Toledo at Cincinnati - 2014 Matchup Preview
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Toledo Rockets at Cincinnati Bearcats

Cincinnati logo
Friday, September 12th 2014 (7:00 PM EDT)
Cincinnati -12 (0)  Open: 0.0
Cincinnati 58 - Toledo: 34

 
Rockets (9 - 4) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 13 (17 - 17 on Road)
'14 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: TOL: 23 - CIN: 24 (47)
CIN Win prob: 79% | Cover: 45%
TOL Travel: 183 miles
Bearcats (9 - 4) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 26 (34 - 20 @ Home)
'14 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Toledo's 2014 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Toledo vs New Hampshire-10.5
Sat 9/6 Toledo vs Missouri+5.5
Fri 9/12 Toledo at Cincinnati+12.0
Sat 9/20 Toledo vs Ball State-9.0
Sat 9/27 Toledo vs Central Michigan-15.0
Sat 10/4 Toledo at Western Michigan-10.0
Sat 10/11 Toledo at Iowa State+6.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Toledo vs Massachusetts-17.5
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/4 Toledo at Kent State-13.0
Tue 11/11 Toledo at Northern Illinois+3.5
Wed 11/19 Toledo vs Bowling Green-6.5
Fri 11/28 Toledo at Eastern Michigan-21.5
Sun 1/4 Toledo vs Arkansas State-3.570.5W 63 - 44OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Toledo's Schedule
Cincinnati's 2014 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Fri 9/12 Cincinnati vs Toledo-12.0
Sat 9/20 Cincinnati vs Miami (OH)-32.0
Sat 9/27 Cincinnati at Ohio State+12.5
Sat 10/4 Cincinnati vs Memphis-6.5
Sat 10/11 Cincinnati at Miami+13.0
Sat 10/18 Cincinnati at SMU-14.5
Fri 10/24 Cincinnati vs South Florida-10.0
Fri 10/31 Cincinnati at Tulane-2.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/13 Cincinnati vs East Carolina+2.5
Sat 11/22 Cincinnati at UConn-11.0
Sat 11/29 Cincinnati at Temple-3.5
Sat 12/6 Cincinnati vs Houston-7.0
Sat 12/27 Cincinnati vs Virginia Tech-2.049.5L 17 - 33ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Cincinnati's Schedule
Important Stats (2013)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TOL.0948%30.850%3.5424142%207-0.4.1847%13.344%49%-0.150.81.31.7
CIN.1146%30.344%2.816846%304-0.14.0739%25.637%40%-0.3257.82.21.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TOL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
CIN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2013
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TOL Offense1230.817.347.7%-0.41.323447241207654%43%50%42%3%.09
CIN Defense1325.619.639.3%-0.321.6 - - - - - 48%50%37%40%3%.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TOL Defense1213.316.747.1%-0.11.7 - - - - - 57%42%44%49%2%.18
CIN Offense1330.334.445.6%-0.142.2244721683044.250%49%44%46%2%.11

Additional Stats 2013
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Toledo1229:0822.842%50%5.850.81.31.700031.2
Cincinnati1331:5924.248%47%6.257.82.21.600130.7
Run Game Stats (2014)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TOL Offense1254%50%40.2240.6626.163.5475%0%0.76
CIN Defense1348%37% - - - - -.042.5565%0%0.71
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TOL Defense1257%44% - - - - .053.2268%0%0.69
CIN Offense1350%44%39.7168.54.228-.042.869%0%0.64

Pass Game Stats (2014)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TOL Offense1243%42%17.830.1206.86.911.71910.01127%36%.33%1.5
CIN Defense1350%40% - - - - - - 13.181.234%29%.233%1.4
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TOL Defense1242%49% - - - - - - 8.371.330%40%.432%1.6
CIN Offense1349%46%23.936.1303.68.412.72817.271.330%35%.382%1.8

Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: NR
Toledo's Offense Rating: NR
Toledo's Defense Rating: NR
2014 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Toledo's 2014 Expected Record: -
Toledo's 2014 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Toledo:    Cincinnati: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Toledo:    Cincinnati:




Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: NR
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: NR
2014 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Cincinnati's 2014 Expected Record: -
Cincinnati's 2014 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Toledo Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.3
Defense: 13.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 16.7

Toledo's 2014 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 12
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Cincinnati 24
Toledo 23

Projected Total Points: 47
Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 30.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.4
Defense: 25.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.6

Cincinnati's 2014 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 1 - 12
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201409/12Cincinnati58Toledo34Cincinnati -12Cincinnati0
201210/20Toledo29Cincinnati23
200112/29Toledo23Cincinnati16
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Cincinnati110 Overs
Toledo200 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 30 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#) TOL at (#) CIN
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTOLCIN
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Toledo on Offense
CategoryCat
TOL OffCIN Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Toledo Run Game
CategoryCat
TOL OffCIN Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Toledo Pass Game
CategoryCat
TOL OffCIN Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Cincinnati on Offense
CategoryCatCIN OffTOL Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Cincinnati Run Game
CategoryCat
CIN OffTOL Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Cincinnati Pass Game
CategoryCatCIN OffTOL Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
CIN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'14 Profile: Remains Poor G5

TOL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'14 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Paycor Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 3
Cincinnati -12.0 (0)
Cincinnati won vs Toledo this year (58-34)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
TOL's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Toledo's Full Roster

TOL's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

CIN's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Cincinnati's Full Roster

CIN's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD