NC State at South Florida - 2014 Matchup Preview
NC State logo NC State Wolfpack at South Florida Bulls(#18)South Florida logo
Saturday, September 13th 2014 (3:30 PM EDT)
NC State -1.5 (0)  Open: 0.0
NC State 49 - South Florida: 17

 
Wolfpack (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 27 (25 - 22 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
USF 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: NCST: 25 - USF: 20 (45)
NCST Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
NCST Travel: 584 miles
Bulls (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 17 - 27 (15 - 27 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
NC State's 2014 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 NC State vs Georgia Southern-23.0
Sat 9/6 NC State vs Old Dominion-17.0
Sat 9/13 NC State at South Florida-1.5
Sat 9/20 NC State vs Presbyterian-40.5
Sat 9/27 NC State vs Florida State+23.0
Sat 10/4 NC State at Clemson+14.0
Sat 10/11 NC State vs Boston College-3.5
Sat 10/18 NC State at Louisville+14.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 NC State at Syracuse+5.0
Sat 11/8 NC State vs Georgia Tech+3.0
Sat 11/15 NC State vs Wake Forest-12.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 NC State at North Carolina+6.0
Fri 12/26 NC State vs UCF+2.047.5W 34 - 27OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for NC State's Schedule
South Florida's 2014 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 South Florida vs Western Carolina-26.0
Sat 9/6 South Florida vs Maryland+10.0
Sat 9/13 South Florida vs NC State+1.5
Fri 9/19 South Florida vs UConn-2.5
Sat 9/27 South Florida at Wisconsin+32.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 South Florida vs East Carolina+14.5
Sat 10/18 South Florida at Tulsa-2.051.0W 38 - 30OY
Fri 10/24 South Florida at Cincinnati+10.0
Sat 11/1 South Florida vs Houston+10.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 South Florida at SMU-12.0
Sat 11/22 South Florida at Memphis+19.0
Fri 11/28 South Florida vs UCF+9.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Florida's Schedule
Important Stats (2014)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NCST.2349%30.252%3.3520545%2043.94.1843%2744%39%3.6842.91.21.5
USF.0234%17.230%2.1910836%1972.35.1346%2742%49%3.5760.71.71.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NCST#26 (.25)45% (36)44% (68)3.24 (36)13047% (20)2153.97 (61)#86 (.19)41% (59)39% (31)43% (87)3.78 (67)451.71.4
USF#83 (.17)38% (118)39% (112)3.06 (60)18138% (106)2273.88 (74)#66 (.16)39% (36)38% (17)40% (69)4 (88)70.91.42.1



Overall Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NCST Offense1330.225.249.1%3.941.2224092052045.249%50%52%45%1%.23
USF Defense12272746.2%3.571.7 - - - - - 53%45%42%49%2%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NCST Defense132722.442.6%3.681.5 - - - - - 50%48%44%39%4%.18
USF Offense1217.215.334.3%2.351.7153051081973.448%50%30%36%2%.02

Additional Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
NC State1329:5621.746%50%4.842.91.21.500129.6
South Florida1228:0715.237%47%6.360.71.71.700129.5
Run Game Stats (2014)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NCST Offense1349%52%39.1204.55.226.283.3582%0%0.96
USF Defense1253%42% - - - - .012.8165%0%0.79
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NCST Defense1350%44% - - - - .172.8682%0%1.02
USF Offense1248%30%31.3107.93.411-.082.1958%0%1.07

Pass Game Stats (2014)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NCST Offense1350%45%17.229.3204711.8246.21.431%37%.321%1.6
USF Defense1245%49% - - - - - - 6.291.330%31%.212%1.6
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NCST Defense1348%39% - - - - - - 10.21.635%34%.374%1.9
USF Offense1250%36%14.930.3196.86.513.21111.151.639%32%.232%1.7

NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: NR
NC State's Offense Rating: NR
NC State's Defense Rating: NR
2014 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
NC State's 2014 Expected Record: -
NC State's 2014 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
NC State:    South Florida: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
NC State:    South Florida:




South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
South Florida's Offense Rating: NR
South Florida's Defense Rating: NR
2014 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
South Florida's 2014 Expected Record: -
South Florida's 2014 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


NC State Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.2
Defense: 27 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.4

NC State's 2014 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 12
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
NC State 25
South Florida 20

Total Points: 45

Based on Last 4 Games
NC State 22
South Florida 19

Total Points: 41

Based on Entire Season
NC State 28
South Florida 20

Total Points: 48
South Florida Scoring
Offense: 17.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 15.3
Defense: 27 PPG
Defense at Home: 27

South Florida's 2014 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 11
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202109/02NC State45South Florida0NC State -20NC State58.0Under
201409/13South Florida17NC State49NC State -1.5NC State0
200809/27NC State10South Florida41
200512/31NC State14South Florida0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
South Florida100 Overs
NC State321 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 21 - 11 - 00 - 1
Road Teams2 - 21 - 11 - 00 - 1

(#) NCST at (#) USF
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNCSTUSF
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
NC State on Offense
CategoryCat
NCST OffUSF Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
NC State Run Game
CategoryCat
NCST OffUSF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
NC State Pass Game
CategoryCat
NCST OffUSF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
South Florida on Offense
CategoryCatUSF OffNCST Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
South Florida Run Game
CategoryCat
USF OffNCST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
South Florida Pass Game
CategoryCatUSF OffNCST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
USF 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'14 Profile: Remains Poor G5

NCST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'14 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Raymond James Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 90° - Wind: 9 mph
Rematch from Week 3
NC State 1.5 (0)
NC State won at South Florida this year (49-17)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
NCST's OC ()
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NCST's DC ()
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USF's OC ()
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USF's DC ()
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