Air Force at BYU - 2009 Matchup Preview
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Air Force Falcons at BYU Cougars

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Saturday, November 21st 2009 (3:30 PM EST)
BYU 38 - Air Force: 21  (Mountain West)

 
Falcons (8 - 5) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 30 (32 - 33 on Road)
'09 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
AFA is playing their 12th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: AFA: 24 - BYU: 34 (58)
AFA Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
AFA Travel: 373 miles
Cougars (11 - 2) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 19 (41 - 14 @ Home)
'09 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Air Force's 2009 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Air Force vs Nicholls-23.5
Sat 9/12 Air Force at Minnesota+2.5
Sat 9/19 Air Force at New Mexico+2.5
Sat 9/26 Air Force vs San Diego State-23.5
Sat 10/3 Air Force at Navy+2.5
Sat 10/10 Air Force vs TCU-23.5
Sat 10/17 Air Force vs Wyoming-23.5
Sat 10/24 Air Force at Utah+2.5
Sat 10/31 Air Force at Colorado State+2.5
Sat 11/7 Air Force vs Army-23.5
Sat 11/14 Air Force vs UNLV-23.5
Sat 11/21 Air Force at BYU+2.5
Thu 12/31 Air Force vs Houston-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Air Force's Schedule
BYU's 2009 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 BYU vs Oklahoma+2.5
Sat 9/12 BYU at Tulane+2.5
Sat 9/19 BYU vs Florida State-23.5
Sat 9/26 BYU vs Colorado State-23.5
Fri 10/2 BYU vs Utah State-23.5
Sat 10/10 BYU at UNLV+2.5
Sat 10/17 BYU at San Diego State+2.5
Sat 10/24 BYU vs TCU-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/7 BYU at Wyoming+2.5
Sat 11/14 BYU at New Mexico+2.5
Sat 11/21 BYU vs Air Force-23.5
Sat 11/28 BYU vs Utah-23.5
Tue 12/22 BYU vs Oregon State-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for BYU's Schedule
Important Stats (2008)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AFA.0138%29.836%2.6326735%84-0.22.0441%30.339%43%-0.146.31.32.5
BYU.1753%31.447%3.3413456%320-0.14.0842%19.140%42%-0.268.12.62.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AFA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
BYU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2008
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AFA Offense1329.832.237.7%-0.221.318349267844.580%16%36%35%2%.01
BYU Defense1319.113.741.6%-0.22.5 - - - - - 50%49%40%42%2%.08
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AFA Defense1330.332.841.3%-0.12.5 - - - - - 57%41%39%43%2%.04
BYU Offense1331.440.552.8%-0.142.6244441343204.143%56%47%56%2%.17

Additional Stats 2008
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Air Force1318:5618.543%54%5.646.31.32.500130.7
BYU1318:2324.256%70%7.768.12.62.500132.7
Run Game Stats (2009)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AFA Offense1380%36%59.8266.94.527-.012.6374%0%0.82
BYU Defense1350%40% - - - - .022.7366%0%0.8
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AFA Defense1357%39% - - - - 2.9756%0%0.84
BYU Offense1343%47%32.6133.74.121.053.3473%0%0.61

Pass Game Stats (2009)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AFA Offense1316%35%5.710.684.4814.896.211.535%31%.212%1.3
BYU Defense1349%42% - - - - - - 9.151.232%36%.292%1.4
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AFA Defense1341%43% - - - - - - 12.111.231%33%.182%1.6
BYU Offense1356%56%2638320.18.412.33514.27126%41%.432%1.5

Air Force's Power Ratings
Air Force's Power Rating: NR
Air Force's Offense Rating: NR
Air Force's Defense Rating: NR
2009 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Air Force's 2009 Expected Record: -
Air Force's 2009 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Air Force:    BYU: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Air Force:    BYU:




BYU's Power Ratings
BYU's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
BYU's Offense Rating: NR
BYU's Defense Rating: NR
2009 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
BYU's 2009 Expected Record: -
BYU's 2009 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
BYU's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
BYU's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Air Force Scoring
Offense: 29.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 32.2
Defense: 30.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8

Air Force's 2009 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
BYU 34
Air Force 24

Projected Total Points: 58
BYU Scoring
Offense: 31.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 40.5
Defense: 19.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.7

BYU's 2009 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201009/11Air Force35BYU14
200911/21BYU38Air Force21
200811/15Air Force24BYU38
200709/22BYU31Air Force6
200610/28Air Force14BYU33
200510/29BYU62Air Force41
200410/23Air Force24BYU41
200309/27BYU10Air Force24
200210/12Air Force52BYU9
200110/20BYU63Air Force33
200009/08Air Force31BYU23
TeamWinsCoversO/U
BYU700 Overs
Air Force400 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 40 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams4 - 70 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#) AFA at (#) BYU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatAFABYU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Air Force on Offense
CategoryCat
AFA OffBYU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Air Force Run Game
CategoryCat
AFA OffBYU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Air Force Pass Game
CategoryCat
AFA OffBYU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
BYU on Offense
CategoryCatBYU OffAFA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
BYU Run Game
CategoryCat
BYU OffAFA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
BYU Pass Game
CategoryCatBYU OffAFA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
BYU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'09 Profile: Remains Poor G5

AFA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'09 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in LaVell Edwards Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 12
()
BYU won vs Air Force this year (38-21)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
AFA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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AFA's DC ()
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SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

BYU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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BYU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD