Troy at Western Kentucky - 2013 Matchup Preview
Troy logo Troy Trojans at Western Kentucky HilltoppersWestern Kentucky logo
Saturday, October 26th 2013 (4:00 PM EDT)
Western Kentucky -7.5 (0)  Open: 0.0
Troy 32 - Western Kentucky: 26  (Sun Belt)

 
Trojans (6 - 6) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 34 - 36 (28 - 41 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 17.2 MPH
WKU 2nd straight Home Game
TROY coming off BYE
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)

Projected Score: TROY: 25 - WKU: 36 (61)
WKU Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
TROY Travel: 359 miles
Hilltoppers (8 - 4) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 25 (31 - 25 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Troy's 2013 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Troy vs UAB-6.0
Sat 9/7 Troy vs Savannah State-45.0
Thu 9/12 Troy at Arkansas State+10.0
Sat 9/21 Troy at Mississippi State+13.0
Sat 9/28 Troy at Duke+10.0
Sat 10/5 Troy vs South Alabama-2.5
Sat 10/12 Troy at Georgia State-16.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26 Troy at Western Kentucky+7.5
Thu 10/31 Troy vs UL Monroe-3.0
Thu 11/7 Troy at Louisiana+13.0
Sat 11/16 Troy at Ole Miss+28.0
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/29 Troy vs Texas State-4.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Troy's Schedule
Western Kentucky's 2013 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Western Kentucky vs Kentucky+3.0
Sat 9/7 Western Kentucky at Tennessee+12.5
Sat 9/14 Western Kentucky at South Alabama-10.0
Sat 9/21 Western Kentucky vs Morgan State-33.0
Sat 9/28 Western Kentucky vs Navy+2.0
Thu 10/3 Western Kentucky at UL Monroe-3.0
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/15 Western Kentucky vs Louisiana-3.5
Sat 10/26 Western Kentucky vs Troy-7.5
Sat 11/2 Western Kentucky at Georgia State-19.0
Sat 11/9 Western Kentucky at Army-6.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Western Kentucky at Texas State-3.5
Sat 11/30 Western Kentucky vs Arkansas State-4.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Western Kentucky's Schedule
Important Stats (2013)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TROY.1543%34.140%2.8514145%322-0.08.1641%35.938%43%-0.2274.61.50.9
WKU.1749%30.847%3.3219750%262-0.08.0941%24.641%40%046.62.61.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TROY#50 (.22)44% (49)42% (94)2.88 (95)15748% (15)2134.43 (22)#77 (.18)43% (87)45% (87)42% (76)3.77 (65)58.81.30.7
WKU#66 (.19)42% (83)38% (117)2.78 (108)11045% (33)2653.83 (78)#95 (.21)45% (102)48% (113)40% (60)3.66 (54)41.31.71.5



Overall Stats 2013
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TROY Offense1234.12843.3%-0.081.5234631413223.946%53%40%45%2%.15
WKU Defense1224.624.841.2%01.8 - - - - - 55%44%41%40%3%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TROY Defense1235.94140.9%-0.220.9 - - - - - 50%48%38%43%1%.16
WKU Offense1230.831.449.2%-0.082.6244591972625.150%49%47%50%3%.17

Additional Stats 2013
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Troy1229:2022.944%67%7.374.61.50.900328.7
Western Kentucky1233:262446%50%6.246.62.61.800031.3
Run Game Stats (2013)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TROY Offense1246%40%36.41413.923.072.8572%0%0.82
WKU Defense1255%41% - - - - .093.0159%0%0.85
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TROY Defense1250%38% - - - - .012.7856%0%0.8
WKU Offense1250%47%39196.85.131.083.3267%0%0.75

Pass Game Stats (2013)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TROY Offense1253%45%27.140.3322.3811.9289.231.332%37%.442%1.8
WKU Defense1244%40% - - - - - - 14.121.332%35%.313%1.6
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TROY Defense1248%43% - - - - - - 6.321.535%36%.421%1.7
WKU Offense1249%50%22.233.9261.77.711.81516.271.129%39%.333%1.5

Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: NR
Troy's Offense Rating: NR
Troy's Defense Rating: NR
2013 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Troy's 2013 Expected Record: -
Troy's 2013 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Troy:    Western Kentucky: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Troy:    Western Kentucky:




Western Kentucky's Power Ratings
Western Kentucky's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Western Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Western Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2013 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Western Kentucky's 2013 Expected Record: -
Western Kentucky's 2013 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Troy Scoring
Offense: 34.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 28
Defense: 35.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 41

Troy's 2013 Record
Record: 6 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record on Road: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Western Kentucky 36
Troy 25


Total Points: 61

Based on Last 4 Games
Western Kentucky 37
Troy 22

Total Points: 59

Based on Entire Season
Western Kentucky 35
Troy 28

Total Points: 63
Western Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.4
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.8

Western Kentucky's 2013 Record
Record: 8 - 4
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record at home: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/23Troy27Western Kentucky24Troy -3.5Western Kentucky57.0Under
202210/01Western Kentucky27Troy34Western Kentucky -5Troy55.0Over
201310/26Western Kentucky26Troy32Western Kentucky -7.5Troy0
201210/11Troy26Western Kentucky31
201111/26Western Kentucky41Troy18
201011/27Troy28Western Kentucky14
200911/07Western Kentucky20Troy40
200811/08Troy17Western Kentucky7
200711/10Western Kentucky17Troy21
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Western Kentucky211 Overs
Troy721 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 50 - 30 - 30 - 0
Road Teams5 - 43 - 00 - 03 - 0

(#) TROY at (#) WKU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTROYWKU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Troy on Offense
CategoryCat
TROY OffWKU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Troy Run Game
CategoryCat
TROY OffWKU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Troy Pass Game
CategoryCat
TROY OffWKU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Western Kentucky on Offense
CategoryCatWKU OffTROY Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Western Kentucky Run Game
CategoryCat
WKU OffTROY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Western Kentucky Pass Game
CategoryCatWKU OffTROY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
WKU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'13 Profile: Remains Poor G5

TROY 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'13 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Houchens Industries-L. T. Smith Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 56° - Wind: 17 mph
Rematch from Week 9
Western Kentucky -7.5 (0)
Troy won at Western Kentucky this year (32-26)

Previous Matchups
Troy beat Western Kentucky in 2023 (27-24)
Troy beat Western Kentucky in 2022 (34-27)

  
TROY's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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TROY's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

WKU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Western Kentucky's Full Roster

WKU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD