Florida at Kentucky - 2015 Matchup Preview
Florida logo Florida Gators at Kentucky WildcatsKentucky logo
Saturday, September 19th 2015 (7:30 PM EDT)
Florida -4.5 (52.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Florida 14 - Kentucky: 9  (SEC)

 
Gators (10 - 4) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 18 (22 - 15 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: FLA: 27 - UK: 26 (53)
FLA Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
FLA Travel: 592 miles
Wildcats (5 - 7) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 27 (29 - 27 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Florida's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Florida vs New Mexico State-38.054.0W 61 - 13OY
Sat 9/12 Florida vs East Carolina-13.053.5W 31 - 24ON
Sat 9/19 Florida at Kentucky-4.552.5W 14 - 9UY
Sat 9/26 Florida vs Tennessee-3.050.5W 28 - 27ON
Sat 10/3 Florida vs Ole Miss+6.550.5W 38 - 10UY
Sat 10/10 Florida at Missouri-3.538.5W 21 - 3UY
Sat 10/17 Florida at LSU+6.543.5L 28 - 35ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/31 Florida vs Georgia-2.549.0W 27 - 3UY
Sat 11/7 Florida vs Vanderbilt-19.038.5W 9 - 7UN
Sat 11/14 Florida at South Carolina-8.547.0W 24 - 14UY
Sat 11/21 Florida vs Florida Atlantic-31.045.0W 20 - 14UN
Sat 11/28 Florida vs Florida State-3.044.0L 2 - 27UN
Sat 12/5 Florida vs Alabama+17.038.0L 15 - 29OY
Fri 1/1 Florida vs Michigan+4.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida's Schedule
Kentucky's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Kentucky vs Louisiana-16.558.0W 40 - 33ON
Sat 9/12 Kentucky at South Carolina+7.556.0W 26 - 22UY
Sat 9/19 Kentucky vs Florida+4.552.5L 9 - 14UN
Sat 9/26 Kentucky vs Missouri-2.544.0W 21 - 13UY
Sat 10/3 Kentucky vs Eastern Kentucky-31.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/15 Kentucky vs Auburn+1.057.0L 27 - 30UN
Sat 10/24 Kentucky at Mississippi State+11.559.0L 16 - 42UN
Sat 10/31 Kentucky vs Tennessee+7.560.5L 21 - 52ON
Sat 11/7 Kentucky at Georgia+17.058.0L 3 - 27UN
Sat 11/14 Kentucky at Vanderbilt+2.541.5L 17 - 21UN
Sat 11/21 Kentucky vs Charlotte-24.556.0W 58 - 10OY
Sat 11/28 Kentucky vs Louisville+4.051.5L 24 - 38ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kentucky's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FLA.1239%23.239%2.7612738%2073.07.0237%18.337%34%2.9252.61.21.8
UK.1439%24.741%2.6516335%2093.26.1345%27.445%43%3.1556.31.81.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FLA#72 (.18)43% (64)45% (54)3.04 (66)16441% (82)2264.17 (46)#53 (.14)44% (95)49% (118)39% (44)3.12 (14)541.41.9
UK#118 (.09)41% (89)47% (31)3.02 (71)14635% (123)1853.49 (104)#62 (.16)46% (111)49% (122)42% (75)3.44 (31)52.11.91.3



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FLA Offense1423.221.839.3%3.071.2173341272073.550%49%39%38%2%.12
UK Defense1227.427.145.1%3.151.7 - - - - - 56%43%45%43%2%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FLA Defense1418.315.336.7%2.921.8 - - - - - 50%48%37%34%2%.02
UK Offense1224.729.339.4%3.261.8193721632094.747%51%41%35%2%.14

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Florida1430:5816.736%52%6.552.61.21.800432.9
Kentucky1229:1618.537%68%5.856.31.81.700226.7
Run Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FLA Offense1450%39%36.4126.93.519.072.7676%0%0.96
UK Defense1256%45% - - - - .12.8981%0%0.89
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FLA Defense1450%37% - - - - .022.6267%0%0.89
UK Offense1247%41%34.9162.74.722.192.6565%0%1.24

Pass Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FLA Offense1449%38%16.428.9207.17.212.72010.171.634%25%.152%1.9
UK Defense1243%43% - - - - - - 11.21.530%37%.172%1.5
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FLA Defense1448%34% - - - - - - 14.081.537%26%.12%1.7
UK Offense1251%35%18.233.1209.36.311.51016.121.637%33%.352%1.9

Florida's Power Ratings
Florida's Power Rating: NR
Florida's Offense Rating: NR
Florida's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #15
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Florida's 2015 Expected Record: -
Florida's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida:    Kentucky: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida:    Kentucky:




Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #38
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Kentucky's 2015 Expected Record: -
Kentucky's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Florida Scoring
Offense: 23.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.8
Defense: 18.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 15.3

Florida's 2015 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 9
Record on Road: 3 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Florida 27
Kentucky 26

Total Points: 53

Based on Last 4 Games
Kentucky 30
Florida 30

Total Points: 60

Based on Entire Season
Florida 25
Kentucky 22

Total Points: 47
Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 24.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.3
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.1

Kentucky's 2015 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/08Kentucky38Florida7Florida -4.5Kentucky44.5Over
202410/19Florida48Kentucky20Kentucky -2.5Florida42.5Over
202309/30Kentucky33Florida14Kentucky -1Kentucky44.0Over
202209/10Florida16Kentucky26Florida -6Kentucky53.0Under
202110/02Kentucky20Florida13Florida -7.5Kentucky56.5Under
202011/28Florida34Kentucky10Florida -23.5Florida60.5Under
201909/14Kentucky21Florida29Florida -10Kentucky46.5Over
201809/08Florida16Kentucky27Florida -13.5Kentucky52.5Under
201709/23Kentucky27Florida28Florida -3Kentucky44.0Over
201609/10Florida45Kentucky7Florida -16.5Florida48.5Over
201509/19Kentucky9Florida14Florida -4.5Florida52.5Under
201409/13Florida36Kentucky30Florida -17Kentucky0
201309/28Kentucky7Florida24Florida -12.5Florida0
201209/22Florida38Kentucky0
201109/24Kentucky10Florida48
201009/25Florida48Kentucky14
200909/26Kentucky7Florida41
200810/25Florida63Kentucky5
200710/20Kentucky37Florida45
200609/23Florida26Kentucky7
200509/24Kentucky28Florida49
200409/25Florida20Kentucky3
200309/27Kentucky21Florida24
200209/28Florida41Kentucky34
200109/22Kentucky10Florida44
200009/22Florida59Kentucky31
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Kentucky586 Overs
Florida2155 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 128 - 53 - 35 - 2
Road Teams12 - 145 - 82 - 53 - 3

(#) FLA at (#) UK
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatFLAUK
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #15 #38
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Florida on Offense
CategoryCat
FLA OffUK Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Florida Run Game
CategoryCat
FLA OffUK Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Florida Pass Game
CategoryCat
FLA OffUK Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Kentucky on Offense
CategoryCatUK OffFLA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Kentucky Run Game
CategoryCat
UK OffFLA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Kentucky Pass Game
CategoryCatUK OffFLA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UK 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

FLA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Commonwealth Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 68° - Wind: 10 mph
Rematch from Week 3
Florida 4.5 (52.5)
Florida won at Kentucky this year (14-9)

Previous Matchups
Florida beat Kentucky last year (48-20)
Kentucky beat Florida in 2023 (33-14)
Kentucky beat Florida in 2022 (26-16)

  
FLA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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FLA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UK's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Kentucky's Full Roster

UK's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD