Missouri at Toledo - 2014 Matchup Preview
Missouri logo Missouri Tigers at Toledo RocketsToledo logo
Saturday, September 6th 2014 (12:00 PM EDT)
Missouri -5.5 (0)  Open: 0.0
Missouri 49 - Toledo: 24

 
Tigers (11 - 3) (10 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 21 (35 - 21 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TOL 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: MIZ: 27 - TOL: 28 (55)
MIZ Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
MIZ Travel: 496 miles, 1 hrs behind
Rockets (9 - 4) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 37 - 31 (37 - 29 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Missouri's 2014 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Missouri vs South Dakota State-14.0
Sat 9/6 Missouri at Toledo-5.5
Sat 9/13 Missouri vs UCF-9.0
Sat 9/20 Missouri vs Indiana-16.0
Sat 9/27 Missouri at South Carolina+5.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Missouri vs Georgia+1.5
Sat 10/18 Missouri at Florida+3.0
Sat 10/25 Missouri vs Vanderbilt-24.0
Sat 11/1 Missouri vs Kentucky-7.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Missouri at Texas A&M+6.5
Sat 11/22 Missouri at Tennessee+3.0
Fri 11/28 Missouri vs Arkansas+1.5
Sat 12/6 Missouri vs Alabama+3.0
Thu 1/1 Missouri vs Minnesota-3.046.0W 33 - 17OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Missouri's Schedule
Toledo's 2014 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Toledo vs New Hampshire-10.5
Sat 9/6 Toledo vs Missouri+5.5
Fri 9/12 Toledo at Cincinnati+12.0
Sat 9/20 Toledo vs Ball State-9.0
Sat 9/27 Toledo vs Central Michigan-15.0
Sat 10/4 Toledo at Western Michigan-10.0
Sat 10/11 Toledo at Iowa State+6.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Toledo vs Massachusetts-17.5
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/4 Toledo at Kent State-13.0
Tue 11/11 Toledo at Northern Illinois+3.5
Wed 11/19 Toledo vs Bowling Green-6.5
Fri 11/28 Toledo at Eastern Michigan-21.5
Sun 1/4 Toledo vs Arkansas State-3.570.5W 63 - 44OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Toledo's Schedule
Important Stats (2014)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MIZ.1842%27.843%317839%1893.4.0440%21.139%39%3.2958.21.11.8
TOL.2850%36.653%3.4225646%2354.11.1943%30.541%43%3.852.21.31.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MIZ#70 (.19)44% (54)47% (28)3.04 (67)15941% (80)2023.91 (68)#32 (.11)41% (54)42% (57)39% (56)3.38 (28)460.71.2
TOL#111 (.11)41% (95)38% (120)2.66 (121)11144% (46)2273.55 (99)#20 (.09)40% (43)42% (60)38% (35)3.87 (79)46.71.31.3



Overall Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MIZ Offense1427.83542%3.41.1193671781894.653%45%43%39%2%.18
TOL Defense1330.529.243.1%3.81.1 - - - - - 44%54%41%43%2%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MIZ Defense1421.12139.7%3.291.8 - - - - - 47%52%39%39%2%.04
TOL Offense1336.637.250.3%4.111.3254912562355.856%42%53%46%2%.28

Additional Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Missouri1428:5419.343%81%7.358.21.11.800429.8
Toledo1332:2224.846%64%652.21.31.100028.8
Run Game Stats (2014)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MIZ Offense1453%43%38.5177.94.617.17376%0%1.07
TOL Defense1344%41% - - - - -.032.4370%0%0.85
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MIZ Defense1447%39% - - - - -.042.3867%0%0.91
TOL Offense1356%53%44.3256.45.835.253.4275%0%0.9

Pass Game Stats (2014)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MIZ Offense1445%39%15.829.6189.16.4122513.191.634%35%.372%1.9
TOL Defense1354%43% - - - - - - 10.381.734%32%.252%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MIZ Defense1452%39% - - - - - - 12.141.535%28%.182%1.9
TOL Offense1342%46%18.830.6234.87.712.5249.351.627%38%.342%1.7

Missouri's Power Ratings
Missouri's Power Rating: NR
Missouri's Offense Rating: NR
Missouri's Defense Rating: NR
2014 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Missouri's 2014 Expected Record: -
Missouri's 2014 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Missouri's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Missouri's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Missouri:    Toledo: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Missouri:    Toledo:




Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Toledo's Offense Rating: NR
Toledo's Defense Rating: NR
2014 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Toledo's 2014 Expected Record: -
Toledo's 2014 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Missouri Scoring
Offense: 27.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 35
Defense: 21.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 21

Missouri's 2014 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 10 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 13
Record on Road: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Toledo 28
Missouri 27

Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
Toledo 26
Missouri 24

Total Points: 50

Based on Entire Season
Missouri 31
Toledo 29

Total Points: 60
Toledo Scoring
Offense: 36.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 37.2
Defense: 30.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 29.2

Toledo's 2014 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 12
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201409/06Toledo24Missouri49Missouri -5.5Missouri0
201309/07Missouri38Toledo23Missouri -11.5Missouri0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Toledo000 Overs
Missouri220 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 11 - 11 - 00 - 1
Road Teams1 - 11 - 11 - 00 - 1

(#) MIZ at (#) TOL
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMIZTOL
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Missouri on Offense
CategoryCat
MIZ OffTOL Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Missouri Run Game
CategoryCat
MIZ OffTOL Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Missouri Pass Game
CategoryCat
MIZ OffTOL Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Toledo on Offense
CategoryCatTOL OffMIZ Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Toledo Run Game
CategoryCat
TOL OffMIZ Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Toledo Pass Game
CategoryCatTOL OffMIZ Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TOL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'14 Profile: Remains Poor G5

MIZ 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'14 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Glass Bowl
Conditions:
Temp: 68°
Rematch from Week 2
Missouri 5.5 (0)
Missouri won at Toledo this year (49-24)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
MIZ's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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MIZ's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

TOL's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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TOL's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD