New Mexico State at Arkansas State - 2014 Matchup Preview
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New Mexico State Aggies at Arkansas State Red Wolves

Arkansas State logo
Saturday, November 29th 2014 (3:00 PM EST)
Arkansas State -23.5 (0)  Open: 0.0
Arkansas State 68 - New Mexico State: 35  (Sun Belt)

 
Aggies (2 - 10) (4 - 7 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 22 - 28 (20 - 38 on Road)
'14 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ARST is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: NMSU: 24 - ARST: 30 (54)
ARST Win prob: 96% | Cover: 54%
NMSU Travel: 951 miles, 1 hrs behind
Red Wolves (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 27 (29 - 27 @ Home)
'14 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
New Mexico State's 2014 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 New Mexico State vs Cal Poly+7.0
Sat 9/6 New Mexico State at Georgia State+3.0
Sat 9/13 New Mexico State at UTEP+11.0
Sat 9/20 New Mexico State vs New Mexico+3.0
Sat 9/27 New Mexico State at LSU+43.0
Sat 10/4 New Mexico State vs Georgia Southern+16.5
Sat 10/11 New Mexico State at Troy+7.5
Sat 10/18 New Mexico State at Idaho+4.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 New Mexico State vs Texas State+10.5
Sat 11/8 New Mexico State vs Louisiana+16.567.0L 16 - 44UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 New Mexico State vs UL Monroe+8.0
Sat 11/29 New Mexico State at Arkansas State+23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for New Mexico State's Schedule
Arkansas State's 2014 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Arkansas State vs Montana State-8.5
Sat 9/6 Arkansas State at Tennessee+14.5
Sat 9/13 Arkansas State at Miami+17.0
Sat 9/20 Arkansas State vs Utah State-1.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Arkansas State vs UL Monroe-10.0
Sat 10/11 Arkansas State at Georgia State-13.5
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/21 Arkansas State at Louisiana-3.059.0L 40 - 55ON
Sat 11/1 Arkansas State at Idaho-14.5
Sat 11/8 Arkansas State vs South Alabama-9.5
Sat 11/15 Arkansas State vs App State-15.0
Thu 11/20 Arkansas State at Texas State-6.558.0L 27 - 45ON
Sat 11/29 Arkansas State vs New Mexico State-23.5
Sun 1/4 Arkansas State vs Toledo+3.570.5L 44 - 63ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arkansas State's Schedule
Important Stats (2013)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NMSU.0741%21.637%2.8414245%2410.1647%27.646%46%-0.1937.92.21.7
ARST.1144%25.242%3.1220644%202-0.16.0943%27.444%39%-0.0960.21.11.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NMSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ARST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2013
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NMSU Offense1221.62041.4%02.2203821422413.851%47%37%45%2%.07
ARST Defense1327.427.242.5%-0.091.5 - - - - - 51%47%44%39%1%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NMSU Defense1227.637.546.9%-0.191.7 - - - - - 56%43%46%46%2%.16
ARST Offense1325.22943.8%-0.161.1214082062024.658%41%42%44%2%.11

Additional Stats 2013
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
New Mexico State1230:0619.536%36%4.337.92.21.700025.9
Arkansas State1330:4021.244%29%7.260.21.11.500232.1
Run Game Stats (2014)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NMSU Offense1251%37%37141.63.814-.072.8457%0%0.73
ARST Defense1351%44% - - - - .13.1167%0%0.74
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NMSU Defense1256%46% - - - - .143.4876%0%0.83
ARST Offense1358%42%44.5205.74.631.053.1270%0%0.82

Pass Game Stats (2014)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NMSU Offense1247%45%22.133.9240.57.110.91813.221.232%35%.362%1.5
ARST Defense1347%39% - - - - - - 9.11.230%30%.181%1.4
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NMSU Defense1243%46% - - - - - - 10.21.328%36%.392%1.7
ARST Offense1341%44%19.628.3202.17.110.3147.21.229%32%.332%1.6

New Mexico State's Power Ratings
New Mexico State's Power Rating: NR
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: NR
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: NR
2014 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
New Mexico State's 2014 Expected Record: -
New Mexico State's 2014 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State:    Arkansas State: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State:    Arkansas State:




Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: NR
2014 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Arkansas State's 2014 Expected Record: -
Arkansas State's 2014 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


New Mexico State Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 20
Defense: 27.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.5

New Mexico State's 2014 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Projected Score
Arkansas State 30
New Mexico State 24

Projected Total Points: 54
Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 25.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

Arkansas State's 2014 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201710/28New Mexico State21Arkansas State37Arkansas State -3.5Arkansas State71.0Under
201611/12Arkansas State41New Mexico State22Arkansas State -20.5New Mexico State63.0Push
201511/28New Mexico State28Arkansas State52Arkansas State -17Arkansas State71.0Over
201411/29Arkansas State68New Mexico State35Arkansas State -23.5Arkansas State0
200311/01New Mexico State24Arkansas State28
200210/26Arkansas State21New Mexico State26
200111/10New Mexico State28Arkansas State17
200010/20Arkansas State29New Mexico State35
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arkansas State531 Overs
New Mexico State311 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 51 - 31 - 10 - 2
Road Teams5 - 33 - 12 - 01 - 1

(#) NMSU at (#) ARST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNMSUARST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
New Mexico State on Offense
CategoryCat
NMSU OffARST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
New Mexico State Run Game
CategoryCat
NMSU OffARST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
New Mexico State Pass Game
CategoryCat
NMSU OffARST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Arkansas State on Offense
CategoryCatARST OffNMSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Arkansas State Run Game
CategoryCat
ARST OffNMSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Arkansas State Pass Game
CategoryCatARST OffNMSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ARST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'14 Profile: Remains Poor G5

NMSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'14 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Centennial Bank Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 14
Arkansas State -23.5 (0)
Arkansas State won vs New Mexico State this year (68-35)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
NMSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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NMSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ARST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Arkansas State's Full Roster

ARST's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD