Louisville at North Carolina - 2011 Matchup Preview
 
Cardinals (7 - 6) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 22 - 20 (26 - 23 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UNC is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: LOU: 22 - UNC: 24 (46)
LOU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
LOU Travel: 403 miles
Tar Heels (7 - 6) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 25 (31 - 19 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Louisville's 2011 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/1 Louisville vs Murray State-23.5
Fri 9/9 Louisville vs Florida International-23.5
Sat 9/17 Louisville at Kentucky+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/1 Louisville vs Marshall-23.5
Sat 10/8 Louisville at North Carolina+2.5
Sat 10/15 Louisville at Cincinnati+2.5
Fri 10/21 Louisville vs Rutgers-23.5
Sat 10/29 Louisville vs Syracuse-23.5
Sat 11/5 Louisville at West Virginia+2.5
Sat 11/12 Louisville vs Pittsburgh-23.5
Sat 11/19 Louisville at UConn+2.5
Fri 11/25 Louisville at South Florida+2.5
Tue 12/27 Louisville vs NC State+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Louisville's Schedule
North Carolina's 2011 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 North Carolina vs James Madison-23.5
Sat 9/10 North Carolina vs Rutgers-23.5
Sat 9/17 North Carolina vs Virginia-23.5
Sat 9/24 North Carolina at Georgia Tech+2.5
Sat 10/1 North Carolina at East Carolina+2.5
Sat 10/8 North Carolina vs Louisville-23.5
Sat 10/15 North Carolina vs Miami-23.5
Sat 10/22 North Carolina at Clemson+2.5
Sat 10/29 North Carolina vs Wake Forest-23.5
Sat 11/5 North Carolina at NC State+2.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/17 North Carolina at Virginia Tech+2.5
Sat 11/26 North Carolina vs Duke-23.5
Mon 12/26 North Carolina vs Missouri-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Carolina's Schedule
Important Stats (2011)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LOU.0439%21.937%2.5612240%229-0.18-39%20.139%38%-0.156.51.61.7
UNC.0742%2839%2.7613944%270-0.08.0241%24.837%41%047.921.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LOU#15 (.31)46% (26)48% (20)3.09 (56)17345% (30)2514.27 (31)#73 (.18)40% (49)40% (44)40% (65)3.98 (87)46.10.81.2
UNC#65 (.2)42% (80)47% (34)3.32 (22)17537% (114)2164.08 (52)#70 (.17)41% (53)44% (82)37% (26)4.01 (90)59.81.21.2



Overall Stats 2011
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LOU Offense1321.925.539.4%-0.181.6163331222293.450%49%37%40%2%.04
UNC Defense1324.818.740.6%01.8 - - - - - 46%52%37%41%2%.02
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LOU Defense1320.122.538.9%-0.11.7 - - - - - 47%52%39%38%3%0
UNC Offense132831.141.9%-0.082193931392704.150%49%39%44%3%.07

Additional Stats 2011
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Louisville1319:5216.539%41%6.956.51.61.700232.3
North Carolina1317:4119.241%46%5.447.921.800131.2
Run Game Stats (2011)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LOU Offense1350%37%35.8121.53.413-.052.5666%0%0.79
UNC Defense1346%37% - - - - -.042.6572%0%0.77
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LOU Defense1347%39% - - - - -.072.5962%0%0.7
UNC Offense1350%39%34138.84.122-.082.7666%0%0.63

Pass Game Stats (2011)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LOU Offense1349%40%18.729.3229.37.812.31913.141.234%28%.212%1.7
UNC Defense1352%41% - - - - - - 14.091.234%33%.252%1.6
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LOU Defense1352%38% - - - - - - 10.081.133%28%.143%1.5
UNC Offense1349%44%19.228.5270.39.514.12614.241.330%31%.33%1.7

Louisville's Power Ratings
Louisville's Power Rating: NR
Louisville's Offense Rating: NR
Louisville's Defense Rating: NR
2011 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Louisville's 2011 Expected Record: -
Louisville's 2011 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Louisville:    North Carolina: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisville:    North Carolina:




North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
North Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2011 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
North Carolina's 2011 Expected Record: -
North Carolina's 2011 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Louisville Scoring
Offense: 21.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.5
Defense: 20.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.5

Louisville's 2011 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
North Carolina 24
Louisville 22

Total Points: 46

Based on Last 4 Games
North Carolina 24
Louisville 22

Total Points: 45

Based on Entire Season
North Carolina 25
Louisville 23

Total Points: 48
North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 28 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.1
Defense: 24.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.7

North Carolina's 2011 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201709/09North Carolina35Louisville47Louisville -11.5Louisville65.5Over
201209/15Louisville39North Carolina34
201110/08North Carolina14Louisville7
200510/08Louisville69North Carolina14
200409/25North Carolina0Louisville34
TeamWinsCoversO/U
North Carolina101 Overs
Louisville410 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 20 - 10 - 00 - 1
Road Teams2 - 31 - 01 - 00 - 0

(#) LOU at (#) UNC
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatLOUUNC
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Louisville on Offense
CategoryCat
LOU OffUNC Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Louisville Run Game
CategoryCat
LOU OffUNC Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Louisville Pass Game
CategoryCat
LOU OffUNC Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
North Carolina on Offense
CategoryCatUNC OffLOU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
North Carolina Run Game
CategoryCat
UNC OffLOU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
North Carolina Pass Game
CategoryCatUNC OffLOU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UNC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'11 Profile: Remains Poor G5

LOU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'11 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kenan Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 68° - Wind: 11 mph
Rematch from Week 6
()
North Carolina won vs Louisville this year (14-7)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
LOU's OC ()
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LOU's DC ()
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UNC's OC ()
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UNC's DC ()
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