UCF at East Carolina - 2014 Matchup Preview
UCF logo UCF Knights at East Carolina PiratesEast Carolina logo
Thursday, December 4th 2014 (7:30 PM EST)
East Carolina -6.5 (0)  Open: 0.0
UCF 32 - East Carolina: 30  (American Athletic)

 
Knights (9 - 4) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 19 (21 - 23 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UCF 2nd straight Road Game
ECU is playing their 4th straight game
UCF is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: UCF: 23 - ECU: 28 (51)
ECU Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
UCF Travel: 532 miles
Pirates (8 - 5) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 36 - 26 (44 - 22 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
UCF's 2014 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 UCF vs Penn State-2.044.0L 24 - 26ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/13 UCF at Missouri+9.0
Sat 9/20 UCF vs Bethune-Cookman-27.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/2 UCF at Houston+2.5
Thu 10/9 UCF vs BYU-3.0
Sat 10/18 UCF vs Tulane-19.0
Sat 10/25 UCF vs Temple-11.0
Sat 11/1 UCF at UConn-12.0
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/14 UCF vs Tulsa-18.5
Sat 11/22 UCF vs SMU-26.5
Fri 11/28 UCF at South Florida-9.5
Thu 12/4 UCF at East Carolina+6.5
Fri 12/26 UCF vs NC State-2.047.5L 27 - 34ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UCF's Schedule
East Carolina's 2014 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 East Carolina vs North Carolina Central-39.0
Sat 9/6 East Carolina at South Carolina+15.5
Sat 9/13 East Carolina at Virginia Tech+11.5
Sat 9/20 East Carolina vs North Carolina+2.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 East Carolina vs SMU-35.5
Sat 10/11 East Carolina at South Florida-14.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/23 East Carolina vs UConn-24.0
Sat 11/1 East Carolina at Temple-7.0
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/13 East Carolina at Cincinnati-2.5
Sat 11/22 East Carolina vs Tulane-17.5
Fri 11/28 East Carolina at Tulsa-17.5
Thu 12/4 East Carolina vs UCF-6.5
Sat 1/3 East Carolina vs Florida+6.554.0L 20 - 28UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for East Carolina's Schedule
Important Stats (2014)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCF.0942%28.141%2.3612841%2353.19.0239%19.240%37%2.4854.32.22.2
ECU.2148%35.846%2.8316149%3723.63.1139%25.835%40%377.21.81.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCF#58 (.21)46% (28)52% (8)3.62 (2)24838% (103)2003.75 (86)#63 (.16)40% (45)37% (12)42% (84)4.37 (118)54.41.60.9
ECU#49 (.22)43% (62)44% (71)3.07 (57)14743% (54)2533.79 (83)#64 (.16)40% (40)37% (11)43% (86)3.85 (76)612.21.6



Overall Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCF Offense1328.120.842%3.192.2203641282353.250%48%41%41%2%.09
ECU Defense1325.821.838.7%31.5 - - - - - 44%54%35%40%2%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCF Defense1319.223.439.4%2.482.2 - - - - - 44%54%40%37%3%.02
ECU Offense1335.843.748.4%3.631.8295331613724.835%63%46%49%2%.21

Additional Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UCF1332:3420.441%52%5.854.32.22.200134.1
East Carolina1329:3829.147%46%8.477.21.81.500229.8
Run Game Stats (2014)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCF Offense1350%41%40.5128.33.219-.082.3662%0%0.7
ECU Defense1344%35% - - - - -.022.4781%0%0.92
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCF Defense1344%40% - - - - -.022.2659%0%0.87
ECU Offense1335%46%33.3161.14.828.072.8364%0%0.95

Pass Game Stats (2014)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCF Offense1348%41%17.932235.37.413.12315.271.732%34%.322%1.7
ECU Defense1354%40% - - - - - - 14.221.535%30%.242%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCF Defense1354%37% - - - - - - 18.071.434%31%.173%1.7
ECU Offense1363%49%30.949371.97.6123111.31.432%40%.442%1.8

UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: NR
UCF's Offense Rating: NR
UCF's Defense Rating: NR
2014 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UCF's 2014 Expected Record: -
UCF's 2014 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
UCF:    East Carolina: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UCF:    East Carolina:




East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
East Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
East Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2014 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
East Carolina's 2014 Expected Record: -
East Carolina's 2014 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


UCF Scoring
Offense: 28.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.8
Defense: 19.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.4

UCF's 2014 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 2 - 11
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
East Carolina 28
UCF 23

Total Points: 51

Based on Last 4 Games
East Carolina 25
UCF 22

Total Points: 47

Based on Entire Season
East Carolina 31
UCF 24

Total Points: 55
East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 35.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.7
Defense: 25.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.8

East Carolina's 2014 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202210/22East Carolina34UCF13UCF -5.5East Carolina63.0Under
202110/09UCF20East Carolina16UCF -10East Carolina65.0Under
202009/26East Carolina28UCF51UCF -28East Carolina78.0Over
201910/19UCF41East Carolina28UCF -34.5East Carolina65.5Over
201810/20East Carolina10UCF37UCF -21.5UCF65.5Under
201710/14UCF63East Carolina21UCF -35UCF70.0Over
201610/01East Carolina29UCF47East Carolina -5.5UCF61.0Over
201511/19UCF7East Carolina44East Carolina -17East Carolina51.5Under
201412/04East Carolina30UCF32East Carolina -6.5UCF0
201210/04UCF40East Carolina20
201111/19East Carolina38UCF31
201010/30UCF49East Carolina35
200909/26East Carolina19UCF14
200811/02UCF10East Carolina13
200710/06East Carolina52UCF38
200611/04UCF10East Carolina23
200510/29East Carolina20UCF30
TeamWinsCoversO/U
East Carolina754 Overs
UCF1044 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 83 - 61 - 42 - 2
Road Teams8 - 96 - 32 - 24 - 1

(#) UCF at (#) ECU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUCFECU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
UCF on Offense
CategoryCat
UCF OffECU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UCF Run Game
CategoryCat
UCF OffECU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
UCF Pass Game
CategoryCat
UCF OffECU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
East Carolina on Offense
CategoryCatECU OffUCF Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
East Carolina Run Game
CategoryCat
ECU OffUCF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
East Carolina Pass Game
CategoryCatECU OffUCF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ECU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'14 Profile: Remains Poor G5

UCF 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'14 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 48° - Wind: 8 mph
Rematch from Week 15
East Carolina -6.5 (0)
UCF won at East Carolina this year (32-30)

Previous Matchups
East Carolina beat UCF in 2022 (34-13)

  
UCF's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UCF's DC ()
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SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ECU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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ECU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD