Toledo at Western Michigan - 2014 Matchup Preview
Toledo logo Toledo Rockets at Western Michigan BroncosWestern Michigan logo
Saturday, October 4th 2014 (7:00 PM EDT)
Toledo -10 (0)  Open: 0.0
Toledo 20 - Western Michigan: 19  (Mid-American)

 
Rockets (9 - 4) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 37 - 31 (32 - 30 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
WMU is playing their 4th straight game
TOL is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: TOL: 28 - WMU: 38 (66)
TOL Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
TOL Travel: 111 miles
Broncos (8 - 5) (10 - 3 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 34 - 25 (36 - 19 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Toledo's 2014 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Toledo vs New Hampshire-10.5
Sat 9/6 Toledo vs Missouri+5.5
Fri 9/12 Toledo at Cincinnati+12.0
Sat 9/20 Toledo vs Ball State-9.0
Sat 9/27 Toledo vs Central Michigan-15.0
Sat 10/4 Toledo at Western Michigan-10.0
Sat 10/11 Toledo at Iowa State+6.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Toledo vs Massachusetts-17.5
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/4 Toledo at Kent State-13.0
Tue 11/11 Toledo at Northern Illinois+3.5
Wed 11/19 Toledo vs Bowling Green-6.5
Fri 11/28 Toledo at Eastern Michigan-21.5
Sun 1/4 Toledo vs Arkansas State-3.570.5W 63 - 44OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Toledo's Schedule
Western Michigan's 2014 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Western Michigan at Purdue+7.550.0L 34 - 43ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/13 Western Michigan at Idaho+2.5
Sat 9/20 Western Michigan vs Murray State-15.0
Sat 9/27 Western Michigan at Virginia Tech+28.0
Sat 10/4 Western Michigan vs Toledo+10.0
Sat 10/11 Western Michigan at Ball State+6.0
Sat 10/18 Western Michigan at Bowling Green+2.5
Sat 10/25 Western Michigan vs Ohio-8.0
Sat 11/1 Western Michigan at Miami (OH)-5.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Western Michigan vs Eastern Michigan-23.5
Sat 11/22 Western Michigan at Central Michigan-1.0
Fri 11/28 Western Michigan vs Northern Illinois-7.0
Sat 12/20 Western Michigan vs Air Force-2.559.0L 24 - 38ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Western Michigan's Schedule
Important Stats (2014)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TOL.2850%36.653%3.4225646%2354.11.1943%30.541%43%3.852.21.31.1
WMU.2746%33.845%2.9417145%2673.84.0939%24.941%36%3.3251.21.51.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TOL#111 (.11)41% (95)38% (120)2.66 (121)11144% (46)2273.55 (99)#20 (.09)40% (43)42% (60)38% (35)3.87 (79)46.71.31.3
WMU#43 (.24)45% (33)45% (59)3.05 (62)18446% (27)1874.11 (49)#122 (.29)49% (128)48% (115)51% (132)4.38 (119)39.211.6



Overall Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TOL Offense1336.631.750.3%4.111.3254912562355.856%42%53%46%2%.28
WMU Defense1324.918.639.4%3.321.8 - - - - - 49%49%41%36%3%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TOL Defense1330.529.543.1%3.81.1 - - - - - 44%54%41%43%2%.19
WMU Offense1333.835.645.9%3.841.5214381712674.454%44%45%45%3%.27

Additional Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Toledo1332:2224.846%64%652.21.31.100028.8
Western Michigan1332:5820.848%33%5.351.21.51.800228.5
Run Game Stats (2014)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TOL Offense1356%53%44.3256.45.835.253.4275%0%0.9
WMU Defense1349%41% - - - - .072.869%0%1.01
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TOL Defense1344%41% - - - - -.032.4370%0%0.85
WMU Offense1354%45%38.7170.84.429.172.9477%0%1.01

Pass Game Stats (2014)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TOL Offense1342%46%18.830.6234.87.712.5249.351.627%38%.342%1.7
WMU Defense1349%36% - - - - - - 13.121.735%32%.243%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TOL Defense1354%43% - - - - - - 10.381.734%32%.252%1.9
WMU Offense1344%45%19.528.6267.39.313.72610.421.729%36%.483%2

Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: NR
Toledo's Offense Rating: NR
Toledo's Defense Rating: NR
2014 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Toledo's 2014 Expected Record: -
Toledo's 2014 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Toledo:    Western Michigan: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Toledo:    Western Michigan:




Western Michigan's Power Ratings
Western Michigan's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Western Michigan's Offense Rating: NR
Western Michigan's Defense Rating: NR
2014 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Western Michigan's 2014 Expected Record: -
Western Michigan's 2014 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Western Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Western Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Toledo Scoring
Offense: 36.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.7
Defense: 30.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.5

Toledo's 2014 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 12
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Western Michigan 38
Toledo 28

Total Points: 66

Based on Last 4 Games
Western Michigan 44
Toledo 28

Total Points: 72

Based on Entire Season
Western Michigan 32
Toledo 28

Total Points: 60
Western Michigan Scoring
Offense: 33.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.6
Defense: 24.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.6

Western Michigan's 2014 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 2 - 11
Record at home: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/20Western Michigan14Toledo13Toledo -13.5Western Michigan48.5Under
202309/23Toledo49Western Michigan31Toledo -21.5Western Michigan52.5Over
202211/25Western Michigan20Toledo14Toledo -8.5Western Michigan50.5Under
202110/23Toledo34Western Michigan15Western Michigan -1.5Toledo54.5Under
202011/11Western Michigan41Toledo38Western Michigan -1.5Western Michigan58.5Over
201910/05Toledo31Western Michigan24Toledo -1.5Toledo74.0Under
201810/25Western Michigan24Toledo51Western Michigan -4Toledo69.0Over
201711/24Toledo37Western Michigan10Toledo -12Toledo62.0Under
201611/25Western Michigan55Toledo35Western Michigan -9.5Western Michigan71.5Over
201511/27Toledo30Western Michigan35Toledo -7Western Michigan58.0Over
201410/04Western Michigan19Toledo20Toledo -10Western Michigan0
201310/05Toledo47Western Michigan20Toledo -19Toledo0
201209/29Western Michigan17Toledo37
201111/08Toledo66Western Michigan63
201009/18Western Michigan24Toledo37
200910/10Toledo26Western Michigan58
200811/15Western Michigan27Toledo17
200709/29Toledo28Western Michigan42
200609/09Western Michigan31Toledo10
200509/10Toledo56Western Michigan23
200410/09Western Michigan33Toledo59
200311/22Toledo34Western Michigan17
200111/06Toledo41Western Michigan35
200009/22Western Michigan21Toledo14
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Western Michigan1075 Overs
Toledo1455 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams16 - 89 - 35 - 34 - 0
Road Teams8 - 163 - 90 - 43 - 5

(#) TOL at (#) WMU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTOLWMU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Toledo on Offense
CategoryCat
TOL OffWMU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Toledo Run Game
CategoryCat
TOL OffWMU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Toledo Pass Game
CategoryCat
TOL OffWMU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Western Michigan on Offense
CategoryCatWMU OffTOL Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Western Michigan Run Game
CategoryCat
WMU OffTOL Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Western Michigan Pass Game
CategoryCatWMU OffTOL Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
WMU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'14 Profile: Remains Poor G5

TOL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'14 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Waldo Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 42° - Wind: 8 mph
Rain: 0.071
Rematch from Week 6
Toledo 10.0 (0)
Toledo won at Western Michigan this year (20-19)

Previous Matchups
Toledo beat Western Michigan in 2023 (49-31)
Western Michigan beat Toledo in 2022 (20-14)

  
TOL's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Toledo's Full Roster

TOL's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

WMU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Western Michigan's Full Roster

WMU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD