Massachusetts at Buffalo - 2015 Matchup Preview
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Massachusetts Minutemen at Buffalo Bulls

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Friday, November 27th 2015 (4:30 PM EST)
Buffalo -6 (55.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Massachusetts 31 - Buffalo: 26  (Mid-American)

 
Minutemen (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 11 - 39 (9 - 43 on Road)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
BUFF is playing their 7th straight game
UMASS is playing their 12th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: UMASS: 17 - BUFF: 32 (49)
BUFF Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
UMASS Travel: 320 miles
Bulls (5 - 7) (4 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (25 - 24 @ Home)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Massachusetts's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/12 Massachusetts at Colorado+16.061.5L 14 - 48ON
Sat 9/19 Massachusetts vs Temple+9.055.0L 23 - 25UY
Sat 9/26 Massachusetts at Notre Dame+28.561.5L 27 - 62ON
Sat 10/3 Massachusetts vs Florida International-2.556.0W 24 - 14UY
Sat 10/10 Massachusetts at Bowling Green+13.578.5L 38 - 62ON
Sat 10/17 Massachusetts vs Kent State-5.055.5L 10 - 15UN
Sat 10/24 Massachusetts vs Toledo+9.561.0L 35 - 51ON
Sat 10/31 Massachusetts at Ball State+4.067.5L 10 - 20UN
Sat 11/7 Massachusetts vs Akron-1.554.0L 13 - 17UN
Sat 11/14 Massachusetts at Eastern Michigan-7.568.5W 28 - 17UY
Sat 11/21 Massachusetts vs Miami (OH)-9.054.5L 13 - 20UN
Fri 11/27 Massachusetts at Buffalo+6.055.0W 31 - 26OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Massachusetts's Schedule
Buffalo's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Buffalo vs UAlbany-23.5
Sat 9/12 Buffalo at Penn State+16.547.5L 14 - 27UY
Sat 9/19 Buffalo at Florida Atlantic+2.559.5W 33 - 15UY
Sat 9/26 Buffalo vs Nevada-3.053.5L 21 - 24UN
Sat 10/3 Buffalo vs Bowling Green+6.567.5L 22 - 28UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17 Buffalo at Central Michigan+7.055.5L 14 - 51ON
Sat 10/24 Buffalo vs Ohio+2.053.0W 41 - 17OY
Thu 10/29 Buffalo at Miami (OH)-9.550.0W 29 - 24ON
Thu 11/5 Buffalo at Kent State-3.043.5W 18 - 17UN
Wed 11/11 Buffalo vs Northern Illinois+5.055.5L 30 - 41ON
Sat 11/21 Buffalo at Akron+2.545.0L 21 - 42ON
Fri 11/27 Buffalo vs Massachusetts-6.055.0L 26 - 31ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Buffalo's Schedule
Important Stats (2014)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UMASS.1642%11.144%2.9610940%3123.47.1945%38.644%44%4.0251.41.91.5
BUFF.2444%2443%2.9317944%2603.87.239%23.538%38%4.0653.51.61.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UMASS0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
BUFF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UMASS Offense1211.19.341.6%3.471.9224211093123.440%59%44%40%2%.16
BUFF Defense1123.524.139%4.061.4 - - - - - 56%43%38%38%1%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UMASS Defense1238.642.545.3%4.021.5 - - - - - 50%49%44%44%2%.19
BUFF Offense112424.643.9%3.871.6224381792604.452%47%43%44%2%.24

Additional Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Massachusetts1227:1622.336%53%6.151.41.91.500228.4
Buffalo1133:3922.246%52%5.353.51.61.400031.7
Run Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UMASS Offense1240%44%32.3109.33.416.032.9670%0%0.87
BUFF Defense1156%38% - - - - .142.7366%0%1.18
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UMASS Defense1250%44% - - - - .143.0164%0%1.04
BUFF Offense1152%43%40.3178.64.416.132.9363%0%0.99

Pass Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UMASS Offense1259%40%22.441311.87.613.92713.281.837%32%.342%2
BUFF Defense1143%38% - - - - - - 2.31.931%31%.51%2.5
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UMASS Defense1249%44% - - - - - - 13.261.529%37%.432%1.9
BUFF Offense1147%44%21.433.4259.57.812.23212.371.729%36%.422%1.9

Massachusetts's Power Ratings
Massachusetts's Power Rating: NR
Massachusetts's Offense Rating: NR
Massachusetts's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #116
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Massachusetts's 2015 Expected Record: -
Massachusetts's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Massachusetts's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Massachusetts's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Massachusetts:    Buffalo: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Massachusetts:    Buffalo:




Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Buffalo's Offense Rating: NR
Buffalo's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #118
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Buffalo's 2015 Expected Record: -
Buffalo's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Massachusetts Scoring
Offense: 11.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 9.3
Defense: 38.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 42.5

Massachusetts's 2015 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Buffalo 32
Massachusetts 17

Projected Total Points: 49
Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 24 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.6
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.1

Buffalo's 2015 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/18Massachusetts21Buffalo28Buffalo -16.5Massachusetts47.5Over
202409/14Buffalo34Massachusetts3Buffalo -3.5Buffalo45.5Under
202210/15Massachusetts7Buffalo34Buffalo -17Buffalo47.5Under
201511/27Buffalo26Massachusetts31Buffalo -6Massachusetts55.0Over
201411/28Massachusetts21Buffalo41Buffalo -1Buffalo0
201310/19Buffalo32Massachusetts3Buffalo -20.5Buffalo0
201211/17Massachusetts19Buffalo29
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Buffalo642 Overs
Massachusetts122 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 53 - 32 - 11 - 2
Road Teams5 - 23 - 32 - 11 - 2

(#) UMASS at (#) BUFF
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUMASSBUFF
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #116 #118
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Massachusetts on Offense
CategoryCat
UMASS OffBUFF Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Massachusetts Run Game
CategoryCat
UMASS OffBUFF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Massachusetts Pass Game
CategoryCat
UMASS OffBUFF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Buffalo on Offense
CategoryCatBUFF OffUMASS Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Buffalo Run Game
CategoryCat
BUFF OffUMASS Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Buffalo Pass Game
CategoryCatBUFF OffUMASS Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
BUFF 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

UMASS 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in UB Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 13
Buffalo -6.0 (55.0)
Massachusetts won at Buffalo this year (31-26)

Previous Matchups
Buffalo beat Massachusetts last year (28-21)
Buffalo beat Massachusetts in 2024 (34-3)

  
UMASS's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UMASS's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

BUFF's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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BUFF's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD