UCF at Houston - 2014 Matchup Preview
UCF logo UCF Knights at Houston CougarsHouston logo
Thursday, October 2nd 2014 (7:00 PM EDT)
Houston -2.5 (0)  Open: 0.0
UCF 17 - Houston: 12  (American Athletic)

 
Knights (9 - 4) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 19 (21 - 23 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UCF coming off BYE
HOU coming off BYE
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: UCF: 19 - HOU: 32 (51)
HOU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
UCF Travel: 857 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Cougars (8 - 5) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 21 (29 - 18 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
UCF's 2014 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 UCF vs Penn State-2.044.0L 24 - 26ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/13 UCF at Missouri+9.0
Sat 9/20 UCF vs Bethune-Cookman-27.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/2 UCF at Houston+2.5
Thu 10/9 UCF vs BYU-3.0
Sat 10/18 UCF vs Tulane-19.0
Sat 10/25 UCF vs Temple-11.0
Sat 11/1 UCF at UConn-12.0
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/14 UCF vs Tulsa-18.5
Sat 11/22 UCF vs SMU-26.5
Fri 11/28 UCF at South Florida-9.5
Thu 12/4 UCF at East Carolina+6.5
Fri 12/26 UCF vs NC State-2.047.5L 27 - 34ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UCF's Schedule
Houston's 2014 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Houston vs UTSA-12.5
Sat 9/6 Houston vs Grambling-47.5
Thu 9/11 Houston at BYU+14.0
Sat 9/20 Houston vs UNLV-19.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/2 Houston vs UCF-2.5
Sat 10/11 Houston at Memphis+4.0
Fri 10/17 Houston vs Temple-9.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Houston at South Florida-10.0
Sat 11/8 Houston vs Tulane-16.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Houston vs Tulsa-21.0
Fri 11/28 Houston at SMU-22.5
Sat 12/6 Houston at Cincinnati+7.0
Fri 1/2 Houston vs Pittsburgh+5.554.0W 35 - 34OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Houston's Schedule
Important Stats (2014)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCF.0942%28.141%2.3612841%2353.19.0239%19.240%37%2.4854.32.22.2
HOU.244%29.845%2.7418441%2303.39.0942%20.643%40%3.0859.31.72.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCF#58 (.21)46% (28)52% (8)3.62 (2)24838% (103)2003.75 (86)#63 (.16)40% (45)37% (12)42% (84)4.37 (118)54.41.60.9
HOU#133 (-)35% (129)35% (130)2.52 (129)13737% (115)1532.57 (134)#51 (.14)40% (41)40% (41)39% (49)3.52 (41)51.92.31.6



Overall Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCF Offense1328.120.842%3.192.2203641282353.250%48%41%41%2%.09
HOU Defense1320.618.142%3.082.3 - - - - - 51%47%43%40%3%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCF Defense1319.223.439.4%2.482.2 - - - - - 44%54%40%37%3%.02
HOU Offense1329.829.443.6%3.391.7224141842304.848%51%45%41%3%.2

Additional Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UCF1332:3420.441%52%5.854.32.22.200134.1
Houston1331:192241%52%6.559.31.72.300132.6
Run Game Stats (2014)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCF Offense1350%41%40.5128.33.219-.082.3662%0%0.7
HOU Defense1351%43% - - - - .073.0765%0%0.82
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCF Defense1344%40% - - - - -.022.2659%0%0.87
HOU Offense1348%45%38.1183.84.828.222.7476%0%1.13

Pass Game Stats (2014)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCF Offense1348%41%17.932235.37.413.12315.271.732%34%.322%1.7
HOU Defense1347%40% - - - - - - 19.131.432%32%.253%1.6
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCF Defense1354%37% - - - - - - 18.071.434%31%.173%1.7
HOU Offense1351%41%20.934.6230.26.7111815.181.434%32%.33%1.9

UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: NR
UCF's Offense Rating: NR
UCF's Defense Rating: NR
2014 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UCF's 2014 Expected Record: -
UCF's 2014 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
UCF:    Houston: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UCF:    Houston:




Houston's Power Ratings
Houston's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Houston's Offense Rating: NR
Houston's Defense Rating: NR
2014 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Houston's 2014 Expected Record: -
Houston's 2014 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


UCF Scoring
Offense: 28.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.8
Defense: 19.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.4

UCF's 2014 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 2 - 11
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Houston 32
UCF 19

Total Points: 51

Based on Last 4 Games
Houston 37
UCF 16

Total Points: 53

Based on Entire Season
Houston 26
UCF 22

Total Points: 48
Houston Scoring
Offense: 29.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.4
Defense: 20.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.1

Houston's 2014 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 1 - 12
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/07UCF27Houston30UCF -1.5Houston47.5Over
202311/25UCF27Houston13UCF -15.5Houston61.5Under
202010/31Houston21UCF44UCF -3UCF81.0Under
201911/02UCF44Houston29UCF -22Houston72.0Over
201610/29Houston31UCF24Houston -12.5UCF59.0Under
201510/24UCF10Houston59Houston -18.5Houston53.0Over
201410/02Houston12UCF17Houston -2.5UCF0
201311/09UCF19Houston14UCF -10Houston0
201011/05Houston33UCF40
200911/14UCF37Houston32
200610/28Houston51UCF31
200511/05UCF31Houston29
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Houston453 Overs
UCF833 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 50 - 80 - 60 - 2
Road Teams5 - 78 - 02 - 06 - 0

(#) UCF at (#) HOU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUCFHOU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
UCF on Offense
CategoryCat
UCF OffHOU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UCF Run Game
CategoryCat
UCF OffHOU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
UCF Pass Game
CategoryCat
UCF OffHOU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Houston on Offense
CategoryCatHOU OffUCF Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Houston Run Game
CategoryCat
HOU OffUCF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Houston Pass Game
CategoryCatHOU OffUCF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
HOU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'14 Profile: Remains Poor G5

UCF 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'14 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in O'Quinn Field at TDECU Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 88° - Wind: 11 mph
Rematch from Week 6
Houston -2.5 (0)
UCF won at Houston this year (17-12)

Previous Matchups
UCF beat Houston in 2023 (27-13)

  
UCF's OC ()
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UCF's DC ()
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HOU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
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HOU's DC ()
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