Arkansas State at Auburn - 2013 Matchup Preview
Arkansas State logo Arkansas State Red Wolves at Auburn TigersAuburn logo
Saturday, September 7th 2013 (7:30 PM EDT)
Auburn -7.5 (0)  Open: 0.0
Auburn 38 - Arkansas State: 9

 
Red Wolves (8 - 5) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 26 (21 - 29 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Temp: 90.7° (45% Hum)
AUB 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: ARST: 28 - AUB: 31 (59)
AUB Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
ARST Travel: 371 miles
Tigers (12 - 2) (11 - 2 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 40 - 25 (38 - 19 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Arkansas State's 2013 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Arkansas State vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff-17.5
Sat 9/7 Arkansas State at Auburn+7.5
Thu 9/12 Arkansas State vs Troy-10.0
Sat 9/21 Arkansas State at Memphis-3.0
Sat 9/28 Arkansas State at Missouri+21.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Arkansas State vs Idaho-24.0
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/22 Arkansas State vs Louisiana+6.5
Sat 11/2 Arkansas State at South Alabama+2.5
Sat 11/9 Arkansas State at UL Monroe+3.5
Sat 11/16 Arkansas State vs Texas State-6.5
Sat 11/23 Arkansas State vs Georgia State-23.0
Sat 11/30 Arkansas State at Western Kentucky+4.0
Sun 1/5 Arkansas State vs Ball State+6.565.0W 23 - 20UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arkansas State's Schedule
Auburn's 2013 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Auburn vs Washington State-13.5
Sat 9/7 Auburn vs Arkansas State-7.5
Sat 9/14 Auburn vs Mississippi State-6.0
Sat 9/21 Auburn at LSU+14.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Auburn vs Ole Miss+2.0
Sat 10/12 Auburn vs Western Carolina-43.5
Sat 10/19 Auburn at Texas A&M+12.0
Sat 10/26 Auburn vs Florida Atlantic-26.5
Sat 11/2 Auburn at Arkansas-8.0
Sat 11/9 Auburn at Tennessee-7.5
Sat 11/16 Auburn vs Georgia-3.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/30 Auburn vs Alabama+9.5
Sat 12/7 Auburn vs Missouri+2.0
Mon 1/6 Auburn vs Florida State+11.567.0L 31 - 34UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Auburn's Schedule
Important Stats (2013)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARST.1144%29.242%3.1220644%202-0.16.0943%26.244%39%-0.0960.21.11.5
AUB.1648%39.550%3.5832841%173-0.07.1243%24.742%43%-0.0840.61.41.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARST#81 (.17)41% (91)43% (84)3.01 (77)14839% (96)2103.96 (63)#126 (.31)48% (124)51% (131)44% (110)4.62 (127)47.81.31.4
AUB#42 (.24)45% (40)48% (21)3.32 (23)16642% (67)2643.42 (110)#21 (.09)38% (20)38% (19)38% (34)3.35 (25)49.31.81.1



Overall Stats 2013
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARST Offense1329.220.843.8%-0.161.1214082062024.658%41%42%44%2%.11
AUB Defense1424.719.343.5%-0.081.4 - - - - - 47%51%42%43%2%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARST Defense1326.22942.5%-0.091.5 - - - - - 51%47%44%39%1%.09
AUB Offense1439.538.448.1%-0.071.4245013281736.369%30%50%41%2%.16

Additional Stats 2013
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Arkansas State1330:4021.244%29%7.260.21.11.500232.1
Auburn1430:1223.947%53%540.61.41.400429.8
Run Game Stats (2013)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARST Offense1358%42%44.5205.74.631.053.1270%0%0.82
AUB Defense1447%42% - - - - .073.0766%0%0.95
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARST Defense1351%44% - - - - .13.1167%0%0.74
AUB Offense1469%50%52.1328.36.348.183.5881%0%0.8

Pass Game Stats (2013)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARST Offense1341%44%19.628.3202.17.110.3147.21.229%32%.332%1.6
AUB Defense1451%43% - - - - - - 13.181.233%34%.282%1.5
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARST Defense1347%39% - - - - - - 9.11.230%30%.181%1.4
AUB Offense1430%41%12.420.41738.514208.131.223%32%.242%1.5

Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: NR
2013 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Arkansas State's 2013 Expected Record: -
Arkansas State's 2013 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State:    Auburn: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State:    Auburn:




Auburn's Power Ratings
Auburn's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Auburn's Offense Rating: NR
Auburn's Defense Rating: NR
2013 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Auburn's 2013 Expected Record: -
Auburn's 2013 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Auburn's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Auburn's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 29.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.8
Defense: 26.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 29

Arkansas State's 2013 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Auburn 31
Arkansas State 28

Total Points: 59

Based on Last 4 Games
Arkansas State 32
Auburn 30

Total Points: 62

Based on Entire Season
Auburn 33
Arkansas State 24

Total Points: 57
Auburn Scoring
Offense: 39.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.4
Defense: 24.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.3

Auburn's 2013 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 11 - 2 - 1
Over/Under Record: 0 - 14
Record at home: 8 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201609/10Auburn51Arkansas State14Auburn -13Auburn51.0Over
201309/07Auburn38Arkansas State9Auburn -7.5Auburn0
201009/04Auburn52Arkansas State26
200611/04Auburn27Arkansas State0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Auburn421 Overs
Arkansas State000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 02 - 02 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 40 - 20 - 00 - 2

(#) ARST at (#) AUB
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatARSTAUB
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Arkansas State on Offense
CategoryCat
ARST OffAUB Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Arkansas State Run Game
CategoryCat
ARST OffAUB Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Arkansas State Pass Game
CategoryCat
ARST OffAUB Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Auburn on Offense
CategoryCatAUB OffARST Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Auburn Run Game
CategoryCat
AUB OffARST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Auburn Pass Game
CategoryCatAUB OffARST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
AUB 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'13 Profile: Remains Poor G5

ARST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'13 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jordan-Hare Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 91°
Rematch from Week 2
Auburn -7.5 (0)
Auburn won vs Arkansas State this year (38-9)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
ARST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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ARST's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

AUB's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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AUB's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD