Penn State at UCF - 2014 Matchup Preview
Penn State logo Penn State Nittany Lions vs UCF KnightsUCF logo
Saturday, August 30th 2014 (8:30 AM EDT)
UCF -2 (44.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Penn State 26 - UCF: 24

 
Nittany Lions (7 - 6) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 21 - 19 (13 - 13 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -0  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: PSU: 19 - UCF: 25 (44)
UCF Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
PSU Travel: 747 miles, 5 hrs behind
Knights (9 - 4) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 19 (35 - 12 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Penn State's 2014 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Penn State vs UCF+2.044.0W 26 - 24OY
Sat 9/6 Penn State vs Akron-18.0
Sat 9/13 Penn State at Rutgers-4.0
Sat 9/20 Penn State vs Massachusetts-30.0
Sat 9/27 Penn State vs Northwestern-9.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Penn State at Michigan-2.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Penn State vs Ohio State+11.5
Sat 11/1 Penn State vs Maryland-2.5
Sat 11/8 Penn State at Indiana-4.0
Sat 11/15 Penn State vs Temple-10.5
Sat 11/22 Penn State at Illinois-4.5
Sat 11/29 Penn State vs Michigan State+11.5
Sat 12/27 Penn State vs Boston College+3.041.0W 31 - 30OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Penn State's Schedule
UCF's 2014 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 UCF vs Penn State-2.044.0L 24 - 26ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/13 UCF at Missouri+9.0
Sat 9/20 UCF vs Bethune-Cookman-27.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/2 UCF at Houston+2.5
Thu 10/9 UCF vs BYU-3.0
Sat 10/18 UCF vs Tulane-19.0
Sat 10/25 UCF vs Temple-11.0
Sat 11/1 UCF at UConn-12.0
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/14 UCF vs Tulsa-18.5
Sat 11/22 UCF vs SMU-26.5
Fri 11/28 UCF at South Florida-9.5
Thu 12/4 UCF at East Carolina+6.5
Fri 12/26 UCF vs NC State-2.047.5L 27 - 34ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UCF's Schedule
Important Stats (2014)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PSU-.0138%20.635%2.210238%2332.48-.0437%18.636%35%2.4946.221.6
UCF.0942%28.141%2.3612841%2353.19.0239%19.240%37%2.4854.32.22.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PSU#11 (.32)51% (4)52% (9)3.42 (10)17651% (4)2094.69 (9)#9 (.05)38% (21)39% (27)37% (25)3.22 (18)41.40.81.3
UCF#58 (.21)46% (28)52% (8)3.62 (2)24838% (103)2003.75 (86)#63 (.16)40% (45)37% (12)42% (84)4.37 (118)54.41.60.9



Overall Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PSU Offense1320.613.338.4%2.482193351022332.941%56%35%38%2%-.01
UCF Defense1319.21239.4%2.482.2 - - - - - 44%54%40%37%3%.02
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PSU Defense1318.612.836.5%2.491.6 - - - - - 47%50%36%35%3%-.04
UCF Offense1328.13542%3.192.2203641282353.250%48%41%41%2%.09

Additional Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Penn State1331:1119.240%37%5.846.221.600230.6
UCF1332:3420.441%52%5.854.32.22.200134.1
Run Game Stats (2014)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PSU Offense1341%35%34.7101.92.913-.052.264%0%0.93
UCF Defense1344%40% - - - - -.022.2659%0%0.87
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PSU Defense1347%36% - - - - -.042.3265%0%0.88
UCF Offense1350%41%40.5128.33.219-.082.3662%0%0.7

Pass Game Stats (2014)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PSU Offense1356%38%21.238.2233.46.1111315.031.434%32%.142%1.6
UCF Defense1354%37% - - - - - - 18.071.434%31%.173%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PSU Defense1350%35% - - - - - - 16-.041.236%21%.013%1.5
UCF Offense1348%41%17.932235.37.413.12315.271.732%34%.322%1.7

Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: NR
Penn State's Offense Rating: NR
Penn State's Defense Rating: NR
2014 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Penn State's 2014 Expected Record: -
Penn State's 2014 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Penn State:    UCF: 0

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Penn State:    UCF:




UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: 0 NR
UCF's Offense Rating: NR
UCF's Defense Rating: NR
2014 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
UCF's 2014 Expected Record: -
UCF's 2014 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Penn State Scoring
Offense: 20.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 13.3
Defense: 18.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 12.8

Penn State's 2014 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 2 - 11
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
UCF 25
Penn State 19

Total Points: 44

Based on Last 4 Games
UCF 27
Penn State 22

Total Points: 49

Based on Entire Season
UCF 23
Penn State 16

Total Points: 39
UCF Scoring
Offense: 28.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 35
Defense: 19.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 12

UCF's 2014 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 2 - 11
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201408/30UCF24Penn State26UCF -2Penn State44.0Over
201309/14Penn State31UCF34Penn State -3.5UCF0
200409/18Penn State37UCF13
200208/31Penn State27UCF24
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UCF111 Overs
Penn State310 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 20 - 20 - 20 - 0
Road Teams2 - 22 - 00 - 02 - 0

(#) PSU at (#) UCF
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatPSUUCF
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Penn State on Offense
CategoryCat
PSU OffUCF Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Penn State Run Game
CategoryCat
PSU OffUCF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Penn State Pass Game
CategoryCat
PSU OffUCF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
UCF on Offense
CategoryCatUCF OffPSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UCF Run Game
CategoryCat
UCF OffPSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
UCF Pass Game
CategoryCatUCF OffPSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UCF 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'14 Profile: Remains Poor G5

PSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'14 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Croke Park Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 1
UCF -2.0 (44.0)
Penn State won at UCF this year (26-24)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
PSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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PSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
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Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UCF's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UCF's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD