Ole Miss at Mississippi State - 2009 Matchup Preview
 
Rebels (9 - 4) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 18 (25 - 22 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MISS is playing their 11th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: MISS: 28 - MSST: 22 (50)
MISS Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
MISS Travel: 76 miles
Bulldogs (5 - 7) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 27 (27 - 28 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Ole Miss's 2009 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 9/6 Ole Miss at Memphis+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19 Ole Miss vs SE Louisiana-23.5
Thu 9/24 Ole Miss at South Carolina+2.5
Sat 10/3 Ole Miss at Vanderbilt+2.5
Sat 10/10 Ole Miss vs Alabama-23.5
Sat 10/17 Ole Miss vs UAB-23.5
Sat 10/24 Ole Miss vs Arkansas-23.5
Sat 10/31 Ole Miss at Auburn+2.5
Sat 11/7 Ole Miss vs Northern Arizona-23.5
Sat 11/14 Ole Miss vs Tennessee-23.5
Sat 11/21 Ole Miss vs LSU-23.5
Sat 11/28 Ole Miss at Mississippi State+2.5
Sat 1/2 Ole Miss vs Oklahoma State-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ole Miss's Schedule
Mississippi State's 2009 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Mississippi State vs Jackson State-23.5
Sat 9/12 Mississippi State at Auburn+2.5
Sat 9/19 Mississippi State at Vanderbilt+2.5
Sat 9/26 Mississippi State vs LSU-23.5
Sat 10/3 Mississippi State vs Georgia Tech-23.5
Sat 10/10 Mississippi State vs Houston-23.5
Sat 10/17 Mississippi State at Middle Tennessee+2.5
Sat 10/24 Mississippi State vs Florida-23.5
Sat 10/31 Mississippi State at Kentucky+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/14 Mississippi State vs Alabama-23.5
Sat 11/21 Mississippi State at Arkansas+2.5
Sat 11/28 Mississippi State vs Ole Miss-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Mississippi State's Schedule
Important Stats (2009)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MISS.0342%29.540%2.8218443%228-0.15-.0236%17.740%30%042.22.41.8
MSST.0342%25.644%2.9822837%1550-.0141%26.840%41%-0.4444.62.52.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MISS#4 (.34)47% (19)44% (76)3.02 (72)16451% (3)3174 (58)#6 (.04)35% (3)35% (6)36% (13)2.98 (8)68.50.91.6
MSST#78 (.17)39% (109)40% (105)2.9 (93)13938% (104)2393.75 (86)#130 (.32)50% (133)47% (108)55% (134)4.32 (113)60.31.50.9



Overall Stats 2009
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MISS Offense1329.52542.3%-0.152.4204021842284.854%44%40%43%5%.03
MSST Defense1226.828.141.3%-0.442.1 - - - - - 53%45%40%41%3%-.01
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MISS Defense1317.722.236.4%01.8 - - - - - 50%48%40%30%3%-.02
MSST Offense1225.62742.2%02.5193722281554.964%34%44%37%3%.03

Additional Stats 2009
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Ole Miss1318:4720.541%53%5.542.22.41.800433
Mississippi State1219:1219.133%56%5.544.62.52.100733
Run Game Stats (2009)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MISS Offense1354%40%38.7183.64.822-.022.8259%0%0.8
MSST Defense1253%40% - - - - -.052.3366%0%0.71
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MISS Defense1350%40% - - - - -.022.6551%0%0.9
MSST Offense1264%44%46.3227.64.921.042.9862%0%0.81

Pass Game Stats (2009)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MISS Offense1344%43%15.829227.67.914.42221.111.231%36%.25%1.4
MSST Defense1245%41% - - - - - - 17.061.130%30%.163%1.5
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MISS Defense1348%30% - - - - - - 13-.011.237%28%.143%1.3
MSST Offense1234%37%12.822.2155.2712.2917.021.232%30%.123%1.2

Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: NR
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2009 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Ole Miss's 2009 Expected Record: -
Ole Miss's 2009 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss:    Mississippi State: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss:    Mississippi State:




Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: NR
2009 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Mississippi State's 2009 Expected Record: -
Mississippi State's 2009 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 25
Defense: 17.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.2

Ole Miss's 2009 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Ole Miss 28
Mississippi State 22

Total Points: 50

Based on Last 4 Games
Ole Miss 28
Mississippi State 21

Total Points: 49

Based on Entire Season
Ole Miss 27
Mississippi State 23

Total Points: 50
Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 25.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 27
Defense: 26.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.1

Mississippi State's 2009 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/28Mississippi State19Ole Miss38Ole Miss -7.5Ole Miss62.5Under
202411/29Ole Miss26Mississippi State14Ole Miss -26.5Mississippi State63.5Under
202311/23Mississippi State7Ole Miss17Ole Miss -11Mississippi State56.0Under
202211/24Ole Miss22Mississippi State24Ole Miss -2.5Mississippi State63.0Under
202111/25Mississippi State21Ole Miss31Mississippi State -2.5Ole Miss65.0Under
202011/28Ole Miss31Mississippi State24Ole Miss -10Mississippi State70.0Under
201911/28Mississippi State21Ole Miss20Mississippi State -1Push59.0Under
201811/22Ole Miss3Mississippi State35Mississippi State -12.5Mississippi State61.0Under
201711/23Mississippi State28Ole Miss31Mississippi State -14Ole Miss64.5Under
201611/26Ole Miss20Mississippi State55Ole Miss -8Mississippi State67.5Over
201511/28Mississippi State27Ole Miss38Ole Miss -2Ole Miss65.5Under
201411/29Ole Miss31Mississippi State17Mississippi State -2.5Ole Miss51.5Under
201311/28Mississippi State17Ole Miss10Ole Miss -3Mississippi State0
201211/24Ole Miss41Mississippi State24
201111/26Mississippi State31Ole Miss3
201011/27Ole Miss23Mississippi State31
200911/28Mississippi State41Ole Miss27
200811/28Ole Miss45Mississippi State0
200711/23Mississippi State17Ole Miss14
200611/25Ole Miss20Mississippi State17
200511/26Mississippi State35Ole Miss14
200411/27Ole Miss20Mississippi State3
200311/27Mississippi State0Ole Miss31
200111/22Mississippi State36Ole Miss28
200011/22Ole Miss45Mississippi State30
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Mississippi State1171 Overs
Ole Miss14511 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams15 - 103 - 90 - 63 - 3
Road Teams10 - 159 - 33 - 36 - 0

(#) MISS at (#) MSST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMISSMSST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Ole Miss on Offense
CategoryCat
MISS OffMSST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Ole Miss Run Game
CategoryCat
MISS OffMSST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Ole Miss Pass Game
CategoryCat
MISS OffMSST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Mississippi State on Offense
CategoryCatMSST OffMISS Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Mississippi State Run Game
CategoryCat
MSST OffMISS Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Mississippi State Pass Game
CategoryCatMSST OffMISS Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MSST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'09 Profile: Remains Poor G5

MISS 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'09 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Davis Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 53°
Rematch from Week 13
()
Mississippi State won vs Ole Miss this year (41-27)

Previous Matchups
Ole Miss beat Mississippi State last year (26-14)
Ole Miss beat Mississippi State in 2023 (17-7)
Mississippi State beat Ole Miss in 2022 (24-22)

  
MISS's OC ()
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MSST's OC ()
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MSST's DC ()
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