Air Force at Minnesota - 2009 Matchup Preview
Air Force logo Air Force Falcons at Minnesota Golden GophersMinnesota logo
Saturday, September 12th 2009 (7:00 PM EDT)
Minnesota 20 - Air Force: 13  (Big Ten)

 
Falcons (8 - 5) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 16 (22 - 21 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: AFA: 30 - MINN: 21 (51)
AFA Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
AFA Travel: 725 miles, 1 hrs behind
Golden Gophers (6 - 7) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 21 - 24 (28 - 26 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Air Force's 2009 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Air Force vs Nicholls-23.5
Sat 9/12 Air Force at Minnesota+2.5
Sat 9/19 Air Force at New Mexico+2.5
Sat 9/26 Air Force vs San Diego State-23.5
Sat 10/3 Air Force at Navy+2.5
Sat 10/10 Air Force vs TCU-23.5
Sat 10/17 Air Force vs Wyoming-23.5
Sat 10/24 Air Force at Utah+2.5
Sat 10/31 Air Force at Colorado State+2.5
Sat 11/7 Air Force vs Army-23.5
Sat 11/14 Air Force vs UNLV-23.5
Sat 11/21 Air Force at BYU+2.5
Thu 12/31 Air Force vs Houston-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Air Force's Schedule
Minnesota's 2009 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Minnesota at Syracuse+2.5
Sat 9/12 Minnesota vs Air Force-23.5
Sat 9/19 Minnesota vs California-23.5
Sat 9/26 Minnesota at Northwestern+2.5
Sat 10/3 Minnesota vs Wisconsin-23.5
Sat 10/10 Minnesota vs Purdue-23.5
Sat 10/17 Minnesota at Penn State+2.5
Sat 10/24 Minnesota at Ohio State+2.5
Sat 10/31 Minnesota vs Michigan State-23.5
Sat 11/7 Minnesota vs Illinois-23.5
Sat 11/14 Minnesota vs South Dakota State-23.5
Sat 11/21 Minnesota at Iowa+2.5
Thu 12/31 Minnesota vs Iowa State+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Minnesota's Schedule
Important Stats (2009)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AFA.0541%29.741%3.0728333%95-0.16-.0238%15.735%40%-0.2543.70.92.6
MINN-36%20.935%2.629934%227-0.4.0442%23.840%41%-0.0952.22.22.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AFA#103 (.13)42% (77)45% (60)3.03 (68)22531% (131)904.02 (56)#88 (.2)42% (68)41% (47)43% (89)3.97 (84)281.31
MINN#64 (.2)45% (39)44% (65)2.7 (119)10346% (29)2044.38 (27)#16 (.08)39% (35)36% (8)42% (80)3.32 (23)35.60.81.5



Overall Stats 2009
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AFA Offense1329.722.340.8%-0.160.920372283954.580%17%41%33%2%.05
MINN Defense1323.825.941.6%-0.092.2 - - - - - 53%46%40%41%2%.04
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AFA Defense1315.72138.5%-0.252.6 - - - - - 56%43%35%40%2%-.02
MINN Offense1320.927.735.9%-0.42.21630699227347%51%35%34%2%-

Additional Stats 2009
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Air Force1319:5220.144%71%4.843.70.92.600532.9
Minnesota1317:3815.934%33%6.252.22.22.200131.1
Run Game Stats (2009)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AFA Offense1380%41%62.7283.54.531.063.0772%0%0.77
MINN Defense1353%40% - - - - -.032.5861%0%0.76
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AFA Defense1356%35% - - - - -.022.8574%0%0.75
MINN Offense1347%35%33.199.5313-.062.6268%0%0.7

Pass Game Stats (2009)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AFA Offense1317%33%5.911.894.681683.071.530%31%.162%1.4
MINN Defense1346%41% - - - - - - 12.151.233%37%.32%1.5
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AFA Defense1343%40% - - - - - - 20-.020.935%26%.092%1.3
MINN Offense1351%34%15.329.6226.87.714.81516.071.436%28%.182%1.5

Air Force's Power Ratings
Air Force's Power Rating: NR
Air Force's Offense Rating: NR
Air Force's Defense Rating: NR
2009 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Air Force's 2009 Expected Record: -
Air Force's 2009 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Air Force:    Minnesota: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Air Force:    Minnesota:




Minnesota's Power Ratings
Minnesota's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Minnesota's Offense Rating: NR
Minnesota's Defense Rating: NR
2009 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Minnesota's 2009 Expected Record: -
Minnesota's 2009 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Minnesota's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Minnesota's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Air Force Scoring
Offense: 29.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.3
Defense: 15.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 21

Air Force's 2009 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Air Force 30
Minnesota 21

Total Points: 51

Based on Last 4 Games
Air Force 34
Minnesota 22

Total Points: 55

Based on Entire Season
Air Force 26
Minnesota 21

Total Points: 47
Minnesota Scoring
Offense: 20.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.7
Defense: 23.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.9

Minnesota's 2009 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
200909/12Minnesota20Air Force13
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Minnesota100 Overs
Air Force000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#) AFA at (#) MINN
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatAFAMINN
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Air Force on Offense
CategoryCat
AFA OffMINN Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Air Force Run Game
CategoryCat
AFA OffMINN Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Air Force Pass Game
CategoryCat
AFA OffMINN Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Minnesota on Offense
CategoryCatMINN OffAFA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Minnesota Run Game
CategoryCat
MINN OffAFA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Minnesota Pass Game
CategoryCatMINN OffAFA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MINN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'09 Profile: Remains Poor G5

AFA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'09 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Huntington Bank Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 78° - Wind: 9 mph
Rematch from Week 2
()
Minnesota won vs Air Force this year (20-13)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
AFA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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AFA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

MINN's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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MINN's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD