East Carolina at Cincinnati - 2014 Matchup Preview
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East Carolina Pirates at Cincinnati Bearcats

Cincinnati logo
Thursday, November 13th 2014 (7:00 PM EST)
East Carolina -2.5 (0)  Open: 0.0
Cincinnati 54 - East Carolina: 46  (American Athletic)

 
Pirates (8 - 5) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 33 - 20 (31 - 21 on Road)
'14 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ECU coming off BYE
CIN coming off BYE
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: ECU: 27 - CIN: 26 (53)
ECU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
ECU Travel: 461 miles
Bearcats (9 - 4) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 26 (34 - 20 @ Home)
'14 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
East Carolina's 2014 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 East Carolina vs North Carolina Central-39.0
Sat 9/6 East Carolina at South Carolina+15.5
Sat 9/13 East Carolina at Virginia Tech+11.5
Sat 9/20 East Carolina vs North Carolina+2.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 East Carolina vs SMU-35.5
Sat 10/11 East Carolina at South Florida-14.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/23 East Carolina vs UConn-24.0
Sat 11/1 East Carolina at Temple-7.0
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/13 East Carolina at Cincinnati-2.5
Sat 11/22 East Carolina vs Tulane-17.5
Fri 11/28 East Carolina at Tulsa-17.5
Thu 12/4 East Carolina vs UCF-6.5
Sat 1/3 East Carolina vs Florida+6.554.0L 20 - 28UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for East Carolina's Schedule
Cincinnati's 2014 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Fri 9/12 Cincinnati vs Toledo-12.0
Sat 9/20 Cincinnati vs Miami (OH)-32.0
Sat 9/27 Cincinnati at Ohio State+12.5
Sat 10/4 Cincinnati vs Memphis-6.5
Sat 10/11 Cincinnati at Miami+13.0
Sat 10/18 Cincinnati at SMU-14.5
Fri 10/24 Cincinnati vs South Florida-10.0
Fri 10/31 Cincinnati at Tulane-2.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/13 Cincinnati vs East Carolina+2.5
Sat 11/22 Cincinnati at UConn-11.0
Sat 11/29 Cincinnati at Temple-3.5
Sat 12/6 Cincinnati vs Houston-7.0
Sat 12/27 Cincinnati vs Virginia Tech-2.049.5L 17 - 33ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Cincinnati's Schedule
Important Stats (2013)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ECU.1748%32.743%2.8914051%328-0.13.0640%20.134%42%044.91.21.8
CIN.1146%30.344%2.816846%304-0.14.0739%25.637%40%-0.3257.82.21.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ECU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
CIN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2013
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ECU Offense1332.730.848.3%-0.131.2274681403283.940%58%43%51%3%.17
CIN Defense1325.619.639.3%-0.321.6 - - - - - 48%50%37%40%3%.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ECU Defense1320.120.839.8%01.8 - - - - - 45%53%34%42%2%.06
CIN Offense1330.334.445.6%-0.142.2244721683044.250%49%44%46%2%.11

Additional Stats 2013
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
East Carolina1329:1726.651%71%5.344.91.21.800232.3
Cincinnati1331:5924.248%47%6.257.82.21.600130.7
Run Game Stats (2014)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ECU Offense1340%43%35.6140.13.930.032.8968%0%0.78
CIN Defense1348%37% - - - - -.042.5565%0%0.71
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ECU Defense1345%34% - - - - -.042.8670%0%0.84
CIN Offense1350%44%39.7168.54.228-.042.869%0%0.64

Pass Game Stats (2014)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ECU Offense1358%51%30.543.5328.17.610.73510.291.130%38%.433%1.7
CIN Defense1350%40% - - - - - - 13.181.234%29%.233%1.4
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ECU Defense1353%42% - - - - - - 18.161.231%37%.372%1.6
CIN Offense1349%46%23.936.1303.68.412.72817.271.330%35%.382%1.8

East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: NR
East Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
East Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2014 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
East Carolina's 2014 Expected Record: -
East Carolina's 2014 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
East Carolina:    Cincinnati: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
East Carolina:    Cincinnati:




Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: NR
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: NR
2014 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Cincinnati's 2014 Expected Record: -
Cincinnati's 2014 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 32.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.8
Defense: 20.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.8

East Carolina's 2014 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
East Carolina 27
Cincinnati 26

Projected Total Points: 53
Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 30.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.4
Defense: 25.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.6

Cincinnati's 2014 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 1 - 12
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202211/11Cincinnati27East Carolina25Cincinnati -4.5East Carolina51.5Over
202111/26East Carolina13Cincinnati35Cincinnati -14.5Cincinnati56.5Under
202011/13Cincinnati55East Carolina17Cincinnati -27.5Cincinnati56.5Over
201911/02East Carolina43Cincinnati46Cincinnati -25East Carolina48.5Over
201811/23Cincinnati56East Carolina6Cincinnati -15.5Cincinnati49.5Over
201711/18East Carolina48Cincinnati20Cincinnati -4.5East Carolina67.5Over
201610/22Cincinnati31East Carolina19Cincinnati -2Cincinnati63.0Under
201511/28East Carolina16Cincinnati19Cincinnati -3NA69.0Under
201411/13Cincinnati54East Carolina46East Carolina -2.5Cincinnati0
200409/25East Carolina19Cincinnati24
200309/01Cincinnati40East Carolina3
200111/10Cincinnati26East Carolina28
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Cincinnati1055 Overs
East Carolina233 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 56 - 23 - 13 - 1
Road Teams5 - 72 - 61 - 31 - 3

(#) ECU at (#) CIN
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatECUCIN
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
East Carolina on Offense
CategoryCat
ECU OffCIN Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
East Carolina Run Game
CategoryCat
ECU OffCIN Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
East Carolina Pass Game
CategoryCat
ECU OffCIN Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Cincinnati on Offense
CategoryCatCIN OffECU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Cincinnati Run Game
CategoryCat
CIN OffECU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Cincinnati Pass Game
CategoryCatCIN OffECU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
CIN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'14 Profile: Remains Poor G5

ECU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'14 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Paycor Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 12
East Carolina 2.5 (0)
Cincinnati won vs East Carolina this year (54-46)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
ECU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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ECU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

CIN's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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CIN's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD