Tennessee at Kentucky - 2015 Matchup Preview
Tennessee logo (#17)Tennessee Volunteers at Kentucky WildcatsKentucky logo
Saturday, October 31st 2015 (7:30 PM EDT)
Tennessee -7.5 (60.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Tennessee 52 - Kentucky: 21  (SEC)

 
Volunteers (9 - 4) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 35 - 20 (28 - 19 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 20.8 MPH
TENN 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: TENN: 27 - UK: 24 (51)
TENN Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
TENN Travel: 146 miles
Wildcats (5 - 7) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 27 (29 - 27 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Tennessee's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Tennessee vs Bowling Green-17.067.5W 59 - 30OY
Sat 9/12 Tennessee vs Oklahoma+3.063.5L 24 - 31UN
Sat 9/19 Tennessee vs Western Carolina-34.5
Sat 9/26 Tennessee at Florida+3.050.5L 27 - 28OY
Sat 10/3 Tennessee vs Arkansas-7.553.5L 20 - 24UN
Sat 10/10 Tennessee vs Georgia+2.559.5W 38 - 31OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24 Tennessee at Alabama+14.548.5L 14 - 19UY
Sat 10/31 Tennessee at Kentucky-7.560.5W 52 - 21OY
Sat 11/7 Tennessee vs South Carolina-15.060.0W 27 - 24UN
Sat 11/14 Tennessee vs North Texas-40.566.0W 24 - 0UN
Sat 11/21 Tennessee at Missouri-9.043.0W 19 - 8UY
Sat 11/28 Tennessee vs Vanderbilt-17.541.0W 53 - 28OY
Fri 1/1 Tennessee vs Northwestern-9.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tennessee's Schedule
Kentucky's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Kentucky vs Louisiana-16.558.0W 40 - 33ON
Sat 9/12 Kentucky at South Carolina+7.556.0W 26 - 22UY
Sat 9/19 Kentucky vs Florida+4.552.5L 9 - 14UN
Sat 9/26 Kentucky vs Missouri-2.544.0W 21 - 13UY
Sat 10/3 Kentucky vs Eastern Kentucky-31.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/15 Kentucky vs Auburn+1.057.0L 27 - 30UN
Sat 10/24 Kentucky at Mississippi State+11.559.0L 16 - 42UN
Sat 10/31 Kentucky vs Tennessee+7.560.5L 21 - 52ON
Sat 11/7 Kentucky at Georgia+17.058.0L 3 - 27UN
Sat 11/14 Kentucky at Vanderbilt+2.541.5L 17 - 21UN
Sat 11/21 Kentucky vs Charlotte-24.556.0W 58 - 10OY
Sat 11/28 Kentucky vs Louisville+4.051.5L 24 - 38ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kentucky's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TENN.1845%35.244%2.8922443%1993.68.1338%2038%36%2.9640.80.91.5
UK.1439%24.741%2.6516335%2093.26.1345%27.445%43%3.1556.31.81.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TENN#46 (.23)47% (18)48% (23)3.4 (13)22747% (19)2214.02 (55)#13 (.07)38% (17)36% (9)39% (48)3.03 (10)66.81.21.6
UK#118 (.09)41% (89)47% (31)3.02 (71)14635% (123)1853.49 (104)#62 (.16)46% (111)49% (122)42% (75)3.44 (31)52.11.91.3



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TENN Offense1335.22844.8%3.680.9234222241994.757%41%44%43%1%.18
UK Defense1227.427.145.1%3.151.7 - - - - - 56%43%45%43%2%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TENN Defense13201938%2.961.5 - - - - - 50%48%38%36%2%.13
UK Offense1224.729.339.4%3.261.8193721632094.747%51%41%35%2%.14

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Tennessee1330:3222.546%76%5.140.80.91.500732.7
Kentucky1229:1618.537%68%5.856.31.81.700226.7
Run Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TENN Offense1357%44%47.5223.74.732.162.8972%0%1.06
UK Defense1256%45% - - - - .12.8981%0%0.89
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TENN Defense1350%38% - - - - .082.9464%0%0.96
UK Offense1247%41%34.9162.74.722.192.6565%0%1.24

Pass Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TENN Offense1341%43%16.928.5198.6711.7175.241.633%37%.321%1.8
UK Defense1243%43% - - - - - - 11.21.530%37%.172%1.5
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TENN Defense1348%36% - - - - - - 13.191.635%26%.22%1.8
UK Offense1251%35%18.233.1209.36.311.51016.121.637%33%.352%1.9

Tennessee's Power Ratings
Tennessee's Power Rating: NR
Tennessee's Offense Rating: NR
Tennessee's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Tennessee's 2015 Expected Record: -
Tennessee's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Tennessee:    Kentucky: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tennessee:    Kentucky:




Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #38
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Kentucky's 2015 Expected Record: -
Kentucky's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 35.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 28
Defense: 20 PPG
Defense on Road: 19

Tennessee's 2015 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Tennessee 27
Kentucky 24

Total Points: 51

Based on Last 4 Games
Kentucky 25
Tennessee 24

Total Points: 49

Based on Entire Season
Tennessee 29
Kentucky 23

Total Points: 52
Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 24.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.3
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.1

Kentucky's 2015 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/25Kentucky34Tennessee56Tennessee -7.5Tennessee55.5Over
202411/02Tennessee28Kentucky18Tennessee -17.5Kentucky45.5Over
202310/28Kentucky27Tennessee33Tennessee -4Tennessee50.5Over
202210/29Tennessee44Kentucky6Tennessee -10.5Tennessee62.5Under
202111/06Kentucky42Tennessee45Tennessee -1Tennessee57.5Over
202010/17Tennessee7Kentucky34Tennessee -6.0Kentucky45.5Under
201911/09Kentucky13Tennessee17Kentucky -2Tennessee42.0Under
201811/10Tennessee24Kentucky7Kentucky -5Tennessee43.0Under
201710/28Kentucky29Tennessee26Kentucky -4Tennessee46.0Over
201611/12Tennessee49Kentucky36Tennessee -10.5Tennessee58.0Over
201510/31Kentucky21Tennessee52Tennessee -7.5Tennessee60.5Over
201411/15Tennessee50Kentucky16Tennessee -6.5Tennessee0
201311/30Kentucky14Tennessee27Tennessee -4Tennessee0
201211/24Tennessee37Kentucky17
201111/26Kentucky10Tennessee7
201011/27Tennessee24Kentucky14
200911/28Kentucky24Tennessee30
200811/29Tennessee28Kentucky10
200711/24Kentucky50Tennessee52
200611/25Tennessee17Kentucky12
200511/26Kentucky8Tennessee27
200411/27Tennessee37Kentucky31
200311/29Kentucky7Tennessee20
200111/17Kentucky35Tennessee38
200011/17Tennessee59Kentucky20
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Kentucky327 Overs
Tennessee22114 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 124 - 93 - 41 - 5
Road Teams12 - 139 - 45 - 14 - 3

(#) TENN at (#) UK
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTENNUK
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #12 #38
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Tennessee on Offense
CategoryCat
TENN OffUK Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Tennessee Run Game
CategoryCat
TENN OffUK Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Tennessee Pass Game
CategoryCat
TENN OffUK Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Kentucky on Offense
CategoryCatUK OffTENN Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Kentucky Run Game
CategoryCat
UK OffTENN Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Kentucky Pass Game
CategoryCatUK OffTENN Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UK 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

TENN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Commonwealth Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 60° - Wind: 21 mph
Rematch from Week 9
Tennessee 7.5 (60.5)
Tennessee won at Kentucky this year (52-21)

Previous Matchups
Tennessee beat Kentucky last year (28-18)
Tennessee beat Kentucky in 2023 (33-27)
Tennessee beat Kentucky in 2022 (44-6)

  
TENN's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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TENN's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UK's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UK's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD