Bowling Green at Toledo - 2014 Matchup Preview
Bowling Green logo Bowling Green Falcons at Toledo RocketsToledo logo
Wednesday, November 19th 2014 (8:00 PM EST)
Toledo -6.5 (0)  Open: 0.0
Toledo 27 - Bowling Green: 20  (Mid-American)

 
Falcons (8 - 6) (4 - 9 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 34 (29 - 37 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 17.2 MPH
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: BGSU: 30 - TOL: 31 (61)
TOL Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
BGSU Travel: 19 miles
Rockets (9 - 4) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 37 - 31 (37 - 29 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Bowling Green's 2014 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Bowling Green at Western Kentucky-7.5
Sat 9/6 Bowling Green vs VMI-38.0
Sat 9/13 Bowling Green vs Indiana-3.0
Sat 9/20 Bowling Green at Wisconsin+17.0
Sat 9/27 Bowling Green at Massachusetts-12.0
Sat 10/4 Bowling Green vs Buffalo-5.0
Sat 10/11 Bowling Green at Ohio+2.0
Sat 10/18 Bowling Green vs Western Michigan-2.5
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/4 Bowling Green at Akron+4.0
Wed 11/12 Bowling Green vs Kent State-13.0
Wed 11/19 Bowling Green at Toledo+6.5
Fri 11/28 Bowling Green vs Ball State-9.0
Fri 12/5 Bowling Green vs Northern Illinois+2.5
Sat 12/20 Bowling Green vs South Alabama+3.555.0W 33 - 28OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Bowling Green's Schedule
Toledo's 2014 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Toledo vs New Hampshire-10.5
Sat 9/6 Toledo vs Missouri+5.5
Fri 9/12 Toledo at Cincinnati+12.0
Sat 9/20 Toledo vs Ball State-9.0
Sat 9/27 Toledo vs Central Michigan-15.0
Sat 10/4 Toledo at Western Michigan-10.0
Sat 10/11 Toledo at Iowa State+6.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Toledo vs Massachusetts-17.5
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/4 Toledo at Kent State-13.0
Tue 11/11 Toledo at Northern Illinois+3.5
Wed 11/19 Toledo vs Bowling Green-6.5
Fri 11/28 Toledo at Eastern Michigan-21.5
Sun 1/4 Toledo vs Arkansas State-3.570.5W 63 - 44OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Toledo's Schedule
Important Stats (2014)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BGSU.1240%3041%2.8317336%2603.49.1645%33.545%44%3.662.31.62.4
TOL.2850%36.653%3.4225646%2354.11.1943%30.541%43%3.852.21.31.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BGSU#53 (.21)43% (68)41% (99)3.01 (74)13444% (38)2073.84 (77)#43 (.13)38% (15)39% (29)37% (20)3.47 (32)41.10.81
TOL#111 (.11)41% (95)38% (120)2.66 (121)11144% (46)2273.55 (99)#20 (.09)40% (43)42% (60)38% (35)3.87 (79)46.71.31.3



Overall Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BGSU Offense143028.839.8%3.491.6224331732604.447%51%41%36%2%.12
TOL Defense1330.529.243.1%3.81.1 - - - - - 44%54%41%43%2%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BGSU Defense1433.536.545.3%3.62.4 - - - - - 45%54%45%44%2%.16
TOL Offense1336.637.250.3%4.111.3254912562355.856%42%53%46%2%.28

Additional Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Bowling Green1426:1422.138%30%7.962.31.62.400329.5
Toledo1332:2224.846%64%652.21.31.100028.8
Run Game Stats (2014)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BGSU Offense1447%41%39.71734.430.152.8376%0%1.07
TOL Defense1344%41% - - - - -.032.4370%0%0.85
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BGSU Defense1445%45% - - - - .092.860%0%1.07
TOL Offense1356%53%44.3256.45.835.253.4275%0%0.9

Pass Game Stats (2014)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BGSU Offense1451%36%22.639.1259.96.711.51713.121.533%32%.332%2
TOL Defense1354%43% - - - - - - 10.381.734%32%.252%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BGSU Defense1454%44% - - - - - - 16.231.431%35%.32%1.7
TOL Offense1342%46%18.830.6234.87.712.5249.351.627%38%.342%1.7

Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: NR
2014 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Bowling Green's 2014 Expected Record: -
Bowling Green's 2014 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green:    Toledo: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green:    Toledo:




Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Toledo's Offense Rating: NR
Toledo's Defense Rating: NR
2014 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Toledo's 2014 Expected Record: -
Toledo's 2014 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 30 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.8
Defense: 33.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.5

Bowling Green's 2014 Record
Record: 8 - 6
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 1
Over/Under Record: 1 - 13
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Toledo 31
Bowling Green 30

Total Points: 61

Based on Last 4 Games
Bowling Green 30
Toledo 26

Total Points: 55

Based on Entire Season
Toledo 36
Bowling Green 30

Total Points: 66
Toledo Scoring
Offense: 36.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 37.2
Defense: 30.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 29.2

Toledo's 2014 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 12
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/11Bowling Green28Toledo23Toledo -10.5Bowling Green45.5Over
202410/26Toledo26Bowling Green41Toledo -1.5Bowling Green47.5Over
202311/14Bowling Green31Toledo32Toledo -9.5Bowling Green48.5Over
202211/15Toledo35Bowling Green42Toledo -14.5Bowling Green47.0Over
202111/10Bowling Green17Toledo49Toledo -10.5Toledo50.0Over
202011/04Toledo38Bowling Green3Toledo -24Toledo63.0Under
201910/12Bowling Green20Toledo7Toledo -26.5Bowling Green65.0Under
201810/06Toledo52Bowling Green36Toledo -23Bowling Green71.0Over
201711/15Bowling Green37Toledo66Toledo -17.5Toledo66.0Over
201610/15Toledo42Bowling Green35Toledo -24Bowling Green71.0Over
201511/17Bowling Green28Toledo44Bowling Green -9Toledo72.5Under
201411/19Toledo27Bowling Green20Toledo -6.5Toledo0
201310/26Bowling Green25Toledo28Bowling Green -3Toledo0
201209/15Toledo27Bowling Green15
201110/15Bowling Green21Toledo28
201011/17Toledo33Bowling Green14
200911/27Bowling Green38Toledo24
200811/28Toledo10Bowling Green38
200711/23Bowling Green37Toledo10
200611/21Toledo31Bowling Green21
200511/22Bowling Green41Toledo44
200411/23Toledo49Bowling Green41
200311/29Bowling Green31Toledo23
200111/23Bowling Green56Toledo21
200011/21Toledo51Bowling Green17
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Toledo1668 Overs
Bowling Green973 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams15 - 105 - 82 - 63 - 2
Road Teams10 - 158 - 52 - 36 - 2

(#) BGSU at (#) TOL
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBGSUTOL
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Bowling Green on Offense
CategoryCat
BGSU OffTOL Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Bowling Green Run Game
CategoryCat
BGSU OffTOL Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Bowling Green Pass Game
CategoryCat
BGSU OffTOL Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Toledo on Offense
CategoryCatTOL OffBGSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Toledo Run Game
CategoryCat
TOL OffBGSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Toledo Pass Game
CategoryCatTOL OffBGSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TOL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'14 Profile: Remains Poor G5

BGSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'14 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Glass Bowl
Conditions:
Temp: 32° - Wind: 17 mph
Rematch from Week 13
Toledo -6.5 (0)
Toledo won vs Bowling Green this year (27-20)

Previous Matchups
Bowling Green beat Toledo last year (41-26)
Toledo beat Bowling Green in 2023 (32-31)
Bowling Green beat Toledo in 2022 (42-35)

  
BGSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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BGSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

TOL's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Toledo's Full Roster

TOL's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD