TCU at Air Force - 2009 Matchup Preview
TCU logo TCU Horned Frogs at Air Force FalconsAir Force logo
Saturday, October 10th 2009 (7:30 PM EDT)
TCU 20 - Air Force: 17  (Mountain West)

 
Horned Frogs (12 - 1) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 38 - 13 (34 - 12 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Temp: 20.8°
AFA is playing their 6th straight game
TCU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: TCU: 23 - AFA: 20 (43)
TCU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
TCU Travel: 603 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Falcons (8 - 5) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 16 (34 - 10 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
TCU's 2009 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/12 TCU at Virginia+2.5
Sat 9/19 TCU vs Texas State-23.5
Sat 9/26 TCU at Clemson+2.5
Sat 10/3 TCU vs SMU-23.5
Sat 10/10 TCU at Air Force+2.5
Sat 10/17 TCU vs Colorado State-23.5
Sat 10/24 TCU at BYU+2.5
Sat 10/31 TCU vs UNLV-23.5
Sat 11/7 TCU at San Diego State+2.5
Sat 11/14 TCU vs Utah-23.5
Sat 11/21 TCU at Wyoming+2.5
Sat 11/28 TCU vs New Mexico-23.5
Mon 1/4 TCU vs Boise State-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for TCU's Schedule
Air Force's 2009 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Air Force vs Nicholls-23.5
Sat 9/12 Air Force at Minnesota+2.5
Sat 9/19 Air Force at New Mexico+2.5
Sat 9/26 Air Force vs San Diego State-23.5
Sat 10/3 Air Force at Navy+2.5
Sat 10/10 Air Force vs TCU-23.5
Sat 10/17 Air Force vs Wyoming-23.5
Sat 10/24 Air Force at Utah+2.5
Sat 10/31 Air Force at Colorado State+2.5
Sat 11/7 Air Force vs Army-23.5
Sat 11/14 Air Force vs UNLV-23.5
Sat 11/21 Air Force at BYU+2.5
Thu 12/31 Air Force vs Houston-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Air Force's Schedule
Important Stats (2009)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TCU.0748%38.348%3.5224046%223-0.19-.0830%12.829%28%-0.1652.21.81.9
AFA.0541%29.741%3.0728333%95-0.16-.0238%15.735%40%-0.2543.70.92.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TCU#18 (.3)47% (20)45% (53)2.95 (85)10649% (9)2934.46 (20)#82 (.19)42% (67)46% (102)36% (18)3.82 (72)49.71.61.1
AFA#103 (.13)42% (77)45% (60)3.03 (68)22531% (131)904.02 (56)#88 (.2)42% (68)41% (47)43% (89)3.97 (84)281.31



Overall Stats 2009
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TCU Offense1338.333.747.6%-0.191.8244572402235.258%40%48%46%1%.07
AFA Defense1315.79.738.5%-0.252.6 - - - - - 56%43%35%40%2%-.02
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TCU Defense1312.811.729.5%-0.161.9 - - - - - 46%52%29%28%2%-.08
AFA Offense1329.734.240.8%-0.160.920372283954.580%17%41%33%2%.05

Additional Stats 2009
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
TCU1319:1223.841%40%5.552.21.81.900636.1
Air Force1319:5220.144%71%4.843.70.92.600532.9
Run Game Stats (2009)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TCU Offense1358%48%45.8239.55.235.043.5267%0%0.61
AFA Defense1356%35% - - - - -.022.8574%0%0.75
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TCU Defense1346%29% - - - - -.132.2452%0%0.77
AFA Offense1380%41%62.7283.54.531.063.0772%0%0.77

Pass Game Stats (2009)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TCU Offense1340%46%15.525.12238.914.4248.141.125%30%.161%1.3
AFA Defense1343%40% - - - - - - 20-.020.935%26%.092%1.3
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TCU Defense1352%28% - - - - - - 14-.021.439%21%.082%1.8
AFA Offense1317%33%5.911.894.681683.071.530%31%.162%1.4

TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: NR
TCU's Offense Rating: NR
TCU's Defense Rating: NR
2009 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
TCU's 2009 Expected Record: -
TCU's 2009 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
TCU:    Air Force: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
TCU:    Air Force:




Air Force's Power Ratings
Air Force's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Air Force's Offense Rating: NR
Air Force's Defense Rating: NR
2009 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Air Force's 2009 Expected Record: -
Air Force's 2009 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


TCU Scoring
Offense: 38.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.7
Defense: 12.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 11.7

TCU's 2009 Record
Record: 12 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
TCU 23
Air Force 20

Total Points: 43

Based on Last 4 Games
TCU 22
Air Force 19

Total Points: 40

Based on Entire Season
TCU 24
Air Force 22

Total Points: 46
Air Force Scoring
Offense: 29.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.2
Defense: 15.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 9.7

Air Force's 2009 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201109/10Air Force19TCU35
201010/23TCU38Air Force7
200910/10Air Force17TCU20
200811/22TCU44Air Force10
200709/13Air Force20TCU17
200612/02TCU38Air Force14
200510/22Air Force10TCU48
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Air Force100 Overs
TCU600 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 30 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams3 - 40 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#) TCU at (#) AFA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTCUAFA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
TCU on Offense
CategoryCat
TCU OffAFA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
TCU Run Game
CategoryCat
TCU OffAFA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
TCU Pass Game
CategoryCat
TCU OffAFA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Air Force on Offense
CategoryCatAFA OffTCU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Air Force Run Game
CategoryCat
AFA OffTCU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Air Force Pass Game
CategoryCatAFA OffTCU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
AFA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'09 Profile: Remains Poor G5

TCU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'09 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Falcon Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 21° - Wind: 7 mph
Rematch from Week 6
()
TCU won at Air Force this year (20-17)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
TCU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
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TCU's DC ()
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AFA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
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AFA's DC ()
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