Penn State at UCF - 2014 Matchup Preview
Penn State logo

Penn State Nittany Lions vs UCF Knights

UCF logo
Saturday, August 30th 2014 (8:30 AM EDT)
UCF -2 (44.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Penn State 26 - UCF: 24

 
Nittany Lions (7 - 6) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 21 (29 - 30 on Road)
'14 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -0  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: PSU: 25 - UCF: 27 (52)
UCF Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
PSU Travel: 747 miles, 4 hrs behind
Knights (9 - 4) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (33 - 16 @ Home)
'14 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Penn State's 2014 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Penn State vs UCF+2.044.0W 26 - 24OY
Sat 9/6 Penn State vs Akron-18.0
Sat 9/13 Penn State at Rutgers-4.0
Sat 9/20 Penn State vs Massachusetts-30.0
Sat 9/27 Penn State vs Northwestern-9.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Penn State at Michigan-2.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Penn State vs Ohio State+11.5
Sat 11/1 Penn State vs Maryland-2.5
Sat 11/8 Penn State at Indiana-4.0
Sat 11/15 Penn State vs Temple-10.5
Sat 11/22 Penn State at Illinois-4.5
Sat 11/29 Penn State vs Michigan State+11.5
Sat 12/27 Penn State vs Boston College+3.041.0W 31 - 30OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Penn State's Schedule
UCF's 2014 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 UCF vs Penn State-2.044.0L 24 - 26ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/13 UCF at Missouri+9.0
Sat 9/20 UCF vs Bethune-Cookman-27.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/2 UCF at Houston+2.5
Thu 10/9 UCF vs BYU-3.0
Sat 10/18 UCF vs Tulane-19.0
Sat 10/25 UCF vs Temple-11.0
Sat 11/1 UCF at UConn-12.0
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/14 UCF vs Tulsa-18.5
Sat 11/22 UCF vs SMU-26.5
Fri 11/28 UCF at South Florida-9.5
Thu 12/4 UCF at East Carolina+6.5
Fri 12/26 UCF vs NC State-2.047.5L 27 - 34ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UCF's Schedule
Important Stats (2013)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PSU.0944%3145%3.0817441%259-0.08.0540%20.533%43%033.61.81.7
UCF.1449%24.344%2.8216052%282-0.28.1140%23.639%40%041.61.62
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UCF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2013
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PSU Offense123128.644.4%-0.081.8234331742594.252%46%45%41%2%.09
UCF Defense1323.615.740.1%02 - - - - - 42%57%39%40%2%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PSU Defense1220.530.239.5%01.7 - - - - - 48%50%33%43%2%.05
UCF Offense1324.332.648.9%-0.281.6224421602824.449%48%44%52%3%.14

Additional Stats 2013
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Penn State1229:5222.534%54%4.633.61.81.700028.5
UCF1332:0822.449%38%4.841.61.6200032.4
Run Game Stats (2014)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PSU Offense1252%45%41.81744.2223.0867%0%0.6
UCF Defense1342%39% - - - - 2.6457%0%0.92
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PSU Defense1248%33% - - - - -.092.3958%0%0.85
UCF Offense1349%44%36.2159.94.428.032.8270%0%0.72

Pass Game Stats (2014)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PSU Offense1246%41%20.134.1259.27.612.92110.211.329%30%.22%1.5
UCF Defense1357%40% - - - - - - 14.191.436%33%.312%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PSU Defense1250%43% - - - - - - 13.21.336%32%.242%1.7
UCF Offense1348%52%20.731.1281.69.113.62611.291.128%43%.323%1.3

Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: NR
Penn State's Offense Rating: NR
Penn State's Defense Rating: NR
2014 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Penn State's 2014 Expected Record: -
Penn State's 2014 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Penn State:    UCF: 0

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Penn State:    UCF:




UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: 0 NR
UCF's Offense Rating: NR
UCF's Defense Rating: NR
2014 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
UCF's 2014 Expected Record: -
UCF's 2014 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Penn State Scoring
Offense: 31 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.6
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.2

Penn State's 2014 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 2 - 11
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
UCF 27
Penn State 25

Projected Total Points: 52
UCF Scoring
Offense: 24.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.6
Defense: 23.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.7

UCF's 2014 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 2 - 11
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201408/30UCF24Penn State26UCF -2Penn State44.0Over
201309/14Penn State31UCF34Penn State -3.5UCF0
200409/18Penn State37UCF13
200208/31Penn State27UCF24
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UCF111 Overs
Penn State310 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 20 - 20 - 20 - 0
Road Teams2 - 22 - 00 - 02 - 0

(#) PSU at (#) UCF
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatPSUUCF
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Penn State on Offense
CategoryCat
PSU OffUCF Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Penn State Run Game
CategoryCat
PSU OffUCF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Penn State Pass Game
CategoryCat
PSU OffUCF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
UCF on Offense
CategoryCatUCF OffPSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UCF Run Game
CategoryCat
UCF OffPSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
UCF Pass Game
CategoryCatUCF OffPSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UCF 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'14 Profile: Remains Poor G5

PSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'14 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Croke Park Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 1
UCF -2.0 (44.0)
Penn State won at UCF this year (26-24)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
PSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Penn State's Full Roster

PSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UCF's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View UCF's Full Roster

UCF's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD