Arkansas State at Missouri - 2013 Matchup Preview
Arkansas State logo Arkansas State Red Wolves at Missouri Tigers(#20)Missouri logo
Saturday, September 28th 2013 (7:30 PM EDT)
Missouri -21 (0)  Open: 0.0
Missouri 41 - Arkansas State: 19

 
Red Wolves (8 - 5) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 26 (21 - 29 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 19.7 MPH
ARST 2nd straight Road Game
ARST is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: ARST: 20 - MIZ: 36 (56)
MIZ Win prob: 92% | Cover: 53%
ARST Travel: 232 miles
Tigers (12 - 2) (12 - 2 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 39 - 23 (37 - 18 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Arkansas State's 2013 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Arkansas State vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff-17.5
Sat 9/7 Arkansas State at Auburn+7.5
Thu 9/12 Arkansas State vs Troy-10.0
Sat 9/21 Arkansas State at Memphis-3.0
Sat 9/28 Arkansas State at Missouri+21.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Arkansas State vs Idaho-24.0
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/22 Arkansas State vs Louisiana+6.5
Sat 11/2 Arkansas State at South Alabama+2.5
Sat 11/9 Arkansas State at UL Monroe+3.5
Sat 11/16 Arkansas State vs Texas State-6.5
Sat 11/23 Arkansas State vs Georgia State-23.0
Sat 11/30 Arkansas State at Western Kentucky+4.0
Sun 1/5 Arkansas State vs Ball State+6.565.0W 23 - 20UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arkansas State's Schedule
Missouri's 2013 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Missouri vs Murray State-38.0
Sat 9/7 Missouri vs Toledo-11.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Missouri at Indiana-3.0
Sat 9/28 Missouri vs Arkansas State-21.0
Sat 10/5 Missouri at Vanderbilt+2.5
Sat 10/12 Missouri at Georgia+10.0
Sat 10/19 Missouri vs Florida+1.5
Sat 10/26 Missouri vs South Carolina-2.5
Sat 11/2 Missouri vs Tennessee-13.0
Sat 11/9 Missouri at Kentucky-14.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Missouri at Ole Miss-2.0
Sat 11/30 Missouri vs Texas A&M-3.0
Sat 12/7 Missouri vs Auburn-2.0
Fri 1/3 Missouri vs Oklahoma State+3.061.5W 41 - 31OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Missouri's Schedule
Important Stats (2013)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARST.1144%29.242%3.1220644%202-0.16.0943%26.244%39%-0.0960.21.11.5
MIZ.1344%39.145%3.3623840%2530.1145%23.144%45%-0.1738.81.12.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARST#81 (.17)41% (91)43% (84)3.01 (77)14839% (96)2103.96 (63)#126 (.31)48% (124)51% (131)44% (110)4.62 (127)47.81.31.4
MIZ#70 (.19)44% (54)47% (28)3.04 (67)15941% (80)2023.91 (68)#32 (.11)41% (54)42% (57)39% (56)3.38 (28)460.71.2



Overall Stats 2013
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARST Offense1329.220.843.8%-0.161.1214082062024.658%41%42%44%2%.11
MIZ Defense1423.117.745.3%-0.172.3 - - - - - 44%54%44%45%3%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARST Defense1326.22942.5%-0.091.5 - - - - - 51%47%44%39%1%.09
MIZ Offense1439.136.643.7%01.1254912382535.753%46%45%40%2%.13

Additional Stats 2013
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Arkansas State1330:4021.244%29%7.260.21.11.500232.1
Missouri1429:5524.544%63%5.238.81.12.300230
Run Game Stats (2013)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARST Offense1358%42%44.5205.74.631.053.1270%0%0.82
MIZ Defense1444%44% - - - - .062.9366%0%0.81
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARST Defense1351%44% - - - - .13.1167%0%0.74
MIZ Offense1453%45%42237.95.735.173.3671%0%0.92

Pass Game Stats (2013)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARST Offense1341%44%19.628.3202.17.110.3147.21.229%32%.332%1.6
MIZ Defense1454%45% - - - - - - 20.151.130%36%.323%1.5
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARST Defense1347%39% - - - - - - 9.11.230%30%.181%1.4
MIZ Offense1446%40%19.132.4252.97.813.3318.111.231%39%.432%1.6

Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: NR
2013 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Arkansas State's 2013 Expected Record: -
Arkansas State's 2013 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State:    Missouri: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State:    Missouri:




Missouri's Power Ratings
Missouri's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Missouri's Offense Rating: NR
Missouri's Defense Rating: NR
2013 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Missouri's 2013 Expected Record: -
Missouri's 2013 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Missouri's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Missouri's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 29.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.8
Defense: 26.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 29

Arkansas State's 2013 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Missouri 36
Arkansas State 20

Total Points: 56

Based on Last 4 Games
Missouri 40
Arkansas State 18

Total Points: 57

Based on Entire Season
Missouri 33
Arkansas State 23

Total Points: 56
Missouri Scoring
Offense: 39.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.6
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.7

Missouri's 2013 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 12 - 2 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 13
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201509/12Arkansas State20Missouri27Missouri -13Arkansas State55.0Under
201309/28Missouri41Arkansas State19Missouri -21Missouri0
200509/03Arkansas State17Missouri44
200409/04Missouri52Arkansas State20
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Missouri410 Overs
Arkansas State011 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 22 - 01 - 01 - 0
Road Teams2 - 20 - 20 - 10 - 1

(#) ARST at (#) MIZ
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatARSTMIZ
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Arkansas State on Offense
CategoryCat
ARST OffMIZ Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Arkansas State Run Game
CategoryCat
ARST OffMIZ Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Arkansas State Pass Game
CategoryCat
ARST OffMIZ Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Missouri on Offense
CategoryCatMIZ OffARST Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Missouri Run Game
CategoryCat
MIZ OffARST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Missouri Pass Game
CategoryCatMIZ OffARST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MIZ 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'13 Profile: Remains Poor G5

ARST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'13 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Faurot Field
Conditions:
Temp: 70° - Wind: 20 mph
Rain: 0.02
Rematch from Week 5
Missouri -21.0 (0)
Missouri won vs Arkansas State this year (41-19)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
ARST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Arkansas State's Full Roster

ARST's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

MIZ's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Missouri's Full Roster

MIZ's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD