Toledo at Northern Illinois - 2014 Matchup Preview
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Toledo Rockets at Northern Illinois Huskies

Northern Illinois logo
Tuesday, November 11th 2014 (8:00 PM EST)
Northern Illinois -3.5 (0)  Open: 0.0
Northern Illinois 27 - Toledo: 24  (Mid-American)

 
Rockets (9 - 4) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 13 (17 - 17 on Road)
'14 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TOL 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: TOL: 24 - NIU: 16 (40)
NIU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
TOL Travel: 267 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Huskies (11 - 3) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 17 - 24 (18 - 21 @ Home)
'14 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Toledo's 2014 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Toledo vs New Hampshire-10.5
Sat 9/6 Toledo vs Missouri+5.5
Fri 9/12 Toledo at Cincinnati+12.0
Sat 9/20 Toledo vs Ball State-9.0
Sat 9/27 Toledo vs Central Michigan-15.0
Sat 10/4 Toledo at Western Michigan-10.0
Sat 10/11 Toledo at Iowa State+6.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Toledo vs Massachusetts-17.5
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/4 Toledo at Kent State-13.0
Tue 11/11 Toledo at Northern Illinois+3.5
Wed 11/19 Toledo vs Bowling Green-6.5
Fri 11/28 Toledo at Eastern Michigan-21.5
Sun 1/4 Toledo vs Arkansas State-3.570.5W 63 - 44OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Toledo's Schedule
Northern Illinois's 2014 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Northern Illinois vs Presbyterian-38.0
Sat 9/6 Northern Illinois at Northwestern+2.5
Sat 9/13 Northern Illinois at UNLV-12.0
Sat 9/20 Northern Illinois at Arkansas+8.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Northern Illinois vs Kent State-22.0
Sat 10/11 Northern Illinois vs Central Michigan-12.5
Sat 10/18 Northern Illinois vs Miami (OH)-14.5
Sat 10/25 Northern Illinois at Eastern Michigan-20.5
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/5 Northern Illinois at Ball State-1.5
Tue 11/11 Northern Illinois vs Toledo-3.5
Tue 11/18 Northern Illinois at Ohio-2.5
Fri 11/28 Northern Illinois at Western Michigan+7.0
Fri 12/5 Northern Illinois vs Bowling Green-2.5
Tue 12/23 Northern Illinois vs Marshall+8.067.0L 23 - 52ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Northern Illinois's Schedule
Important Stats (2013)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TOL.0948%30.850%3.5424142%207-0.4.1847%13.344%49%-0.150.81.31.7
NIU.1548%17.149%3.5929744%2230.0744%24.342%43%-0.2344.41.22.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TOL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
NIU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2013
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TOL Offense1230.817.347.7%-0.41.323447241207654%43%50%42%3%.09
NIU Defense1424.320.843.6%-0.232.1 - - - - - 50%48%42%43%2%.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TOL Defense1213.316.747.1%-0.11.7 - - - - - 57%42%44%49%2%.18
NIU Offense1417.117.848%01.2265202972236.458%40%49%44%2%.15

Additional Stats 2013
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Toledo1229:0822.842%50%5.850.81.31.700031.2
Northern Illinois1428:2226.145%67%5.444.41.22.100331.2
Run Game Stats (2014)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TOL Offense1254%50%40.2240.6626.163.5475%0%0.76
NIU Defense1450%42% - - - - .043.1770%0%0.68
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TOL Defense1257%44% - - - - .053.2268%0%0.69
NIU Offense1458%49%46.8297.26.439.193.5973%0%0.88

Pass Game Stats (2014)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TOL Offense1243%42%17.830.1206.86.911.71910.01127%36%.33%1.5
NIU Defense1448%43% - - - - - - 19.11.131%29%.132%1.3
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TOL Defense1242%49% - - - - - - 8.371.330%40%.432%1.6
NIU Offense1440%44%18.629.9222.67.511.9298.121.126%36%.312%1.4

Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: NR
Toledo's Offense Rating: NR
Toledo's Defense Rating: NR
2014 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Toledo's 2014 Expected Record: -
Toledo's 2014 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Toledo:    Northern Illinois: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Toledo:    Northern Illinois:




Northern Illinois's Power Ratings
Northern Illinois's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Northern Illinois's Offense Rating: NR
Northern Illinois's Defense Rating: NR
2014 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Northern Illinois's 2014 Expected Record: -
Northern Illinois's 2014 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Northern Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Northern Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Toledo Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.3
Defense: 13.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 16.7

Toledo's 2014 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 12
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Toledo 24
Northern Illinois 16

Projected Total Points: 40
Northern Illinois Scoring
Offense: 17.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 17.8
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.8

Northern Illinois's 2014 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 13
Record at home: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/05Toledo42Northern Illinois3Toledo -14.5Toledo42.5Over
202410/19Northern Illinois6Toledo13Northern Illinois -3Toledo42.5Under
202309/30Toledo35Northern Illinois33Toledo -13Northern Illinois48.0Over
202210/08Northern Illinois32Toledo52Toledo -6.5Toledo59.0Over
202110/09Toledo20Northern Illinois22Toledo -13Northern Illinois51.5Under
202012/05Northern Illinois24Toledo41Toledo -9Toledo53.5Over
201911/13Toledo28Northern Illinois31Toledo -2.5Northern Illinois54.5Over
201811/07Northern Illinois38Toledo15Northern Illinois -3.5Northern Illinois54.0Under
201711/02Toledo27Northern Illinois17Toledo -7.5Toledo56.5Under
201611/09Northern Illinois24Toledo31Toledo -7.5Northern Illinois69.5Under
201511/03Toledo27Northern Illinois32Toledo -7Northern Illinois62.0Under
201411/11Northern Illinois27Toledo24Northern Illinois -3.5Toledo0
201311/20Toledo17Northern Illinois35Northern Illinois -3Northern Illinois0
201211/14Northern Illinois31Toledo24
201111/01Toledo60Northern Illinois63
201011/09Northern Illinois65Toledo30
200910/17Toledo20Northern Illinois19
200810/18Northern Illinois38Toledo7
200710/27Toledo70Northern Illinois21
200611/07Northern Illinois13Toledo17
200511/16Toledo17Northern Illinois35
200411/09Northern Illinois17Toledo31
200311/15Toledo49Northern Illinois30
200109/29Toledo41Northern Illinois20
200011/03Northern Illinois24Toledo38
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Northern Illinois1175 Overs
Toledo1466 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 134 - 93 - 61 - 3
Road Teams13 - 129 - 43 - 16 - 3

(#) TOL at (#) NIU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTOLNIU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Toledo on Offense
CategoryCat
TOL OffNIU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Toledo Run Game
CategoryCat
TOL OffNIU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Toledo Pass Game
CategoryCat
TOL OffNIU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Northern Illinois on Offense
CategoryCatNIU OffTOL Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Northern Illinois Run Game
CategoryCat
NIU OffTOL Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Northern Illinois Pass Game
CategoryCatNIU OffTOL Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
NIU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'14 Profile: Remains Poor G5

TOL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'14 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Brigham Field at Huskie Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 12
Northern Illinois -3.5 (0)
Northern Illinois won vs Toledo this year (27-24)

Previous Matchups
Toledo beat Northern Illinois last year (42-3)
Toledo beat Northern Illinois in 2024 (13-6)
Toledo beat Northern Illinois in 2023 (35-33)

  
TOL's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Toledo's Full Roster

TOL's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

NIU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Northern Illinois's Full Roster

NIU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD