Air Force at BYU - 2009 Matchup Preview
Air Force logo Air Force Falcons at BYU Cougars(#12)BYU logo
Saturday, November 21st 2009 (3:30 PM EST)
BYU 38 - Air Force: 21  (Mountain West)

 
Falcons (8 - 5) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 16 (22 - 21 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
AFA is playing their 12th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: AFA: 28 - BYU: 22 (50)
AFA Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
AFA Travel: 373 miles
Cougars (11 - 2) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 36 - 22 (29 - 29 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Air Force's 2009 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Air Force vs Nicholls-23.5
Sat 9/12 Air Force at Minnesota+2.5
Sat 9/19 Air Force at New Mexico+2.5
Sat 9/26 Air Force vs San Diego State-23.5
Sat 10/3 Air Force at Navy+2.5
Sat 10/10 Air Force vs TCU-23.5
Sat 10/17 Air Force vs Wyoming-23.5
Sat 10/24 Air Force at Utah+2.5
Sat 10/31 Air Force at Colorado State+2.5
Sat 11/7 Air Force vs Army-23.5
Sat 11/14 Air Force vs UNLV-23.5
Sat 11/21 Air Force at BYU+2.5
Thu 12/31 Air Force vs Houston-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Air Force's Schedule
BYU's 2009 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 BYU vs Oklahoma+2.5
Sat 9/12 BYU at Tulane+2.5
Sat 9/19 BYU vs Florida State-23.5
Sat 9/26 BYU vs Colorado State-23.5
Fri 10/2 BYU vs Utah State-23.5
Sat 10/10 BYU at UNLV+2.5
Sat 10/17 BYU at San Diego State+2.5
Sat 10/24 BYU vs TCU-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/7 BYU at Wyoming+2.5
Sat 11/14 BYU at New Mexico+2.5
Sat 11/21 BYU vs Air Force-23.5
Sat 11/28 BYU vs Utah-23.5
Tue 12/22 BYU vs Oregon State-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for BYU's Schedule
Important Stats (2009)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AFA.0541%29.741%3.0728333%95-0.16-.0238%15.735%40%-0.2543.70.92.6
BYU.1849%35.544%2.9614652%292-0.22.0339%21.538%37%068.31.81.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AFA#103 (.13)42% (77)45% (60)3.03 (68)22531% (131)904.02 (56)#88 (.2)42% (68)41% (47)43% (89)3.97 (84)281.31
BYU#51 (.22)45% (44)47% (30)3.23 (37)14843% (59)2163.73 (88)#41 (.13)41% (65)46% (99)37% (28)3.79 (68)371.42.1



Overall Stats 2009
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AFA Offense1329.722.340.8%-0.160.920372283954.580%17%41%33%2%.05
BYU Defense1321.529.338.8%01.8 - - - - - 45%53%38%37%3%.03
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AFA Defense1315.72138.5%-0.252.6 - - - - - 56%43%35%40%2%-.02
BYU Offense1335.529.348.7%-0.221.822427146292448%51%44%52%3%.18

Additional Stats 2009
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Air Force1319:5220.144%71%4.843.70.92.600532.9
BYU1318:3922.456%38%7.268.31.81.800032.8
Run Game Stats (2009)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AFA Offense1380%41%62.7283.54.531.063.0772%0%0.77
BYU Defense1345%38% - - - - -.052.7861%0%0.65
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AFA Defense1356%35% - - - - -.022.8574%0%0.75
BYU Offense1348%44%36.2145.7426.022.9679%0%0.64

Pass Game Stats (2009)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AFA Offense1317%33%5.911.894.681683.071.530%31%.162%1.4
BYU Defense1353%37% - - - - - - 14.111.333%27%.13%1.5
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AFA Defense1343%40% - - - - - - 20-.020.935%26%.092%1.3
BYU Offense1351%52%21.732.2292.29.113.53414.341.230%36%.393%1.6

Air Force's Power Ratings
Air Force's Power Rating: NR
Air Force's Offense Rating: NR
Air Force's Defense Rating: NR
2009 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Air Force's 2009 Expected Record: -
Air Force's 2009 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Air Force:    BYU: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Air Force:    BYU:




BYU's Power Ratings
BYU's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
BYU's Offense Rating: NR
BYU's Defense Rating: NR
2009 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
BYU's 2009 Expected Record: -
BYU's 2009 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
BYU's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
BYU's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Air Force Scoring
Offense: 29.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.3
Defense: 15.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 21

Air Force's 2009 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Air Force 28
BYU 22

Total Points: 50

Based on Last 4 Games
Air Force 29
BYU 18

Total Points: 47

Based on Entire Season
Air Force 26
BYU 26

Total Points: 52
BYU Scoring
Offense: 35.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.3
Defense: 21.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 29.3

BYU's 2009 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201009/11Air Force35BYU14
200911/21BYU38Air Force21
200811/15Air Force24BYU38
200709/22BYU31Air Force6
200610/28Air Force14BYU33
200510/29BYU62Air Force41
200410/23Air Force24BYU41
200309/27BYU10Air Force24
200210/12Air Force52BYU9
200110/20BYU63Air Force33
200009/08Air Force31BYU23
TeamWinsCoversO/U
BYU700 Overs
Air Force400 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 40 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams4 - 70 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#) AFA at (#) BYU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatAFABYU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Air Force on Offense
CategoryCat
AFA OffBYU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Air Force Run Game
CategoryCat
AFA OffBYU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Air Force Pass Game
CategoryCat
AFA OffBYU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
BYU on Offense
CategoryCatBYU OffAFA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
BYU Run Game
CategoryCat
BYU OffAFA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
BYU Pass Game
CategoryCatBYU OffAFA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
BYU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'09 Profile: Remains Poor G5

AFA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'09 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in LaVell Edwards Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 42° - Wind: 11 mph
Rematch from Week 12
()
BYU won vs Air Force this year (38-21)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
AFA's OC ()
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AFA's DC ()
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BYU's OC ()
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BYU's DC ()
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