Texas State at Troy - 2013 Matchup Preview
Texas State logo Texas State Bobcats at Troy TrojansTroy logo
Friday, November 29th 2013 (2:00 PM EST)
Troy -4.5 (0)  Open: 0.0
Troy 42 - Texas State: 28  (Sun Belt)

 
Bobcats (6 - 6) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 27 (23 - 33 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TROY coming off BYE
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: TXST: 32 - TROY: 33 (65)
TROY Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
TXST Travel: 722 miles
Trojans (6 - 6) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 34 - 36 (43 - 29 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Texas State's 2013 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Texas State at Southern Miss+9.5
Sat 9/7 Texas State vs Prairie View A&M-30.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Texas State at Texas Tech+25.0
Sat 9/28 Texas State vs Wyoming+10.5
Sat 10/5 Texas State at Louisiana+10.0
Sat 10/12 Texas State vs UL Monroe-6.0
Sat 10/19 Texas State vs Georgia State-19.0
Sat 10/26 Texas State vs South Alabama+1.0
Sat 11/2 Texas State at Idaho-13.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Texas State at Arkansas State+6.5
Sat 11/23 Texas State vs Western Kentucky+3.5
Fri 11/29 Texas State at Troy+4.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas State's Schedule
Troy's 2013 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Troy vs UAB-6.0
Sat 9/7 Troy vs Savannah State-45.0
Thu 9/12 Troy at Arkansas State+10.0
Sat 9/21 Troy at Mississippi State+13.0
Sat 9/28 Troy at Duke+10.0
Sat 10/5 Troy vs South Alabama-2.5
Sat 10/12 Troy at Georgia State-16.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26 Troy at Western Kentucky+7.5
Thu 10/31 Troy vs UL Monroe-3.0
Thu 11/7 Troy at Louisiana+13.0
Sat 11/16 Troy at Ole Miss+28.0
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/29 Troy vs Texas State-4.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Troy's Schedule
Important Stats (2013)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TXST.0239%23.940%2.917236%155-0.23.0639%27.336%41%-0.0962.61.41.6
TROY.1543%34.140%2.8514145%322-0.08.1641%35.938%43%-0.2274.61.50.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TXST#25 (.25)48% (17)49% (14)3.41 (11)19448% (10)2453.89 (72)#50 (.14)39% (31)38% (21)39% (54)3.47 (33)56.51.61.2
TROY#50 (.22)44% (49)42% (94)2.88 (95)15748% (15)2134.43 (22)#77 (.18)43% (87)45% (87)42% (76)3.77 (65)58.81.30.7



Overall Stats 2013
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TXST Offense1223.923.239.3%-0.231.4163261721554.458%41%40%36%2%.02
TROY Defense1235.928.840.9%-0.220.9 - - - - - 50%48%38%43%1%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TXST Defense1227.332.839.5%-0.091.6 - - - - - 45%54%36%41%2%.06
TROY Offense1234.142.643.3%-0.081.5234631413223.946%53%40%45%2%.15

Additional Stats 2013
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Texas State1231:4616.334%52%7.362.61.41.600332.1
Troy1229:2022.944%67%7.374.61.50.900328.7
Run Game Stats (2013)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TXST Offense1258%40%39.3171.54.422.062.957%0%0.88
TROY Defense1250%38% - - - - .012.7856%0%0.8
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TXST Defense1245%36% - - - - -.042.8167%0%0.79
TROY Offense1246%40%36.41413.923.072.8572%0%0.82

Pass Game Stats (2013)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TXST Offense1241%36%13.825154.86.211.21111-.011.133%26%.172%1.6
TROY Defense1248%43% - - - - - - 6.321.535%36%.421%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TXST Defense1254%41% - - - - - - 11.151.133%31%.222%1.4
TROY Offense1253%45%27.140.3322.3811.9289.231.332%37%.442%1.8

Texas State's Power Ratings
Texas State's Power Rating: NR
Texas State's Offense Rating: NR
Texas State's Defense Rating: NR
2013 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Texas State's 2013 Expected Record: -
Texas State's 2013 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Texas State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Texas State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas State:    Troy: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas State:    Troy:




Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Troy's Offense Rating: NR
Troy's Defense Rating: NR
2013 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Troy's 2013 Expected Record: -
Troy's 2013 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Texas State Scoring
Offense: 23.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.2
Defense: 27.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8

Texas State's 2013 Record
Record: 6 - 6
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Troy 33
Texas State 32

Total Points: 65

Based on Last 4 Games
Texas State 36
Troy 33

Total Points: 69

Based on Entire Season
Troy 34
Texas State 28

Total Points: 62
Troy Scoring
Offense: 34.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 42.6
Defense: 35.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.8

Troy's 2013 Record
Record: 6 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record at home: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/11Texas State41Troy48Texas State -7.5Troy53.5Over
202410/03Troy17Texas State38Texas State -14.5Texas State56.0Under
202310/28Texas State13Troy31Troy -6.5Troy53.0Under
202210/15Troy17Texas State14Troy -16.5Texas State47.0Under
202110/16Texas State28Troy31Troy -7.5Texas State49.0Over
202010/10Troy37Texas State17Troy -7.0Troy59.0Under
201911/16Texas State27Troy63Troy -7Troy65.0Over
201811/17Troy12Texas State7Troy -23Texas State47.5Under
201711/24Troy62Texas State9Troy -23.5Troy53.5Over
201611/26Texas State7Troy40Troy -26.5Troy57.5Under
201311/29Troy42Texas State28Troy -4.5Troy0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Troy1074 Overs
Texas State146 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 64 - 73 - 31 - 4
Road Teams6 - 57 - 44 - 13 - 3

(#) TXST at (#) TROY
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTXSTTROY
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Texas State on Offense
CategoryCat
TXST OffTROY Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Texas State Run Game
CategoryCat
TXST OffTROY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Texas State Pass Game
CategoryCat
TXST OffTROY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Troy on Offense
CategoryCatTROY OffTXST Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Troy Run Game
CategoryCat
TROY OffTXST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Troy Pass Game
CategoryCatTROY OffTXST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TROY 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'13 Profile: Remains Poor G5

TXST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'13 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Veterans Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 60°
Rematch from Week 14
Troy -4.5 (0)
Troy won vs Texas State this year (42-28)

Previous Matchups
Texas State beat Troy last year (38-17)
Troy beat Texas State in 2023 (31-13)
Troy beat Texas State in 2022 (17-14)

  
TXST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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TXST's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

TROY's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Troy's Full Roster

TROY's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD