Mississippi State at Kentucky - 2009 Matchup Preview
 
Bulldogs (5 - 7) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 27 (24 - 25 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UK 2nd straight Home Game
UK is playing their 7th straight game
MSST is playing their 9th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: MSST: 25 - UK: 24 (49)
MSST Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
MSST Travel: 397 miles, 1 hrs behind
Wildcats (7 - 6) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 23 (26 - 27 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Mississippi State's 2009 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Mississippi State vs Jackson State-23.5
Sat 9/12 Mississippi State at Auburn+2.5
Sat 9/19 Mississippi State at Vanderbilt+2.5
Sat 9/26 Mississippi State vs LSU-23.5
Sat 10/3 Mississippi State vs Georgia Tech-23.5
Sat 10/10 Mississippi State vs Houston-23.5
Sat 10/17 Mississippi State at Middle Tennessee+2.5
Sat 10/24 Mississippi State vs Florida-23.5
Sat 10/31 Mississippi State at Kentucky+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/14 Mississippi State vs Alabama-23.5
Sat 11/21 Mississippi State at Arkansas+2.5
Sat 11/28 Mississippi State vs Ole Miss-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Mississippi State's Schedule
Kentucky's 2009 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Kentucky at Miami (OH)+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19 Kentucky vs Louisville-23.5
Sat 9/26 Kentucky vs Florida-23.5
Sat 10/3 Kentucky vs Alabama-23.5
Sat 10/10 Kentucky at South Carolina+2.5
Sat 10/17 Kentucky at Auburn+2.5
Sat 10/24 Kentucky vs UL Monroe-23.5
Sat 10/31 Kentucky vs Mississippi State-23.5
Sat 11/7 Kentucky vs Eastern Kentucky-23.5
Sat 11/14 Kentucky at Vanderbilt+2.5
Sat 11/21 Kentucky at Georgia+2.5
Sat 11/28 Kentucky vs Tennessee-23.5
Sun 12/27 Kentucky vs Clemson+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kentucky's Schedule
Important Stats (2009)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MSST.0342%25.644%2.9822837%1550-.0141%26.840%41%-0.4444.62.52.1
UK.0138%26.140%3.0119132%1470.0640%22.741%35%-0.1938.61.51.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MSST#78 (.17)39% (109)40% (105)2.9 (93)13938% (104)2393.75 (86)#130 (.32)50% (133)47% (108)55% (134)4.32 (113)60.31.50.9
UK#118 (.09)41% (89)47% (31)3.02 (71)14635% (123)1853.49 (104)#62 (.16)46% (111)49% (122)42% (75)3.44 (31)52.11.91.3



Overall Stats 2009
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MSST Offense1225.623.642.2%02.5193722281554.964%34%44%37%3%.03
UK Defense1322.727.439.7%-0.191.7 - - - - - 60%39%41%35%3%.06
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MSST Defense1226.824.841.3%-0.442.1 - - - - - 53%45%40%41%3%-.01
UK Offense1326.125.638%01.5193321911474.560%39%40%32%2%.01

Additional Stats 2009
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Mississippi State1219:1219.133%56%5.544.62.52.100733
Kentucky1318:2319.139%74%4.538.61.51.700532.7
Run Game Stats (2009)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MSST Offense1264%44%46.3227.64.921.042.9862%0%0.81
UK Defense1360%41% - - - - .053.1262%0%0.81
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MSST Defense1253%40% - - - - -.052.3366%0%0.71
UK Offense1360%40%42.4191.24.526.023.0164%0%0.83

Pass Game Stats (2009)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MSST Offense1234%37%12.822.2155.2712.2917.021.232%30%.123%1.2
UK Defense1339%35% - - - - - - 16.11.434%29%.193%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MSST Defense1245%41% - - - - - - 17.061.130%30%.163%1.5
UK Offense1339%32%13.825.1146.85.910.61311.021.231%23%.072%1.6

Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: NR
2009 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Mississippi State's 2009 Expected Record: -
Mississippi State's 2009 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Mississippi State:    Kentucky: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Mississippi State:    Kentucky:




Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2009 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Kentucky's 2009 Expected Record: -
Kentucky's 2009 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 25.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.6
Defense: 26.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.8

Mississippi State's 2009 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Mississippi State 25
Kentucky 24

Total Points: 49

Based on Last 4 Games
Mississippi State 25
Kentucky 22

Total Points: 47

Based on Entire Season
Kentucky 26
Mississippi State 25

Total Points: 51
Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 26.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.6
Defense: 22.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.4

Kentucky's 2009 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/04Mississippi State3Kentucky24Kentucky -5.5Kentucky44.5Under
202210/15Kentucky27Mississippi State17Mississippi State -3.5Kentucky50.5Under
202110/30Mississippi State31Kentucky17Mississippi State -1Mississippi State47.0Over
202010/10Kentucky24Mississippi State2Kentucky -3.5Kentucky57.5Under
201909/21Mississippi State28Kentucky13Mississippi State -5.5Mississippi State48.0Under
201809/22Kentucky28Mississippi State7Mississippi State -9.5Kentucky56.0Under
201710/21Mississippi State45Kentucky7Mississippi State -14Mississippi State54.5Under
201610/22Kentucky40Mississippi State38Mississippi State -1.5Kentucky54.5Over
201510/24Mississippi State42Kentucky16Mississippi State -11.5Mississippi State59.0Under
201410/25Kentucky31Mississippi State45Mississippi State -13Mississippi State0
201310/24Mississippi State28Kentucky22Mississippi State -11Kentucky0
201210/06Kentucky14Mississippi State27
201110/29Kentucky16Mississippi State28
201010/30Mississippi State24Kentucky17
200910/31Kentucky24Mississippi State31
200811/01Mississippi State13Kentucky14
200710/27Kentucky14Mississippi State31
200610/28Mississippi State31Kentucky34
200510/29Kentucky13Mississippi State7
200410/30Mississippi State22Kentucky7
200310/25Kentucky42Mississippi State17
200211/02Mississippi State24Kentucky45
200111/03Mississippi State17Kentucky14
200011/03Kentucky17Mississippi State35
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Kentucky1062 Overs
Mississippi State1457 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 108 - 35 - 13 - 2
Road Teams10 - 143 - 82 - 31 - 5

(#) MSST at (#) UK
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMSSTUK
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Mississippi State on Offense
CategoryCat
MSST OffUK Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Mississippi State Run Game
CategoryCat
MSST OffUK Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Mississippi State Pass Game
CategoryCat
MSST OffUK Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Kentucky on Offense
CategoryCatUK OffMSST Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Kentucky Run Game
CategoryCat
UK OffMSST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Kentucky Pass Game
CategoryCatUK OffMSST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UK 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'09 Profile: Remains Poor G5

MSST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'09 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Commonwealth Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 48° - Wind: 7 mph
Rematch from Week 9
()
Mississippi State won at Kentucky this year (31-24)

Previous Matchups
Kentucky beat Mississippi State in 2023 (24-3)
Kentucky beat Mississippi State in 2022 (27-17)

  
MSST's OC ()
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Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
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MSST's DC ()
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SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UK's OC ()
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Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UK's DC ()
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