Colorado State at TCU - 2009 Matchup Preview
Colorado State logo Colorado State Rams at TCU Horned FrogsTCU logo
Saturday, October 17th 2009 (4:00 PM EDT)
TCU 44 - Colorado State: 6  (Mountain West)

 
Rams (3 - 9) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 22 - 30 (21 - 33 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TCU is playing their 7th straight game
CSU is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)

Projected Score: CSU: 19 - TCU: 37 (56)
CSU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
CSU Travel: 691 miles, 1 hrs behind
Horned Frogs (12 - 1) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 38 - 13 (48 - 13 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Colorado State's 2009 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 9/6 Colorado State at Colorado+2.5
Sat 9/12 Colorado State vs Weber State-23.5
Sat 9/19 Colorado State vs Nevada-23.5
Sat 9/26 Colorado State at BYU+2.5
Sat 10/3 Colorado State at Idaho+2.5
Sat 10/10 Colorado State vs Utah-23.5
Sat 10/17 Colorado State at TCU+2.5
Sat 10/24 Colorado State vs San Diego State-23.5
Sat 10/31 Colorado State vs Air Force-23.5
Sat 11/7 Colorado State at UNLV+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/21 Colorado State at New Mexico+2.5
Fri 11/27 Colorado State vs Wyoming-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Colorado State's Schedule
TCU's 2009 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/12 TCU at Virginia+2.5
Sat 9/19 TCU vs Texas State-23.5
Sat 9/26 TCU at Clemson+2.5
Sat 10/3 TCU vs SMU-23.5
Sat 10/10 TCU at Air Force+2.5
Sat 10/17 TCU vs Colorado State-23.5
Sat 10/24 TCU at BYU+2.5
Sat 10/31 TCU vs UNLV-23.5
Sat 11/7 TCU at San Diego State+2.5
Sat 11/14 TCU vs Utah-23.5
Sat 11/21 TCU at Wyoming+2.5
Sat 11/28 TCU vs New Mexico-23.5
Mon 1/4 TCU vs Boise State-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for TCU's Schedule
Important Stats (2009)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CSU.0542%21.742%3.0714441%221-0.1.0944%29.844%43%-0.1650.91.61.6
TCU.0748%38.348%3.5224046%223-0.19-.0830%12.829%28%-0.1652.21.81.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CSU#90 (.16)42% (76)43% (80)2.88 (96)16241% (81)1923.56 (98)#61 (.16)42% (78)42% (59)43% (94)4 (88)47.31.21.5
TCU#18 (.3)47% (20)45% (53)2.95 (85)10649% (9)2934.46 (20)#82 (.19)42% (67)46% (102)36% (18)3.82 (72)49.71.61.1



Overall Stats 2009
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CSU Offense1221.720.742.2%-0.11.6183511442214.252%46%42%41%3%.05
TCU Defense1312.813.229.5%-0.161.9 - - - - - 46%52%29%28%2%-.08
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CSU Defense1229.83344.5%-0.161.6 - - - - - 49%50%44%43%2%.09
TCU Offense1338.347.747.6%-0.191.8244572402235.258%40%48%46%1%.07

Additional Stats 2009
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Colorado State1217:5218.335%50%5.850.91.61.600129.5
TCU1319:1223.841%40%5.552.21.81.900636.1
Run Game Stats (2009)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CSU Offense1252%42%34.7144.34.215-3.0769%0%0.71
TCU Defense1346%29% - - - - -.132.2452%0%0.77
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CSU Defense1249%44% - - - - .012.9362%0%0.71
TCU Offense1358%48%45.8239.55.235.043.5267%0%0.61

Pass Game Stats (2009)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CSU Offense1246%41%15.127.1221.38.214.71715.131.332%26%.053%1.4
TCU Defense1352%28% - - - - - - 14-.021.439%21%.082%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CSU Defense1250%43% - - - - - - 11.181.230%35%.262%1.5
TCU Offense1340%46%15.525.12238.914.4248.141.125%30%.161%1.3

Colorado State's Power Ratings
Colorado State's Power Rating: NR
Colorado State's Offense Rating: NR
Colorado State's Defense Rating: NR
2009 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Colorado State's 2009 Expected Record: -
Colorado State's 2009 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Colorado State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Colorado State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Colorado State:    TCU: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Colorado State:    TCU:




TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
TCU's Offense Rating: NR
TCU's Defense Rating: NR
2009 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
TCU's 2009 Expected Record: -
TCU's 2009 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Colorado State Scoring
Offense: 21.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.7
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 33

Colorado State's 2009 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
TCU 37
Colorado State 19


Total Points: 56

Based on Last 4 Games
TCU 36
Colorado State 21

Total Points: 58

Based on Entire Season
TCU 37
Colorado State 17

Total Points: 54
TCU Scoring
Offense: 38.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 47.7
Defense: 12.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.2

TCU's 2009 Record
Record: 12 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201111/19TCU34Colorado State10
201010/02Colorado State0TCU27
200910/17TCU44Colorado State6
200810/11Colorado State7TCU13
200709/29TCU24Colorado State12
200611/25Colorado State14TCU45
200511/05TCU33Colorado State6
200212/31Colorado State3TCU17
TeamWinsCoversO/U
TCU800 Overs
Colorado State000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 40 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams4 - 40 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#) CSU at (#) TCU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCSUTCU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Colorado State on Offense
CategoryCat
CSU OffTCU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Colorado State Run Game
CategoryCat
CSU OffTCU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Colorado State Pass Game
CategoryCat
CSU OffTCU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
TCU on Offense
CategoryCatTCU OffCSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
TCU Run Game
CategoryCat
TCU OffCSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
TCU Pass Game
CategoryCatTCU OffCSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TCU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'09 Profile: Remains Poor G5

CSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'09 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Amon G. Carter Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 74° - Wind: 11 mph
Rematch from Week 7
()
TCU won vs Colorado State this year (44-6)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
CSU's OC ()
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TCU's OC ()
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TCU's DC ()
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