Utah State at Arkansas State - 2014 Matchup Preview
Utah State logo Utah State Aggies at Arkansas State Red WolvesArkansas State logo
Saturday, September 20th 2014 (7:00 PM EDT)
Arkansas State -1.5 (0)  Open: 0.0
Arkansas State 21 - Utah State: 14

 
Aggies (10 - 4) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 20 (20 - 23 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ARST is playing their 4th straight game
USU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)

Projected Score: USU: 23 - ARST: 30 (53)
ARST Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
USU Travel: 1206 miles, 1 hrs behind
Red Wolves (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 37 - 31 (39 - 20 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Utah State's 2014 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 8/31 Utah State at Tennessee+3.551.0L 7 - 38UN
Sat 9/6 Utah State vs Idaho State-35.0
Sat 9/13 Utah State vs Wake Forest-14.0
Sat 9/20 Utah State at Arkansas State+1.5
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/3 Utah State at BYU+21.0
Sat 10/11 Utah State vs Air Force-7.5
Sat 10/18 Utah State at Colorado State+5.5
Sat 10/25 Utah State vs UNLV-18.0
Sat 11/1 Utah State at Hawai'i-3.041.5W 35 - 14OY
Fri 11/7 Utah State at Wyoming-4.5
Sat 11/15 Utah State vs New Mexico-16.0
Fri 11/21 Utah State vs San José State-9.5
Sat 11/29 Utah State at Boise State+9.0
Sat 12/20 Utah State vs UTEP-10.045.0W 21 - 6UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Utah State's Schedule
Arkansas State's 2014 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Arkansas State vs Montana State-8.5
Sat 9/6 Arkansas State at Tennessee+14.5
Sat 9/13 Arkansas State at Miami+17.0
Sat 9/20 Arkansas State vs Utah State-1.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Arkansas State vs UL Monroe-10.0
Sat 10/11 Arkansas State at Georgia State-13.5
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/21 Arkansas State at Louisiana-3.059.0L 40 - 55ON
Sat 11/1 Arkansas State at Idaho-14.5
Sat 11/8 Arkansas State vs South Alabama-9.5
Sat 11/15 Arkansas State vs App State-15.0
Thu 11/20 Arkansas State at Texas State-6.558.0L 27 - 45ON
Sat 11/29 Arkansas State vs New Mexico State-23.5
Sun 1/4 Arkansas State vs Toledo+3.570.5L 44 - 63ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arkansas State's Schedule
Important Stats (2014)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USU.1339%26.942%2.6618034%1992.6.0336%19.737%33%2.6865.61.52.1
ARST.1643%36.744%2.6121640%2603.74.1742%30.544%38%2.9669.61.72.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USU#34 (.24)46% (31)48% (24)3.41 (12)19944% (37)2694.42 (24)#119 (.27)47% (122)48% (112)48% (123)4.44 (122)73.81.81.3
ARST#81 (.17)41% (91)43% (84)3.01 (77)14839% (96)2103.96 (63)#126 (.31)48% (124)51% (131)44% (110)4.62 (127)47.81.31.4



Overall Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USU Offense1426.920.439.3%2.61.5173791801994.954%45%42%34%2%.13
ARST Defense1330.52042%2.962.2 - - - - - 55%45%44%38%2%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USU Defense1419.723.136.2%2.682.1 - - - - - 48%51%37%33%2%.03
ARST Offense1336.738.542.9%3.741.7234762162604.952%47%44%40%2%.16

Additional Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Utah State1429:2617.433%15%7.265.61.52.100432.1
Arkansas State1329:3423.438%50%869.61.72.200432.7
Run Game Stats (2014)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USU Offense1454%42%36.6180.14.922.122.6667%0%1.11
ARST Defense1355%44% - - - - .173.0175%0%1.03
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USU Defense1448%37% - - - - .022.6567%0%0.93
ARST Offense1352%44%44.3216.44.935.122.6159%0%1.06

Pass Game Stats (2014)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USU Offense1445%34%17.427.8198.77.211.52011.161.735%28%.212%1.9
ARST Defense1345%38% - - - - - - 16.171.632%29%.262%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USU Defense1451%33% - - - - - - 19.061.636%28%.192%1.9
ARST Offense1347%40%21.234.5260.17.612.3258.221.634%31%.262%2

Utah State's Power Ratings
Utah State's Power Rating: NR
Utah State's Offense Rating: NR
Utah State's Defense Rating: NR
2014 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Utah State's 2014 Expected Record: -
Utah State's 2014 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Utah State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Utah State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Utah State:    Arkansas State: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Utah State:    Arkansas State:




Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: NR
2014 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Arkansas State's 2014 Expected Record: -
Arkansas State's 2014 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Utah State Scoring
Offense: 26.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.4
Defense: 19.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.1

Utah State's 2014 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 13
Record on Road: 4 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Arkansas State 30
Utah State 23


Total Points: 53

Based on Last 4 Games
Arkansas State 32
Utah State 20

Total Points: 52

Based on Entire Season
Arkansas State 29
Utah State 25

Total Points: 54
Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 36.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.5
Defense: 30.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 20

Arkansas State's 2014 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201609/16Utah State34Arkansas State20Utah State -8Utah State56.0Under
201409/20Arkansas State21Utah State14Arkansas State -1.5Arkansas State0
200411/11Arkansas State16Utah State7
200310/25Utah State49Arkansas State0
200010/27Utah State44Arkansas State31
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arkansas State210 Overs
Utah State311 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 02 - 02 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 50 - 20 - 00 - 2

(#) USU at (#) ARST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUSUARST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Utah State on Offense
CategoryCat
USU OffARST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Utah State Run Game
CategoryCat
USU OffARST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Utah State Pass Game
CategoryCat
USU OffARST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Arkansas State on Offense
CategoryCatARST OffUSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Arkansas State Run Game
CategoryCat
ARST OffUSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Arkansas State Pass Game
CategoryCatARST OffUSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ARST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'14 Profile: Remains Poor G5

USU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'14 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Centennial Bank Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 89°
Rematch from Week 4
Arkansas State -1.5 (0)
Arkansas State won vs Utah State this year (21-14)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
USU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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USU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ARST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Arkansas State's Full Roster

ARST's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD