Utah State at Arkansas State - 2014 Matchup Preview

Utah State Aggies at Arkansas State Red Wolves

Saturday, September 20th 2014 (7:00 PM EDT)
Arkansas State -1.5 (0) Open: 0.0
Arkansas State 21 - Utah State: 14

Aggies (10 - 4) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 29 (25 - 37 on Road)
'14 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ARST is playing their 4th straight game
USU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -2.5 (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: USU: 28 - ARST: 30 (58)
ARST Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
USU Travel: 1206 miles, 1 hrs behind

Red Wolves (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 27 (29 - 27 @ Home)
'14 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
USU Players
ARST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Utah State's 2014 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sun 8/31	Utah State at Tennessee	+3.5	51.0	L 7 - 38	U	N
Sat 9/6	Utah State vs Idaho State	-35.0
Sat 9/13	Utah State vs Wake Forest	-14.0
Sat 9/20	Utah State at Arkansas State	+1.5
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/3	Utah State at BYU	+21.0
Sat 10/11	Utah State vs Air Force	-7.5
Sat 10/18	Utah State at Colorado State	+5.5
Sat 10/25	Utah State vs UNLV	-18.0
Sat 11/1	Utah State at Hawai'i	-3.0	41.5	W 35 - 14	O	Y
Fri 11/7	Utah State at Wyoming	-4.5
Sat 11/15	Utah State vs New Mexico	-16.0
Fri 11/21	Utah State vs San José State	-9.5
Sat 11/29	Utah State at Boise State	+9.0
Sat 12/20	Utah State vs UTEP	-10.0	45.0	W 21 - 6	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Utah State's Schedule

Arkansas State's 2014 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Arkansas State vs Montana State	-8.5
Sat 9/6	Arkansas State at Tennessee	+14.5
Sat 9/13	Arkansas State at Miami	+17.0
Sat 9/20	Arkansas State vs Utah State	-1.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4	Arkansas State vs UL Monroe	-10.0
Sat 10/11	Arkansas State at Georgia State	-13.5
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/21	Arkansas State at Louisiana	-3.0	59.0	L 40 - 55	O	N
Sat 11/1	Arkansas State at Idaho	-14.5
Sat 11/8	Arkansas State vs South Alabama	-9.5
Sat 11/15	Arkansas State vs App State	-15.0
Thu 11/20	Arkansas State at Texas State	-6.5	58.0	L 27 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/29	Arkansas State vs New Mexico State	-23.5
Sun 1/4	Arkansas State vs Toledo	+3.5	70.5	L 44 - 63	O	N

Important Stats (2013)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USU	.09	40%	30.9	36%	2.71	178	42%	233	-0.26	.02	37%	28.7	34%	38%	-0.27	55.9	1.4	2.1
ARST	.11	44%	25.2	42%	3.12	206	44%	202	-0.16	.09	43%	27.4	44%	39%	-0.09	60.2	1.1	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ARST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2013

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USU Offense	14	30.9	25.2	40.3%	-0.26	1.4	22	412	178	233	4.2	49%	49%	36%	42%	2%	.09
ARST Defense	13	27.4	27.2	42.5%	-0.09	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	51%	47%	44%	39%	1%	.09

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USU Defense	14	28.7	37	37.1%	-0.27	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	34%	38%	3%	.02
ARST Offense	13	25.2	29	43.8%	-0.16	1.1	21	408	206	202	4.6	58%	41%	42%	44%	2%	.11

Additional Stats 2013

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Utah State	14	31:09	22.1	45%	42%	6	55.9	1.4	2.1	0	0	4	32.4
Arkansas State	13	30:40	21.2	44%	29%	7.2	60.2	1.1	1.5	0	0	2	32.1

Run Game Stats (2014)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USU Offense	14	49%	36%	42.3	178.1	4.2	21	-.01	2.71	62%	0%	0.88
ARST Defense	13	51%	44%	-	-	-	-	.1	3.11	67%	0%	0.74

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USU Defense	14	51%	34%	-	-	-	-	-.07	2.31	66%	0%	0.7
ARST Offense	13	58%	42%	44.5	205.7	4.6	31	.05	3.12	70%	0%	0.82

Pass Game Stats (2014)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USU Offense	14	49%	42%	21.2	34.4	233.4	6.8	11	30	10	.2	1.3	34%	34%	.32	2%	1.6
ARST Defense	13	47%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.1	1.2	30%	30%	.18	1%	1.4

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USU Defense	14	48%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	17	.14	1.3	34%	28%	.15	3%	1.4
ARST Offense	13	41%	44%	19.6	28.3	202.1	7.1	10.3	14	7	.2	1.2	29%	32%	.33	2%	1.6

Utah State's Power Ratings
Utah State's Power Rating: NR
Utah State's Offense Rating: NR
Utah State's Defense Rating: NR
2014 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Utah State's 2014 Expected Record: -
Utah State's 2014 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Utah State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Utah State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Utah State: Arkansas State: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Utah State: Arkansas State:

Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: NR
2014 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Arkansas State's 2014 Expected Record: -
Arkansas State's 2014 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Utah State Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.2
Defense: 28.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 37

Utah State's 2014 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 13
Record on Road: 4 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Arkansas State 30
Utah State 28

Projected Total Points: 58

Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 25.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

Arkansas State's 2014 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2016	09/16	Utah State	34	Arkansas State	20	Utah State -8	Utah State	56.0	Under
2014	09/20	Arkansas State	21	Utah State	14	Arkansas State -1.5	Arkansas State	0
2004	11/11	Arkansas State	16	Utah State	7
2003	10/25	Utah State	49	Arkansas State	0
2000	10/27	Utah State	44	Arkansas State	31

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Arkansas State	2	1	0 Overs
Utah State	3	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	5 - 0	2 - 0	2 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 5	0 - 2	0 - 0	0 - 2

(#) USU at (#) ARST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	USU	ARST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	NR	NR
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Utah State Injury Report

Arkansas State Injury Report

Utah State on Offense


CategoryCat	USU Off	ARST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Utah State Run Game


CategoryCat	USU Off	ARST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Utah State Pass Game


CategoryCat	USU Off	ARST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Arkansas State on Offense


CategoryCat	ARST Off	USU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Arkansas State Run Game


CategoryCat	ARST Off	USU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Arkansas State Pass Game


CategoryCat	ARST Off	USU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ARST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'14 Profile: Remains Poor G5

USU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'14 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Centennial Bank Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 4
Arkansas State -1.5 (0)
Arkansas State won vs Utah State this year (21-14)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

USU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Utah State's Full Roster

USU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ARST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Arkansas State's Full Roster

ARST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD