Troy at Arkansas State - 2013 Matchup Preview
Troy logo Troy Trojans at Arkansas State Red WolvesArkansas State logo
Thursday, September 12th 2013 (7:30 PM EDT)
Arkansas State -10 (0)  Open: 0.0
Arkansas State 41 - Troy: 34  (Sun Belt)

 
Trojans (6 - 6) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 34 - 36 (28 - 41 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Temp: 91.9° (51% Hum)
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: TROY: 24 - ARST: 35 (59)
ARST Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
TROY Travel: 389 miles
Red Wolves (8 - 5) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 26 (39 - 24 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Troy's 2013 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Troy vs UAB-6.0
Sat 9/7 Troy vs Savannah State-45.0
Thu 9/12 Troy at Arkansas State+10.0
Sat 9/21 Troy at Mississippi State+13.0
Sat 9/28 Troy at Duke+10.0
Sat 10/5 Troy vs South Alabama-2.5
Sat 10/12 Troy at Georgia State-16.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26 Troy at Western Kentucky+7.5
Thu 10/31 Troy vs UL Monroe-3.0
Thu 11/7 Troy at Louisiana+13.0
Sat 11/16 Troy at Ole Miss+28.0
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/29 Troy vs Texas State-4.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Troy's Schedule
Arkansas State's 2013 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Arkansas State vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff-17.5
Sat 9/7 Arkansas State at Auburn+7.5
Thu 9/12 Arkansas State vs Troy-10.0
Sat 9/21 Arkansas State at Memphis-3.0
Sat 9/28 Arkansas State at Missouri+21.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Arkansas State vs Idaho-24.0
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/22 Arkansas State vs Louisiana+6.5
Sat 11/2 Arkansas State at South Alabama+2.5
Sat 11/9 Arkansas State at UL Monroe+3.5
Sat 11/16 Arkansas State vs Texas State-6.5
Sat 11/23 Arkansas State vs Georgia State-23.0
Sat 11/30 Arkansas State at Western Kentucky+4.0
Sun 1/5 Arkansas State vs Ball State+6.565.0W 23 - 20UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arkansas State's Schedule
Important Stats (2013)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TROY.1543%34.140%2.8514145%322-0.08.1641%35.938%43%-0.2274.61.50.9
ARST.1144%29.242%3.1220644%202-0.16.0943%26.244%39%-0.0960.21.11.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TROY#50 (.22)44% (49)42% (94)2.88 (95)15748% (15)2134.43 (22)#77 (.18)43% (87)45% (87)42% (76)3.77 (65)58.81.30.7
ARST#81 (.17)41% (91)43% (84)3.01 (77)14839% (96)2103.96 (63)#126 (.31)48% (124)51% (131)44% (110)4.62 (127)47.81.31.4



Overall Stats 2013
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TROY Offense1234.12843.3%-0.081.5234631413223.946%53%40%45%2%.15
ARST Defense1326.224.342.5%-0.091.5 - - - - - 51%47%44%39%1%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TROY Defense1235.94140.9%-0.220.9 - - - - - 50%48%38%43%1%.16
ARST Offense1329.238.543.8%-0.161.1214082062024.658%41%42%44%2%.11

Additional Stats 2013
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Troy1229:2022.944%67%7.374.61.50.900328.7
Arkansas State1330:4021.244%29%7.260.21.11.500232.1
Run Game Stats (2013)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TROY Offense1246%40%36.41413.923.072.8572%0%0.82
ARST Defense1351%44% - - - - .13.1167%0%0.74
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TROY Defense1250%38% - - - - .012.7856%0%0.8
ARST Offense1358%42%44.5205.74.631.053.1270%0%0.82

Pass Game Stats (2013)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TROY Offense1253%45%27.140.3322.3811.9289.231.332%37%.442%1.8
ARST Defense1347%39% - - - - - - 9.11.230%30%.181%1.4
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TROY Defense1248%43% - - - - - - 6.321.535%36%.421%1.7
ARST Offense1341%44%19.628.3202.17.110.3147.21.229%32%.332%1.6

Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: NR
Troy's Offense Rating: NR
Troy's Defense Rating: NR
2013 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Troy's 2013 Expected Record: -
Troy's 2013 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Troy:    Arkansas State: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Troy:    Arkansas State:




Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: NR
2013 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Arkansas State's 2013 Expected Record: -
Arkansas State's 2013 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Troy Scoring
Offense: 34.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 28
Defense: 35.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 41

Troy's 2013 Record
Record: 6 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record on Road: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Arkansas State 35
Troy 24

Total Points: 59

Based on Last 4 Games
Arkansas State 34
Troy 21

Total Points: 55

Based on Entire Season
Arkansas State 36
Troy 28

Total Points: 64
Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 29.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.5
Defense: 26.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.3

Arkansas State's 2013 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/01Troy10Arkansas State23Troy -7.5Arkansas State52.5Under
202410/26Arkansas State34Troy31Arkansas State -8.5Troy50.0Over
202310/07Troy37Arkansas State3Troy -15.5Troy52.0Under
202211/26Arkansas State19Troy48Troy -13.5Troy43.5Over
202010/31Arkansas State10Troy38Arkansas State -3.5Troy0
201909/28Troy43Arkansas State50Troy -7Arkansas State59.5Over
201712/02Arkansas State25Troy32Arkansas State -1Troy60.0Under
201611/17Troy3Arkansas State35Troy -8.5Arkansas State53.5Under
201309/12Arkansas State41Troy34Arkansas State -10Troy0
201211/17Troy34Arkansas State41
201112/03Arkansas State45Troy14
201009/25Troy35Arkansas State28
200909/26Arkansas State27Troy30
200812/06Troy35Arkansas State9
200710/27Arkansas State0Troy27
200611/18Troy26Arkansas State33
200511/12Arkansas State9Troy3
200410/16Arkansas State13Troy9
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arkansas State1033 Overs
Troy864 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 101 - 81 - 70 - 1
Road Teams10 - 88 - 11 - 07 - 1

(#) TROY at (#) ARST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTROYARST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Troy on Offense
CategoryCat
TROY OffARST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Troy Run Game
CategoryCat
TROY OffARST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Troy Pass Game
CategoryCat
TROY OffARST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Arkansas State on Offense
CategoryCatARST OffTROY Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Arkansas State Run Game
CategoryCat
ARST OffTROY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Arkansas State Pass Game
CategoryCatARST OffTROY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ARST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'13 Profile: Remains Poor G5

TROY 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'13 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Centennial Bank Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 92° - Wind: 6 mph
Rematch from Week 3
Arkansas State -10.0 (0)
Arkansas State won vs Troy this year (41-34)

Previous Matchups
Arkansas State beat Troy last year (34-31)
Troy beat Arkansas State in 2023 (37-3)
Troy beat Arkansas State in 2022 (48-19)

  
TROY's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Troy's Full Roster

TROY's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ARST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Arkansas State's Full Roster

ARST's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD