LSU at Mississippi State - 2009 Matchup Preview
LSU logo (#3)LSU Tigers at Mississippi State BulldogsMississippi State logo
Saturday, September 26th 2009 (12:00 PM EDT)
LSU 30 - Mississippi State: 26  (SEC)

 
Tigers (9 - 4) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 16 (24 - 22 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MSST is playing their 4th straight game
LSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: LSU: 24 - MSST: 24 (48)
LSU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
LSU Travel: 253 miles
Bulldogs (5 - 7) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 27 (27 - 28 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
LSU's 2009 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 LSU at Washington+2.5
Sat 9/12 LSU vs Vanderbilt-23.5
Sat 9/19 LSU vs Louisiana-23.5
Sat 9/26 LSU at Mississippi State+2.5
Sat 10/3 LSU at Georgia+2.5
Sat 10/10 LSU vs Florida-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24 LSU vs Auburn-23.5
Sat 10/31 LSU vs Tulane-23.5
Sat 11/7 LSU at Alabama+2.5
Sat 11/14 LSU vs Louisiana Tech-23.5
Sat 11/21 LSU at Ole Miss+2.5
Sat 11/28 LSU vs Arkansas-23.5
Fri 1/1 LSU vs Penn State-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for LSU's Schedule
Mississippi State's 2009 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Mississippi State vs Jackson State-23.5
Sat 9/12 Mississippi State at Auburn+2.5
Sat 9/19 Mississippi State at Vanderbilt+2.5
Sat 9/26 Mississippi State vs LSU-23.5
Sat 10/3 Mississippi State vs Georgia Tech-23.5
Sat 10/10 Mississippi State vs Houston-23.5
Sat 10/17 Mississippi State at Middle Tennessee+2.5
Sat 10/24 Mississippi State vs Florida-23.5
Sat 10/31 Mississippi State at Kentucky+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/14 Mississippi State vs Alabama-23.5
Sat 11/21 Mississippi State at Arkansas+2.5
Sat 11/28 Mississippi State vs Ole Miss-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Mississippi State's Schedule
Important Stats (2009)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LSU.0440%24.839%2.9112339%201-0.18-.0338%16.239%34%048.71.11.4
MSST.0342%25.644%2.9822837%1550-.0141%26.840%41%-0.4444.62.52.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LSU#30 (.25)45% (38)42% (89)2.92 (90)10847% (24)2913.99 (60)#92 (.21)41% (60)41% (54)41% (73)3.44 (30)45.71.21
MSST#78 (.17)39% (109)40% (105)2.9 (93)13938% (104)2393.75 (86)#130 (.32)50% (133)47% (108)55% (134)4.32 (113)60.31.50.9



Overall Stats 2009
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LSU Offense1324.823.840.1%-0.181.1173051232013.750%47%39%39%2%.04
MSST Defense1226.828.141.3%-0.442.1 - - - - - 53%45%40%41%3%-.01
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LSU Defense1316.222.238.1%01.4 - - - - - 51%46%39%34%2%-.03
MSST Offense1225.62742.2%02.5193722281554.964%34%44%37%3%.03

Additional Stats 2009
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
LSU1317:1617.438%25%6.648.71.11.400431.8
Mississippi State1219:1219.133%56%5.544.62.52.100733
Run Game Stats (2009)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LSU Offense1350%39%33.5122.83.715.022.9159%0%0.8
MSST Defense1253%40% - - - - -.052.3366%0%0.71
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LSU Defense1351%39% - - - - -.072.563%0%0.8
MSST Offense1264%44%46.3227.64.921.042.9862%0%0.81

Pass Game Stats (2009)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LSU Offense1347%39%15.225.8201.47.813.2198.091.234%31%.262%1.6
MSST Defense1245%41% - - - - - - 17.061.130%30%.163%1.5
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LSU Defense1346%34% - - - - - - 13.051.336%31%.172%1.5
MSST Offense1234%37%12.822.2155.2712.2917.021.232%30%.123%1.2

LSU's Power Ratings
LSU's Power Rating: NR
LSU's Offense Rating: NR
LSU's Defense Rating: NR
2009 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
LSU's 2009 Expected Record: -
LSU's 2009 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
LSU's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
LSU's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
LSU:    Mississippi State: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
LSU:    Mississippi State:




Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: NR
2009 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Mississippi State's 2009 Expected Record: -
Mississippi State's 2009 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


LSU Scoring
Offense: 24.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.8
Defense: 16.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.2

LSU's 2009 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
LSU 24
Mississippi State 24

Total Points: 48

Based on Last 4 Games
Mississippi State 26
LSU 22

Total Points: 48

Based on Entire Season
LSU 26
Mississippi State 23

Total Points: 49
Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 25.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 27
Defense: 26.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.1

Mississippi State's 2009 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/16Mississippi State14LSU41LSU -9.5LSU54.0Over
202209/17LSU31Mississippi State16Mississippi State -3LSU53.0Under
202109/25Mississippi State25LSU28LSU -1.5LSU54.5Under
202009/26LSU34Mississippi State44LSU -14.5Mississippi State57.0Over
201910/19Mississippi State13LSU36LSU -17.5LSU62.0Under
201810/20LSU19Mississippi State3LSU -6LSU45.5Under
201709/16Mississippi State37LSU7LSU -7.5Mississippi State53.5Under
201609/17LSU23Mississippi State20LSU -13Mississippi State47.0Under
201509/12Mississippi State19LSU21LSU -3Mississippi State52.5Under
201409/20LSU29Mississippi State34LSU -7Mississippi State0
201310/05Mississippi State26LSU59LSU -9.5LSU0
201211/10LSU37Mississippi State17
201109/15Mississippi State6LSU19
201009/18LSU29Mississippi State7
200909/26Mississippi State26LSU30
200809/27LSU34Mississippi State24
200708/30Mississippi State0LSU45
200609/30LSU48Mississippi State17
200510/01Mississippi State7LSU37
200409/25LSU51Mississippi State0
200309/27Mississippi State6LSU41
200209/28LSU31Mississippi State13
200110/20Mississippi State0LSU42
200010/20LSU45Mississippi State38
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Mississippi State352 Overs
LSU2167 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 134 - 71 - 33 - 4
Road Teams13 - 117 - 44 - 33 - 1

(#) LSU at (#) MSST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatLSUMSST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
LSU on Offense
CategoryCat
LSU OffMSST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
LSU Run Game
CategoryCat
LSU OffMSST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
LSU Pass Game
CategoryCat
LSU OffMSST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Mississippi State on Offense
CategoryCatMSST OffLSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Mississippi State Run Game
CategoryCat
MSST OffLSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Mississippi State Pass Game
CategoryCatMSST OffLSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MSST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'09 Profile: Remains Poor G5

LSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'09 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Davis Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 4
()
LSU won at Mississippi State this year (30-26)

Previous Matchups
LSU beat Mississippi State in 2023 (41-14)
LSU beat Mississippi State in 2022 (31-16)

  
LSU's OC ()
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LSU's DC ()
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MSST's OC ()
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Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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MSST's DC ()
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