9/12 Nevada vs Arizona+10.563.0L 20 - 44ON
Sat 9/19 Nevada at Texas A&M+25.064.0L 27 - 44OY
Sat 9/26 Nevada at Buffalo+3.053.5W 24 - 21UY
Sat 10/3 Nevada vs UNLV-11.557.0L 17 - 23UN
Sat 10/10 Nevada vs New Mexico-6.053.5W 35 - 17UY
Sat 10/17 Nevada at Wyoming-7.055.5L 21 - 28UN
Sat 10/24 Nevada vs Hawai'i-6.554.0W 30 - 20UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/5 Nevada at Fresno State-3.554.0W 30 - 16UY
Sat 11/14 Nevada vs San José State-1.052.5W 37 - 34OY
Sat 11/21 Nevada at Utah State+14.054.5L 27 - 31OY
Sat 11/28 Nevada at San Diego State+14.048.5L 14 - 31UN
Tue 12/29 Nevada vs Colorado State+3.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Nevada's Schedule
Buffalo's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Buffalo vs UAlbany-23.5
Sat 9/12 Buffalo at Penn State+16.547.5L 14 - 27UY
Sat 9/19 Buffalo at Florida Atlantic+2.559.5W 33 - 15UY
Sat 9/26 Buffalo vs Nevada-3.053.5L 21 - 24UN
Sat 10/3 Buffalo vs Bowling Green+6.567.5L 22 - 28UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17 Buffalo at Central Michigan+7.055.5L 14 - 51ON
Sat 10/24 Buffalo vs Ohio+2.053.0W 41 - 17OY
Thu 10/29 Buffalo at Miami (OH)-9.550.0W 29 - 24ON
Thu 11/5 Buffalo at Kent State-3.043.5W 18 - 17UN
Wed 11/11 Buffalo vs Northern Illinois+5.055.5L 30 - 41ON
Sat 11/21 Buffalo at Akron+2.545.0L 21 - 42ON
Fri 11/27 Buffalo vs Massachusetts-6.055.0L 26 - 31ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Buffalo's Schedule
Important Stats (2014)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NEV.1543%17.642%3.0120542%1923.99.1547%27.547%46%3.249.71.22.1
BUFF.2444%2443%2.9317944%2603.87.239%23.538%38%4.0653.51.61.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NEV0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
BUFF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NEV Offense1317.615.542.7%3.991.2213982051924.854%44%42%42%2%.15
BUFF Defense1123.524.139%4.061.4 - - - - - 56%43%38%38%1%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NEV Defense1327.529.847.2%3.22.1 - - - - - 46%53%47%46%2%.15
BUFF Offense112424.643.9%3.871.6224381792604.452%47%43%44%2%.24

Additional Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Nevada1332:3021.141%59%5.649.71.22.100330.2
Buffalo1133:3922.246%52%5.353.51.61.400031.7
Run Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NEV Offense1354%42%43.1205.54.827.133.0173%0%0.99
BUFF Defense1156%38% - - - - .142.7366%0%1.18
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NEV Defense1346%47% - - - - .133.2270%0%0.86
BUFF Offense1152%43%40.3178.64.416.132.9363%0%0.99

Pass Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NEV Offense1344%42%18.431.2192.26.210.51811.191.531%32%.292%1.8
BUFF Defense1143%38% - - - - - - 2.31.931%31%.51%2.5
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NEV Defense1353%46% - - - - - - 13.181.330%34%.222%1.6
BUFF Offense1147%44%21.433.4259.57.812.23212.371.729%36%.422%1.9

Nevada's Power Ratings
Nevada's Power Rating: NR
Nevada's Offense Rating: NR
Nevada's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #99
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Nevada's 2015 Expected Record: -
Nevada's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Nevada's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Nevada's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Nevada:    Buffalo: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Nevada:    Buffalo:




Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Buffalo's Offense Rating: NR
Buffalo's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #118
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Buffalo's 2015 Expected Record: -
Buffalo's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Nevada Scoring
Offense: 17.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.5
Defense: 27.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.8

Nevada's 2015 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Buffalo 27
Nevada 20

Projected Total Points: 47
Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 24 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.6
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.1

Buffalo's 2015 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201609/17Nevada38Buffalo14Nevada -9Nevada49.5Over
201509/26Buffalo21Nevada24Buffalo -3Nevada53.5Under
200409/18Nevada38Buffalo13
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Buffalo001 Overs
Nevada321 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 11 - 11 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 21 - 10 - 01 - 1

(#) NEV at (#) BUFF
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNEVBUFF
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #99 #118
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Nevada on Offense
CategoryCat
NEV OffBUFF Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Nevada Run Game
CategoryCat
NEV OffBUFF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Nevada Pass Game
CategoryCat
NEV OffBUFF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Buffalo on Offense
CategoryCatBUFF OffNEV Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Buffalo Run Game
CategoryCat
BUFF OffNEV Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Buffalo Pass Game
CategoryCatBUFF OffNEV Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
BUFF 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

NEV 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in UB Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 4
Buffalo -3.0 (53.5)
Nevada won at Buffalo this year (24-21)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
NEV's OC ()
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BUFF's OC ()
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BUFF's DC ()
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