SMU at TCU - 2009 Matchup Preview
SMU logo SMU Mustangs at TCU Horned Frogs(#24)TCU logo
Saturday, October 3rd 2009 (8:00 PM EDT)
TCU 39 - SMU: 14

 
Mustangs (8 - 5) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 28 (25 - 31 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
SMU coming off BYE
TCU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: SMU: 23 - TCU: 35 (58)
SMU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
SMU Travel: 35 miles
Horned Frogs (12 - 1) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 38 - 13 (48 - 13 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
SMU's 2009 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 SMU vs Stephen F. Austin-23.5
Sat 9/12 SMU at UAB+2.5
Sat 9/19 SMU at Washington State+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/3 SMU at TCU+2.5
Sat 10/10 SMU vs East Carolina-23.5
Sat 10/17 SMU vs Navy-23.5
Sat 10/24 SMU at Houston+2.5
Sat 10/31 SMU at Tulsa+2.5
Sat 11/7 SMU vs Rice-23.5
Sat 11/14 SMU vs UTEP-23.5
Sat 11/21 SMU at Marshall+2.5
Sat 11/28 SMU vs Tulane-23.5
Thu 12/24 SMU vs Nevada-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for SMU's Schedule
TCU's 2009 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/12 TCU at Virginia+2.5
Sat 9/19 TCU vs Texas State-23.5
Sat 9/26 TCU at Clemson+2.5
Sat 10/3 TCU vs SMU-23.5
Sat 10/10 TCU at Air Force+2.5
Sat 10/17 TCU vs Colorado State-23.5
Sat 10/24 TCU at BYU+2.5
Sat 10/31 TCU vs UNLV-23.5
Sat 11/7 TCU at San Diego State+2.5
Sat 11/14 TCU vs Utah-23.5
Sat 11/21 TCU at Wyoming+2.5
Sat 11/28 TCU vs New Mexico-23.5
Mon 1/4 TCU vs Boise State-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for TCU's Schedule
Important Stats (2009)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SMU.0441%29.238%2.8611041%298-0.24.0541%27.644%37%058.922.2
TCU.0748%38.348%3.5224046%223-0.19-.0830%12.829%28%-0.1652.21.81.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SMU#38 (.24)44% (53)44% (62)2.97 (83)16944% (45)2634.41 (25)#5 (.03)37% (9)39% (35)35% (10)3.09 (13)77.71.71.6
TCU#18 (.3)47% (20)45% (53)2.95 (85)10649% (9)2934.46 (20)#82 (.19)42% (67)46% (102)36% (18)3.82 (72)49.71.61.1



Overall Stats 2009
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SMU Offense1329.224.841%-0.242203921102983.839%60%38%41%4%.04
TCU Defense1312.813.229.5%-0.161.9 - - - - - 46%52%29%28%2%-.08
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SMU Defense1327.631.241.3%02.2 - - - - - 50%49%44%37%4%.05
TCU Offense1338.347.747.6%-0.191.8244572402235.258%40%48%46%1%.07

Additional Stats 2009
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
SMU1319:1919.631%45%7.258.922.200230.3
TCU1319:1223.841%40%5.552.21.81.900636.1
Run Game Stats (2009)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SMU Offense1339%38%29.1109.83.823-.052.8652%0%0.73
TCU Defense1346%29% - - - - -.132.2452%0%0.77
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SMU Defense1350%44% - - - - .023.1163%0%0.66
TCU Offense1358%48%45.8239.55.235.043.5267%0%0.61

Pass Game Stats (2009)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SMU Offense1360%41%2236.3298.48.213.62214.111.134%29%.194%1.5
TCU Defense1352%28% - - - - - - 14-.021.439%21%.082%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SMU Defense1349%37% - - - - - - 17.081.430%28%.174%1.7
TCU Offense1340%46%15.525.12238.914.4248.141.125%30%.161%1.3

SMU's Power Ratings
SMU's Power Rating: NR
SMU's Offense Rating: NR
SMU's Defense Rating: NR
2009 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
SMU's 2009 Expected Record: -
SMU's 2009 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
SMU's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
SMU's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
SMU:    TCU: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
SMU:    TCU:




TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
TCU's Offense Rating: NR
TCU's Defense Rating: NR
2009 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
TCU's 2009 Expected Record: -
TCU's 2009 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


SMU Scoring
Offense: 29.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.8
Defense: 27.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.2

SMU's 2009 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
TCU 35
SMU 23

Total Points: 58

Based on Last 4 Games
TCU 35
SMU 26

Total Points: 60

Based on Entire Season
TCU 36
SMU 20

Total Points: 56
TCU Scoring
Offense: 38.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 47.7
Defense: 12.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.2

TCU's 2009 Record
Record: 12 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/20TCU35SMU24TCU -6.5TCU63.5Under
202409/21SMU66TCU42TCU -1SMU58.5Over
202309/23TCU34SMU17TCU -7TCU63.5Under
202209/24SMU34TCU42TCU -2.5TCU72.0Over
202109/25TCU34SMU42TCU -8SMU66.0Over
201909/21TCU38SMU41TCU -7.5SMU54.5Over
201809/07SMU12TCU42TCU -23.5TCU59.5Under
201709/16TCU56SMU36TCU -22SMU64.5Over
201609/23SMU3TCU33TCU -24TCU68.0Under
201509/19TCU56SMU37TCU -38SMU68.5Over
201409/27SMU0TCU56TCU -31TCU0
201309/28TCU48SMU17TCU -19.5TCU0
201209/29SMU16TCU24
201110/01TCU33SMU40
201009/24SMU24TCU41
200910/03TCU39SMU14
200809/20SMU7TCU48
200709/22TCU21SMU7
200509/10SMU21TCU10
200409/11TCU44SMU0
200311/29SMU13TCU20
200209/14TCU17SMU6
200109/08SMU10TCU38
200011/23SMU7TCU62
TeamWinsCoversO/U
TCU1976 Overs
SMU554 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 134 - 83 - 41 - 4
Road Teams13 - 118 - 44 - 14 - 3

(#) SMU at (#) TCU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSMUTCU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
SMU on Offense
CategoryCat
SMU OffTCU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
SMU Run Game
CategoryCat
SMU OffTCU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
SMU Pass Game
CategoryCat
SMU OffTCU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
TCU on Offense
CategoryCatTCU OffSMU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
TCU Run Game
CategoryCat
TCU OffSMU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
TCU Pass Game
CategoryCatTCU OffSMU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TCU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'09 Profile: Remains Poor G5

SMU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'09 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Amon G. Carter Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 63° - Wind: 8 mph
Rain: 0.02
Rematch from Week 5
()
TCU won vs SMU this year (39-14)

Previous Matchups
SMU beat TCU last year (66-42)
TCU beat SMU in 2023 (34-17)
TCU beat SMU in 2022 (42-34)

  
SMU's OC ()
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Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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SMU's DC ()
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SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

TCU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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TCU's DC ()
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Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD